Project: COVID-19 Forecasts Config
| Summary: | 60 models, 847 forecasts, 68,278,780 rows as of 2020-08-05 |
|---|---|
| Owner: | covid19hub |
| Model Owners: | hannanabdul55 |
| Time Interval Type | Week |
| Visibility | Public |
| Description: | The goal of this repository is to create a standardized set of data on forecasts from experienced teams making projections of cumulative and incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the United States. |
| Home: | https://covid19forecasthub.org |
| Core data: | https://github.com/reichlab/covid19-death-forecasts/tree/master/data-processed |
| Truth Data: | zoltar-truth.csv (55,200 rows) 2020-08-04 13:28:26 EDT |
| Features: | Project forecasts, Project explorer, Score data |
Models (60)
| Name | Team | Abbreviation | # Forecasts | Oldest | Newest | Upload time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Phase Unadjusted | STH | STH-3PU | 55 | 2020-05-29 | 2020-08-01 | 2020-08-02 07:20:41 EDT |
| Fractional order Generalized SEIR model | University of California Merced MESA Lab | UCM_MESALab-FoGSEIR | 2 | 2020-07-26 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 07:36:19 EDT |
| ens1 | LockNQuay | LNQ-ens1 | 4 | 2020-07-12 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 13:42:20 EDT |
| SEIR_Markov_Chain_Monte_Carlo | Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy | CDDEP-SEIR_MCMC | 5 | 2020-07-05 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 15:05:39 EDT |
| Survival-Convolution Models | Columbia_UNC | Columbia_UNC-SurvCon | 7 | 2020-06-16 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 13:47:26 EDT |
| Pandemic Navigator | Oliver Wyman | OliverWyman-Navigator | 9 | 2020-06-07 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 20:42:16 EDT |
| COVID19 | Georgia Institute of Technology Center for Health and Humanitarian Systems | GT_CHHS-COVID19 | 10 | 2020-05-31 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 07:36:09 EDT |
| Simulator | COVID-19 Simulator | Covid19Sim-Simulator | 11 | 2020-05-24 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-04 07:27:07 EDT |
| EpiGro Covid-19 model with Data Assimilation | University of Arizona | UA-EpiCovDA | 13 | 2020-05-17 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 13:48:12 EDT |
| SuEIR | UCLA Statistical Machine Learning Lab | UCLA-SuEIR | 14 | 2020-05-01 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 07:32:34 EDT |
| CovidScenarioPipeline | Johns Hopkins ID Dynamics COVID-19 Working Group | JHU_IDD-CovidSP | 13 | 2020-04-24 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 15:07:03 EDT |
| DeterministicGrowth | University of Geneva / Swiss Data Science Center | Geneva-DetGrowth | 54 | 2020-04-15 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 07:28:33 EDT |
| MechBayes | UMass-Amherst | UMass-MechBayes | 15 | 2020-04-26 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 13:47:42 EDT |
| Spatiotemporal Epidemic Modeling | Iowa State - Lily Wang's Research Group | IowaStateLW-STEM | 14 | 2020-04-26 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 20:43:49 EDT |
| scenario_mid | Columbia University | CU-scenario_mid | 27 | 2020-04-12 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 21:19:18 EDT |
| nochange | Columbia University | CU-nochange | 20 | 2020-04-12 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 20:53:50 EDT |
| scenario_low | Columbia University | CU-scenario_low | 27 | 2020-04-12 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 21:15:14 EDT |
| scenario_high | Columbia University | CU-scenario_high | 27 | 2020-04-12 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 20:56:41 EDT |
| select | Columbia University | CU-select | 28 | 2020-04-12 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 21:09:52 EDT |
| python Population Modeller | Karlen Working Group | Karlen-pypm | 3 | 2020-07-20 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 07:38:18 EDT |
| TimeSeries | Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group | CMU-TimeSeries | 3 | 2020-07-20 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 21:21:31 EDT |
| MLOptimizedModifiedSEIR | Auquan Data Science | Auquan-SEIR | 10 | 2020-05-04 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 09:43:36 EDT |
| SI_kJalpha | University of Southern California Data Science Lab | USC-SI_kJalpha | 16 | 2020-05-10 | 2020-08-02 | 2020-08-03 07:37:07 EDT |
| ParamSearch | Youyang Gu (YYG) | YYG-ParamSearch | 114 | 2020-04-13 | 2020-08-04 | 2020-08-04 07:28:07 EDT |
| Expert consensus distributions | UMass-Amherst Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence | UMass-ExpertCrowd | 2 | 2020-04-13 | 2020-04-20 | 2020-05-13 13:14:44 EDT |
| CovidIL_80 | University of Chicago | UChicago-CovidIL_80 | 2 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-11 | 2020-05-13 13:14:40 EDT |
| CovidIL_60 | University of Chicago | UChicago-CovidIL_60 | 2 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-11 | 2020-05-13 13:06:30 EDT |
| CovidIL_40 | University of Chicago | UChicago-CovidIL_40 | 2 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-11 | 2020-05-13 13:02:02 EDT |
| CovidIL_30_increase | University of Chicago | UChicago-CovidIL_30_+ | 1 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 13:42:58 EDT |
| CovidIL_10_increase | University of Chicago | UChicago-CovidIL_10_+ | 1 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-07-15 17:58:06 EDT |
| CovidIL_100 | University of Chicago | UChicago-CovidIL_100 | 3 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 13:43:12 EDT |
| CovidIL | University of Chicago | UChicago-CovidIL | 3 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-25 20:01:14 EDT |
| GlobalAgentBasedModel | Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy | CDDEP-ABM | 1 | 2020-06-01 | 2020-06-01 | 2020-06-08 19:18:30 EDT |
| Extended varying coefficient SEIR model | Collaborative team of Iowa State and Peking University | ISUandPKU-vSEIdR | 4 | 2020-05-25 | 2020-06-15 | 2020-06-15 16:12:03 EDT |
| Terminus Compartmental Model | Snyder Wilson Consulting | SWC-TerminusCM | 6 | 2020-05-25 | 2020-06-29 | 2020-06-29 19:15:03 EDT |
| EmpericalSkewedGaussian | Robert Walraven | RobertWalraven-ESG | 10 | 2020-06-28 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 20:58:48 EDT |
| Encounter | QJHong | QJHong-Encounter | 15 | 2020-06-24 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-04 07:28:20 EDT |
| Two-Stage SIR | COVID Alliance at MIT | MITCovAlliance-SIR | 7 | 2020-06-18 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 21:12:47 EDT |
| NotreDame-mobility | NotreDame-mobility | NotreDame-mobility | 8 | 2020-06-10 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 21:17:45 EDT |
| ERDC_SEIR | US Army Engineer Research and Development Center | USACE-ERDC_SEIR | 26 | 2020-05-14 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 21:06:15 EDT |
| DELPHI | CovidAnalytics at MIT | CovidAnalytics-DELPHI | 17 | 2020-04-22 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 15:09:09 EDT |
| Mobility-informed Collision Model | RPI and UW | RPI-UW-Mob-Collision | 1 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-04 07:26:29 EDT |
| PRM | John Burant (JCB) | JCB-PRM | 2 | 2020-07-27 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 21:18:30 EDT |
| Negative Binomial Dynamical System | Discrete Dynamical Systems | DDS-NBDS | 2 | 2020-07-27 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 20:55:50 EDT |
| Ensemble model | University of Virginia, Biocomplexity COVID-19 Response Team | UVA-Ensemble | 3 | 2020-07-20 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-04 13:28:52 EDT |
| RidgeTensorFlowRegressor | The University of Michigan | UMich-RidgeTfReg | 5 | 2020-07-06 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 13:43:52 EDT |
| ensemble1 | EpiForecasts group at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine | epiforecasts-ensemble1 | 8 | 2020-06-15 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 15:04:54 EDT |
| Disease Rapid Analysis and Forecasting Tool | Predictive Science Inc | PSI-DRAFT | 12 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 20:52:51 EDT |
| DeepCOVID | GT | GT-DeepCOVID | 14 | 2020-05-04 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 21:18:01 EDT |
| NotreDame-FRED | NotreDame-FRED | NotreDame-FRED | 15 | 2020-04-27 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 21:18:20 EDT |
| Mobility | UT-Austin COVID-19 Consortium | UT-Mobility | 16 | 2020-04-20 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 15:05:17 EDT |
| GLEAM COVID-19 | MOBS Lab at Northeastern | MOBS-GLEAM_COVID | 17 | 2020-04-13 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 21:17:34 EDT |
| ensemble | COVID-19 Forecast Hub | COVIDhub-ensemble | 16 | 2020-04-13 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-04 13:29:32 EDT |
| baseline | COVID-19 Forecast Hub | COVIDhub-baseline | 18 | 2020-04-06 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 13:44:35 EDT |
| GrowthRate | Los Alamos National Labs | LANL-GrowthRate | 38 | 2020-04-06 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-08-03 20:50:25 EDT |
| The Agent-based local stochastic model of COVID-19 | Quantori modeling | Quantori-Multiagents | 1 | 2020-05-08 | 2020-05-08 | 2020-05-13 11:24:21 EDT |
| Ensemble2 | Imperial | Imperial-ensemble2 | 16 | 2020-03-15 | 2020-06-28 | 2020-06-30 08:28:29 EDT |
| Ensemble1 | Imperial | Imperial-ensemble1 | 16 | 2020-03-15 | 2020-06-28 | 2020-06-30 08:28:24 EDT |
| SEIR_CAN | CovidActNow | CovidActNow-SEIR_CAN | 6 | 2020-05-09 | 2020-07-05 | 2020-07-08 08:17:23 EDT |
| CurveFit | Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation | IHME-CurveFit | 30 | 2020-03-27 | 2020-07-30 | 2020-08-01 07:20:58 EDT |
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Targets (441)
| Target Group | # Targets | Type | Unit | Step ahead? | Example Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| day ahead cum death | 131 | continuous | cumulative deaths | “0 day ahead cum death” | |
| day ahead inc death | 131 | continuous | incident deaths | “0 day ahead inc death” | |
| day ahead inc hosp | 131 | continuous | incident hospitalization | “0 day ahead inc hosp” | |
| wk ahead cum death | 20 | continuous | cumulative deaths | “1 wk ahead cum death” | |
| wk ahead inc case | 8 | continuous | incident case | “1 wk ahead inc case” | |
| wk ahead inc death | 20 | continuous | incident deaths | “1 wk ahead inc death” |
Time zeros (161)
| Time Zero | Data Version Date | # Forecasts | Starts Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-12-30 | (No data version date) | 0 | “2019-2020” |
| 2020-01-06 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-01-13 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-01-20 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-01-27 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-03 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-10 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-17 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-24 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-02 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-09 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-15 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-03-16 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-22 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-03-23 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-27 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-03-29 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-03-30 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-03-31 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-04-01 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-04-05 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-04-06 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-07 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-04-08 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-04-09 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-12 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
| 2020-04-13 | (No data version date) | 6 | |
| 2020-04-14 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-04-15 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-16 | (No data version date) | 9 | |
| 2020-04-17 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-18 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-19 | (No data version date) | 9 | |
| 2020-04-20 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
| 2020-04-21 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-04-22 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-04-23 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
| 2020-04-24 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-04-25 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-26 | (No data version date) | 10 | |
| 2020-04-27 | (No data version date) | 10 | |
| 2020-04-28 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-04-29 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-30 | (No data version date) | 4 | |
| 2020-05-01 | (No data version date) | 4 | |
| 2020-05-02 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-03 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
| 2020-05-04 | (No data version date) | 12 | |
| 2020-05-05 | (No data version date) | 7 | |
| 2020-05-06 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-07 | (No data version date) | 7 | |
| 2020-05-08 | (No data version date) | 4 | |
| 2020-05-09 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-05-10 | (No data version date) | 12 | |
| 2020-05-11 | (No data version date) | 14 | |
| 2020-05-12 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-05-13 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-14 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
| 2020-05-15 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-16 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-17 | (No data version date) | 14 | |
| 2020-05-18 | (No data version date) | 18 | |
| 2020-05-19 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-20 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-21 | (No data version date) | 7 | |
| 2020-05-22 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-23 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-05-24 | (No data version date) | 17 | |
| 2020-05-25 | (No data version date) | 14 | |
| 2020-05-26 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-27 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-28 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
| 2020-05-29 | (No data version date) | 4 | |
| 2020-05-30 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-05-31 | (No data version date) | 19 | |
| 2020-06-01 | (No data version date) | 15 | |
| 2020-06-02 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-06-03 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-06-04 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
| 2020-06-05 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-06-06 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-06-07 | (No data version date) | 22 | |
| 2020-06-08 | (No data version date) | 13 | |
| 2020-06-09 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-06-10 | (No data version date) | 5 | |
| 2020-06-11 | (No data version date) | 7 | |
| 2020-06-12 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-06-13 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
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