Project: COVID-19 Forecasts Config
| Summary: | 101 models, 3974 forecasts, 56,203,802 predictions |
|---|---|
| Owner: | covid19hub |
| Model Owners: | ydh28, hannanabdul55 |
| Time Interval Type | Week |
| Visibility | Public |
| Description: | The goal of this repository is to create a standardized set of data on forecasts from experienced teams making projections of cumulative and incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the United States. |
| Home: | https://covid19forecasthub.org |
| Core data: | https://github.com/reichlab/covid19-death-forecasts/tree/master/data-processed |
| Truth Data: | zoltar-truth.csv 2021-06-21 14:17:52 UTC . Download |
| Features: | Project: Explorer. Forecasts: Summary, Download. |
Models (101)
| Abbreviation | Team | # Forecasts | Oldest | Newest | Upload time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDDEP-SEIR_MCMC | Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy | 7 | 2020-07-05 | 2020-08-16 | 2020-08-18 18:42:25 UTC |
| UMass-ExpertCrowd | UMass-Amherst Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence | 2 | 2020-04-13 | 2020-04-20 | 2020-05-13 17:14:44 UTC |
| UChicago-CovidIL_80 | University of Chicago | 2 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-11 | 2020-05-13 17:14:40 UTC |
| UChicago-CovidIL_60 | University of Chicago | 2 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-11 | 2020-05-13 17:06:30 UTC |
| UChicago-CovidIL_40 | University of Chicago | 2 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-11 | 2020-05-13 17:02:02 UTC |
| UChicago-CovidIL | University of Chicago | 3 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-26 00:01:14 UTC |
| UChicago-CovidIL_10_+ | University of Chicago | 1 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-07-15 21:58:06 UTC |
| UChicago-CovidIL_30_+ | University of Chicago | 1 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 17:42:58 UTC |
| UChicago-CovidIL_100 | University of Chicago | 3 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 17:43:12 UTC |
| CDDEP-ABM | Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy | 2 | 2020-06-01 | 2020-06-01 | 2021-05-04 20:52:27 UTC |
| ISUandPKU-vSEIdR | Collaborative team of Iowa State and Peking University | 8 | 2020-05-25 | 2020-06-15 | 2021-05-04 20:52:42 UTC |
| SWC-TerminusCM | Snyder Wilson Consulting | 6 | 2020-05-25 | 2020-06-29 | 2020-06-29 23:15:03 UTC |
| Auquan-SEIR | Auquan Data Science | 15 | 2020-05-04 | 2020-08-24 | 2020-08-25 01:17:48 UTC |
| YYG-ParamSearch | Youyang Gu (YYG) | 177 | 2020-04-13 | 2020-10-05 | 2020-10-06 13:45:16 UTC |
| MSRA-DeepST | MSRA | 10 | 2020-10-12 | 2020-12-07 | 2020-12-07 18:20:32 UTC |
| USACE-ERDC_SEIR | US Army Engineer Research and Development Center | 45 | 2020-05-14 | 2020-12-07 | 2021-05-04 20:55:24 UTC |
| NotreDame-mobility | NotreDame-mobility | 28 | 2020-06-10 | 2020-12-14 | 2020-12-15 00:32:17 UTC |
| JCB-PRM | John Burant (JCB) | 24 | 2020-07-27 | 2020-12-28 | 2020-12-29 07:24:18 UTC |
| Quantori-Multiagents | Quantori modeling | 1 | 2020-05-08 | 2020-05-08 | 2020-05-13 15:24:21 UTC |
| Imperial-ensemble2 | Imperial | 16 | 2020-03-15 | 2020-06-28 | 2020-06-30 12:28:29 UTC |
| Imperial-ensemble1 | Imperial | 16 | 2020-03-15 | 2020-06-28 | 2020-06-30 12:28:24 UTC |
| CovidActNow-SEIR_CAN | CovidActNow | 6 | 2020-05-09 | 2020-07-05 | 2020-07-08 12:17:23 UTC |
| STH-3PU | STH | 85 | 2020-05-29 | 2020-11-01 | 2020-11-02 00:42:50 UTC |
| USC-SI_kJalpha_RF | University of Southern California Data Science Lab | 4 | 2020-11-01 | 2020-11-08 | 2020-11-11 20:42:38 UTC |
| Yu_Group-CLEP | Berkeley Yu Group | 9 | 2020-08-08 | 2020-11-17 | 2020-11-19 12:17:36 UTC |
| IQVIA_ACOE-STAN | IQVIA ACOE | 16 | 2020-08-23 | 2020-12-13 | 2020-12-14 06:21:09 UTC |
| Wadhwani_AI-BayesOpt | Wadhwani AI Covid Data Science Team | 5 | 2020-12-05 | 2021-01-04 | 2021-01-05 00:52:40 UTC |
| UCSB-ACTS | UCSB | 15 | 2020-10-25 | 2021-01-24 | 2021-01-26 00:49:05 UTC |
| PandemicCentral-USCounty | Pandemic Central (itsonit.com) | 28 | 2020-08-05 | 2021-02-15 | 2021-02-15 18:31:50 UTC |
| OneQuietNight-ML | OneQuietNight | 16 | 2020-11-21 | 2021-03-07 | 2021-03-09 00:37:40 UTC |
| NotreDame-FRED | NotreDame-FRED | 36 | 2020-04-27 | 2021-03-08 | 2021-03-09 01:08:43 UTC |
| QJHong-Encounter | QJHong | 54 | 2020-06-24 | 2021-03-22 | 2021-03-23 01:37:27 UTC |
| RPI_UW-Mob_Collision | RPI and UW | 36 | 2020-08-03 | 2021-03-28 | 2021-03-30 01:10:14 UTC |
| WalmartLabsML-LogForecasting | Walmart Labs Data Science Team | 31 | 2020-08-23 | 2021-04-04 | 2021-04-05 18:41:26 UTC |
| Caltech-CS156 | Caltech CS156 | 21 | 2020-11-01 | 2021-04-11 | 2021-04-13 04:30:00 UTC |
| SigSci-TS | Signature Science FOCUS | 14 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-04-12 | 2021-04-12 18:42:37 UTC |
| GT_CHHS-COVID19 | Georgia Institute of Technology Center for Health and Humanitarian Systems | 27 | 2020-05-31 | 2021-04-17 | 2021-04-19 00:28:00 UTC |
| MITCovAlliance-SIR | COVID Alliance at MIT | 24 | 2020-06-18 | 2021-04-19 | 2021-04-20 00:32:59 UTC |
| IowaStateLW-STEM | Iowa State - Lily Wang's Research Group | 51 | 2020-04-26 | 2021-04-25 | 2021-04-27 00:33:56 UTC |
| UT-Mobility | UT-Austin COVID-19 Consortium | 39 | 2020-04-20 | 2021-04-26 | 2021-04-26 18:35:37 UTC |
| IUPUI-HkPrMobiDyR | IUPUI CIS | 10 | 2021-02-22 | 2021-05-17 | 2021-05-20 00:46:55 UTC |
| IBF-TimeSeries | Institute of Business Forecasting | 36 | 2020-09-07 | 2021-05-17 | 2021-05-17 18:50:33 UTC |
| FDANIHASU-Sweight | FDANIHASU | 18 | 2021-01-25 | 2021-05-24 | 2021-05-25 12:30:31 UTC |
| UpstateSU-GRU | SUNY Upstate and SU Covid-19 Prediction Team | 21 | 2021-01-04 | 2021-05-24 | 2021-05-25 03:42:07 UTC |
| LNQ-ens1 | LockNQuay | 48 | 2020-07-12 | 2021-06-06 | 2021-06-08 01:15:12 UTC |
| UCF-AEM | University of Central Florida | 30 | 2020-11-15 | 2021-06-13 | 2021-06-15 00:50:12 UTC |
| JHUAPL-SLPHospEns | JHUAPL | 28 | 2020-12-06 | 2021-06-14 | 2021-06-15 18:37:48 UTC |
| IHME-CurveFit | Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation | 65 | 2020-03-27 | 2021-06-18 | 2021-06-19 00:41:19 UTC |
| JHUAPL-Gecko | Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | 22 | 2021-01-24 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-21 18:32:15 UTC |
| UChicagoCHATTOPADHYAY-UnIT | University of Chicago, Chattopadhyay Lab | 28 | 2020-11-08 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-21 18:35:08 UTC |
| JHU_UNC_GAS-StatMechPool | JHU_UNC_GAS | 31 | 2020-10-25 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-21 18:41:25 UTC |
| BPagano-RtDriven | BPagano | 41 | 2020-10-04 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-21 18:45:54 UTC |
| JHU_CSSE-DECOM | Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering | 38 | 2020-10-05 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-22 01:03:37 UTC |
| MIT_CritData-GBCF | MIT-CriticalData | 42 | 2020-09-06 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-21 18:33:53 UTC |
| TTU-squider | Hussain Lab at Texas Tech University | 42 | 2020-08-17 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-21 18:45:32 UTC |
| Google_Harvard-CPF | Google Cloud AI | 46 | 2020-08-13 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-22 01:05:43 UTC |
| UCM_MESALab-FoGSEIR | University of California Merced MESA Lab | 48 | 2020-07-26 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-22 01:03:54 UTC |
| Karlen-pypm | Karlen Working Group | 51 | 2020-07-20 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-21 18:50:23 UTC |
| USC-SI_kJalpha | University of Southern California | 81 | 2020-05-10 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-21 03:13:22 UTC |
| CU-scenario_high | Columbia University | 90 | 2020-04-12 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-22 00:55:57 UTC |
| CU-scenario_mid | Columbia University | 90 | 2020-04-12 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-22 00:51:19 UTC |
| CU-scenario_low | Columbia University | 90 | 2020-04-12 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-22 00:58:57 UTC |
| Columbia_UNC-SurvCon | Columbia_UNC | 54 | 2020-06-16 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-21 03:15:32 UTC |
| OliverWyman-Navigator | Oliver Wyman | 58 | 2020-06-07 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-22 01:08:51 UTC |
| Covid19Sim-Simulator | COVID-19 Simulator | 56 | 2020-05-24 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-21 18:44:03 UTC |
| CU-nochange | Columbia University | 84 | 2020-04-12 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-22 01:01:57 UTC |
| JHU_IDD-CovidSP | Johns Hopkins ID Dynamics COVID-19 Working Group | 63 | 2020-04-24 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-22 03:12:22 UTC |
| UA-EpiCovDA | University of Arizona | 60 | 2020-05-17 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-21 18:30:37 UTC |
| CU-select | Columbia University | 93 | 2020-04-12 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-22 00:42:43 UTC |
| UMass-MechBayes | UMass-Amherst | 66 | 2020-04-26 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-21 18:49:51 UTC |
| UCLA-SuEIR | UCLA Statistical Machine Learning Lab | 58 | 2020-05-01 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-22 00:58:08 UTC |
| Geneva-DetGrowth | Swiss Data Science Center / University of Geneva | 130 | 2020-04-15 | 2021-06-20 | 2021-06-21 18:50:45 UTC |
| HKUST-DNN | HKUST | 2 | 2021-06-14 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-21 12:28:34 UTC |
| MUNI-ARIMA | Masaryk University | 7 | 2021-05-10 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-21 18:30:50 UTC |
| KITmetricslab-select_ensemble | KITmetricslab | 10 | 2021-04-19 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 18:27:21 UTC |
| MIT-Cassandra | MIT-Cassandra | 13 | 2021-04-12 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 00:50:31 UTC |
| FRBSF_Wilson-Econometric | Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco/Wilson | 17 | 2021-03-18 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 01:08:13 UTC |
| COVIDhub-trained_ensemble | COVID-19 Forecast Hub | 13 | 2021-02-01 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 11:13:26 UTC |
| MIT_ISOLAT-Mixtures | IDSS COVID-19 Collaboration (Isolat) at MIT | 23 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-21 18:30:19 UTC |
| AIpert-pwllnod | AIpert.org team | 27 | 2020-12-21 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 01:16:32 UTC |
| Microsoft-DeepSTIA | Microsoft | 29 | 2020-12-07 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-21 18:31:04 UTC |
| IEM_MED-CovidProject | IEM MED | 31 | 2020-12-07 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-21 18:34:18 UTC |
| FAIR-NRAR | Facebook AI Research | 167 | 2020-11-18 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 18:28:21 UTC |
| UCSD_NEU-DeepGLEAM | UCSD_NEU | 42 | 2020-09-07 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-21 18:34:03 UTC |
| JHUAPL-Bucky | Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | 43 | 2020-08-31 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 00:48:18 UTC |
| SteveMcConnell-CovidComplete | Steve McConnell | 49 | 2020-08-22 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-21 18:40:15 UTC |
| CEID-Walk | University of Georgia Center for the Ecology of Infectious Diseases Forecasting Working Group | 47 | 2020-08-09 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 01:10:03 UTC |
| DDS-NBDS | Discrete Dynamical Systems | 53 | 2020-07-27 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 01:03:28 UTC |
| UVA-Ensemble | University of Virginia, Biocomplexity COVID-19 Response Team | 49 | 2020-07-20 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 01:04:16 UTC |
| CMU-TimeSeries | Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group | 49 | 2020-07-20 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 00:55:14 UTC |
| UMich-RidgeTfReg | The University of Michigan | 51 | 2020-07-06 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 01:01:12 UTC |
| COVIDhub-baseline | COVID-19 Forecast Hub | 65 | 2020-04-06 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-21 18:36:57 UTC |
| RobertWalraven-ESG | Robert Walraven | 63 | 2020-06-28 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-21 18:40:53 UTC |
| epiforecasts-ensemble1 | EpiForecasts group at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine | 56 | 2020-06-15 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-21 18:45:20 UTC |
| PSI-DRAFT | Predictive Science Inc | 60 | 2020-05-18 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 00:55:01 UTC |
| GT-DeepCOVID | GT | 62 | 2020-05-04 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 01:07:41 UTC |
| CovidAnalytics-DELPHI | CovidAnalytics at MIT | 65 | 2020-04-22 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 01:11:40 UTC |
| COVIDhub-ensemble | COVID-19 Forecast Hub | 65 | 2020-04-13 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 11:16:17 UTC |
| MOBS-GLEAM_COVID | MOBS Lab at Northeastern | 72 | 2020-04-13 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-21 18:34:37 UTC |
| LANL-GrowthRate | Los Alamos National Labs | 128 | 2020-04-06 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-06-22 01:12:40 UTC |
| PandemicCentral-COVIDForest | Pandemic Central (itsonit.com) | 10 | 2021-04-17 | 2021-06-22 | 2021-06-22 11:11:33 UTC |
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| 48299 |
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| 48311 |
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| 49021 |
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| 49035 |
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| 49039 |
| 49041 |
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| 50001 |
| 50003 |
| 50005 |
| 50007 |
| 50009 |
| 50011 |
| 50013 |
| 50015 |
| 50017 |
| 50019 |
| 50021 |
| 50023 |
| 50025 |
| 50027 |
| 51001 |
| 51003 |
| 51005 |
| 51007 |
| 51009 |
| 51011 |
| 51013 |
| 51015 |
| 51017 |
| 51019 |
| 51021 |
| 51023 |
| 51025 |
| 51027 |
| 51029 |
| 51031 |
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| 51035 |
| 51036 |
| 51037 |
| 51041 |
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| 51065 |
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| 51071 |
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| 51079 |
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| 51097 |
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| 51103 |
| 51105 |
| 51107 |
| 51109 |
| 51111 |
| 51113 |
| 51115 |
| 51117 |
| 51119 |
| 51121 |
| 51125 |
| 51127 |
| 51131 |
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| 51135 |
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| 51139 |
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| 51167 |
| 51169 |
| 51171 |
| 51173 |
| 51175 |
| 51177 |
| 51179 |
| 51181 |
| 51183 |
| 51185 |
| 51187 |
| 51191 |
| 51193 |
| 51195 |
| 51197 |
| 51199 |
| 51510 |
| 51520 |
| 51530 |
| 51540 |
| 51550 |
| 51570 |
| 51580 |
| 51590 |
| 51595 |
| 51600 |
| 51610 |
| 51620 |
| 51630 |
| 51640 |
| 51650 |
| 51660 |
| 51670 |
| 51678 |
| 51680 |
| 51683 |
| 51685 |
| 51690 |
| 51700 |
| 51710 |
| 51720 |
| 51730 |
| 51735 |
| 51740 |
| 51750 |
| 51760 |
| 51770 |
| 51775 |
| 51790 |
| 51800 |
| 51810 |
| 51820 |
| 51830 |
| 51840 |
| 53001 |
| 53003 |
| 53005 |
| 53007 |
| 53009 |
| 53011 |
| 53013 |
| 53015 |
| 53017 |
| 53019 |
| 53021 |
| 53023 |
| 53025 |
| 53027 |
| 53029 |
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| 53039 |
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| 53055 |
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| 53059 |
| 53061 |
| 53063 |
| 53065 |
| 53067 |
| 53069 |
| 53071 |
| 53073 |
| 53075 |
| 53077 |
| 54001 |
| 54003 |
| 54005 |
| 54007 |
| 54009 |
| 54011 |
| 54013 |
| 54015 |
| 54017 |
| 54019 |
| 54021 |
| 54023 |
| 54025 |
| 54027 |
| 54029 |
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| 54033 |
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| 54063 |
| 54065 |
| 54067 |
| 54069 |
| 54071 |
| 54073 |
| 54075 |
| 54077 |
| 54079 |
| 54081 |
| 54083 |
| 54085 |
| 54087 |
| 54089 |
| 54091 |
| 54093 |
| 54095 |
| 54097 |
| 54099 |
| 54101 |
| 54103 |
| 54105 |
| 54107 |
| 54109 |
| 55001 |
| 55003 |
| 55005 |
| 55007 |
| 55009 |
| 55011 |
| 55013 |
| 55015 |
| 55017 |
| 55019 |
| 55021 |
| 55023 |
| 55025 |
| 55027 |
| 55029 |
| 55031 |
| 55033 |
| 55035 |
| 55037 |
| 55039 |
| 55041 |
| 55043 |
| 55045 |
| 55047 |
| 55049 |
| 55051 |
| 55053 |
| 55055 |
| 55057 |
| 55059 |
| 55061 |
| 55063 |
| 55065 |
| 55067 |
| 55069 |
| 55071 |
| 55073 |
| 55075 |
| 55077 |
| 55078 |
| 55079 |
| 55081 |
| 55083 |
| 55085 |
| 55087 |
| 55089 |
| 55091 |
| 55093 |
| 55095 |
| 55097 |
| 55099 |
| 55101 |
| 55103 |
| 55105 |
| 55107 |
| 55109 |
| 55111 |
| 55113 |
| 55115 |
| 55117 |
| 55119 |
| 55121 |
| 55123 |
| 55125 |
| 55127 |
| 55129 |
| 55131 |
| 55133 |
| 55135 |
| 55137 |
| 55139 |
| 55141 |
| 56001 |
| 56003 |
| 56005 |
| 56007 |
| 56009 |
| 56011 |
| 56013 |
| 56015 |
| 56017 |
| 56019 |
| 56021 |
| 56023 |
| 56025 |
| 56027 |
| 56029 |
| 56031 |
| 56033 |
| 56035 |
| 56037 |
| 56039 |
| 56041 |
| 56043 |
| 56045 |
| 02063 |
| 02066 |
Targets (441)
| Target Group | # Targets | Type | Unit | Step ahead? | Example Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| day ahead cum death | 131 | continuous | cumulative deaths | “0 day ahead cum death” | |
| day ahead inc death | 131 | continuous | incident deaths | “0 day ahead inc death” | |
| day ahead inc hosp | 131 | continuous | incident hospitalization | “0 day ahead inc hosp” | |
| wk ahead cum death | 20 | continuous | cumulative deaths | “1 wk ahead cum death” | |
| wk ahead inc case | 8 | continuous | incident case | “1 wk ahead inc case” | |
| wk ahead inc death | 20 | continuous | incident deaths | “1 wk ahead inc death” |
Time zeros (406)
| Time Zero | Data Version Date | # Forecasts | Starts Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-12-30 | (No data version date) | 0 | “2019-2020” |
| 2020-01-06 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-01-13 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-01-20 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-01-27 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-03 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-10 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-17 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-24 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-02 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-09 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-15 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-03-16 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-22 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
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