Project: COVID-19 Forecasts Config
| Summary: | 75 models, 1533 forecasts, 120,467,698 rows as of 2020-10-20 |
|---|---|
| Owner: | covid19hub |
| Model Owners: | hannanabdul55 |
| Time Interval Type | Week |
| Visibility | Public |
| Description: | The goal of this repository is to create a standardized set of data on forecasts from experienced teams making projections of cumulative and incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the United States. |
| Home: | https://covid19forecasthub.org |
| Core data: | https://github.com/reichlab/covid19-death-forecasts/tree/master/data-processed |
| Truth Data: | zoltar-truth.csv (352,488 rows) 2020-10-18 12:34:58 EDT |
| Features: | Project: Explorer. Forecasts: Summary, Download. Scores: Download. |
Models (75)
| Abbreviation | Team | # Forecasts | Oldest | Newest | Upload time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDDEP-SEIR_MCMC | Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy | 7 | 2020-07-05 | 2020-08-16 | 2020-08-18 14:42:25 EDT |
| GT_CHHS-COVID19 | Georgia Institute of Technology Center for Health and Humanitarian Systems | 16 | 2020-05-31 | 2020-09-13 | 2020-09-13 14:23:00 EDT |
| UMass-ExpertCrowd | UMass-Amherst Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence | 2 | 2020-04-13 | 2020-04-20 | 2020-05-13 13:14:44 EDT |
| UChicago-CovidIL_80 | University of Chicago | 2 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-11 | 2020-05-13 13:14:40 EDT |
| UChicago-CovidIL_60 | University of Chicago | 2 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-11 | 2020-05-13 13:06:30 EDT |
| UChicago-CovidIL_40 | University of Chicago | 2 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-11 | 2020-05-13 13:02:02 EDT |
| UChicago-CovidIL_30_+ | University of Chicago | 1 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 13:42:58 EDT |
| UChicago-CovidIL_10_+ | University of Chicago | 1 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-07-15 17:58:06 EDT |
| UChicago-CovidIL_100 | University of Chicago | 3 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 13:43:12 EDT |
| UChicago-CovidIL | University of Chicago | 3 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-25 20:01:14 EDT |
| CDDEP-ABM | Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy | 1 | 2020-06-01 | 2020-06-01 | 2020-06-08 19:18:30 EDT |
| ISUandPKU-vSEIdR | Collaborative team of Iowa State and Peking University | 4 | 2020-05-25 | 2020-06-15 | 2020-06-15 16:12:03 EDT |
| SWC-TerminusCM | Snyder Wilson Consulting | 6 | 2020-05-25 | 2020-06-29 | 2020-06-29 19:15:03 EDT |
| Auquan-SEIR | Auquan Data Science | 13 | 2020-05-04 | 2020-08-24 | 2020-08-24 21:17:48 EDT |
| YYG-ParamSearch | Youyang Gu (YYG) | 176 | 2020-04-13 | 2020-10-05 | 2020-10-06 09:45:16 EDT |
| USACE-ERDC_SEIR | US Army Engineer Research and Development Center | 35 | 2020-05-14 | 2020-10-12 | 2020-10-12 21:38:55 EDT |
| COVIDhub-baseline | COVID-19 Forecast Hub | 29 | 2020-04-06 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-19 14:53:08 EDT |
| LANL-GrowthRate | Los Alamos National Labs | 60 | 2020-04-06 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 15:07:50 EDT |
| MOBS-GLEAM_COVID | MOBS Lab at Northeastern | 28 | 2020-04-13 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-19 21:14:10 EDT |
| COVIDhub-ensemble | COVID-19 Forecast Hub | 27 | 2020-04-13 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 15:15:59 EDT |
| UT-Mobility | UT-Austin COVID-19 Consortium | 24 | 2020-04-20 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-19 21:15:25 EDT |
| NotreDame-FRED | NotreDame-FRED | 26 | 2020-04-27 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 14:50:20 EDT |
| GT-DeepCOVID | GT | 25 | 2020-05-04 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 14:47:23 EDT |
| PSI-DRAFT | Predictive Science Inc | 23 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 14:54:52 EDT |
| epiforecasts-ensemble1 | EpiForecasts group at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine | 19 | 2020-06-15 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 15:06:21 EDT |
| UMich-RidgeTfReg | The University of Michigan | 16 | 2020-07-06 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-19 14:56:21 EDT |
| UVA-Ensemble | University of Virginia, Biocomplexity COVID-19 Response Team | 14 | 2020-07-20 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 14:57:59 EDT |
| CMU-TimeSeries | Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group | 14 | 2020-07-20 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 15:15:25 EDT |
| JCB-PRM | John Burant (JCB) | 13 | 2020-07-27 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-19 14:52:12 EDT |
| DDS-NBDS | Discrete Dynamical Systems | 20 | 2020-07-27 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 15:06:45 EDT |
| JHUAPL-Bucky | Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | 8 | 2020-08-31 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 15:02:41 EDT |
| UCSD_NEU-DeepGLEAM | UCSD_NEU | 7 | 2020-09-07 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-19 21:14:21 EDT |
| IBF-TimeSeries | Institute of Business Forecasting | 6 | 2020-09-07 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 14:48:21 EDT |
| JHU_CSSE-DECOM | Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering | 2 | 2020-10-05 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-19 21:15:03 EDT |
| MSRA-DeepST | MSRA | 2 | 2020-10-12 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 14:48:29 EDT |
| CovidAnalytics-DELPHI | CovidAnalytics at MIT | 28 | 2020-04-22 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-19 21:17:37 EDT |
| NotreDame-mobility | NotreDame-mobility | 19 | 2020-06-10 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 15:01:25 EDT |
| MITCovAlliance-SIR | COVID Alliance at MIT | 15 | 2020-06-18 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 15:12:29 EDT |
| RobertWalraven-ESG | Robert Walraven | 24 | 2020-06-28 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 14:50:04 EDT |
| PandemicCentral-USCounty | Pandemic Central (itsonit.com) | 12 | 2020-08-05 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-19 08:48:05 EDT |
| SteveMcConnell-CovidComplete | Steve McConnell | 13 | 2020-08-22 | 2020-10-19 | 2020-10-20 15:15:06 EDT |
| Quantori-Multiagents | Quantori modeling | 1 | 2020-05-08 | 2020-05-08 | 2020-05-13 11:24:21 EDT |
| Imperial-ensemble2 | Imperial | 16 | 2020-03-15 | 2020-06-28 | 2020-06-30 08:28:29 EDT |
| Imperial-ensemble1 | Imperial | 16 | 2020-03-15 | 2020-06-28 | 2020-06-30 08:28:24 EDT |
| CovidActNow-SEIR_CAN | CovidActNow | 6 | 2020-05-09 | 2020-07-05 | 2020-07-08 08:17:23 EDT |
| Yu_Group-CLEP | Berkeley Yu Group | 8 | 2020-08-08 | 2020-10-11 | 2020-10-12 21:33:14 EDT |
| IQVIA_ACOE-STAN | IQVIA ACOE | 8 | 2020-08-23 | 2020-10-11 | 2020-10-12 08:50:56 EDT |
| IHME-CurveFit | Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation | 37 | 2020-03-27 | 2020-10-16 | 2020-10-17 21:12:05 EDT |
| Karlen-pypm | Karlen Working Group | 14 | 2020-07-20 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 02:44:11 EDT |
| RPI_UW-Mob_Collision | RPI and UW | 12 | 2020-08-03 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-20 14:48:05 EDT |
| TTU-squider | Hussain Lab at Texas Tech University | 7 | 2020-08-17 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 02:45:07 EDT |
| CU-nochange | Columbia University | 39 | 2020-04-12 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 15:06:22 EDT |
| CU-scenario_low | Columbia University | 45 | 2020-04-12 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 14:48:29 EDT |
| CU-scenario_high | Columbia University | 45 | 2020-04-12 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 14:43:35 EDT |
| CU-scenario_mid | Columbia University | 45 | 2020-04-12 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 14:59:37 EDT |
| CU-select | Columbia University | 46 | 2020-04-12 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 15:03:01 EDT |
| UMass-MechBayes | UMass-Amherst | 26 | 2020-04-26 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 14:55:54 EDT |
| IowaStateLW-STEM | Iowa State - Lily Wang's Research Group | 24 | 2020-04-26 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-20 14:52:26 EDT |
| Geneva-DetGrowth | University of Geneva / Swiss Data Science Center | 65 | 2020-04-15 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 14:52:02 EDT |
| JHU_IDD-CovidSP | Johns Hopkins ID Dynamics COVID-19 Working Group | 24 | 2020-04-24 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-20 14:56:01 EDT |
| UCLA-SuEIR | UCLA Statistical Machine Learning Lab | 25 | 2020-05-01 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 08:50:51 EDT |
| USC-SI_kJalpha | University of Southern California Data Science Lab | 27 | 2020-05-10 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 02:45:31 EDT |
| UA-EpiCovDA | University of Arizona | 24 | 2020-05-17 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-20 14:51:20 EDT |
| Covid19Sim-Simulator | COVID-19 Simulator | 21 | 2020-05-24 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 14:57:17 EDT |
| STH-3PU | STH | 71 | 2020-05-29 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-18 21:14:26 EDT |
| OliverWyman-Navigator | Oliver Wyman | 20 | 2020-06-07 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-20 14:45:59 EDT |
| Columbia_UNC-SurvCon | Columbia_UNC | 18 | 2020-06-16 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 02:44:46 EDT |
| QJHong-Encounter | QJHong | 26 | 2020-06-24 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 02:48:46 EDT |
| LNQ-ens1 | LockNQuay | 15 | 2020-07-12 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-20 14:49:01 EDT |
| UCM_MESALab-FoGSEIR | University of California Merced MESA Lab | 13 | 2020-07-26 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-18 21:12:41 EDT |
| CEID-Walk | University of Georgia Center for the Ecology of Infectious Diseases Forecasting Working Group | 11 | 2020-08-09 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-18 21:13:17 EDT |
| Google_Harvard-CPF | Google Cloud AI | 11 | 2020-08-13 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 21:16:29 EDT |
| WalmartLabsML-LogForecasting | Walmart Labs Data Science Team | 9 | 2020-08-23 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 08:49:44 EDT |
| MIT_CritData-GBCF | MIT-CriticalData | 7 | 2020-09-06 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-19 14:58:42 EDT |
| BPagano-RtDriven | BPagano | 3 | 2020-10-04 | 2020-10-18 | 2020-10-20 14:50:34 EDT |
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Targets (441)
| Target Group | # Targets | Type | Unit | Step ahead? | Example Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| day ahead cum death | 131 | continuous | cumulative deaths | “0 day ahead cum death” | |
| day ahead inc death | 131 | continuous | incident deaths | “0 day ahead inc death” | |
| day ahead inc hosp | 131 | continuous | incident hospitalization | “0 day ahead inc hosp” | |
| wk ahead cum death | 20 | continuous | cumulative deaths | “1 wk ahead cum death” | |
| wk ahead inc case | 8 | continuous | incident case | “1 wk ahead inc case” | |
| wk ahead inc death | 20 | continuous | incident deaths | “1 wk ahead inc death” |
Time zeros (219)
| Time Zero | Data Version Date | # Forecasts | Starts Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-12-30 | (No data version date) | 0 | “2019-2020” |
| 2020-01-06 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-01-13 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-01-20 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-01-27 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-03 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-10 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-17 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-24 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-02 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-09 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-15 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-03-16 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-22 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-03-23 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-27 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-03-29 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-03-30 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-03-31 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-04-01 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-04-05 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-04-06 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-07 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-04-08 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-04-09 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-12 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
| 2020-04-13 | (No data version date) | 6 | |
| 2020-04-14 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-04-15 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-16 | (No data version date) | 9 | |
| 2020-04-17 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-18 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-19 | (No data version date) | 9 | |
| 2020-04-20 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
| 2020-04-21 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-04-22 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-04-23 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
| 2020-04-24 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-04-25 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-26 | (No data version date) | 10 | |
| 2020-04-27 | (No data version date) | 10 | |
| 2020-04-28 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-04-29 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-30 | (No data version date) | 4 | |
| 2020-05-01 | (No data version date) | 4 | |
| 2020-05-02 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-03 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
| 2020-05-04 | (No data version date) | 12 | |
| 2020-05-05 | (No data version date) | 7 | |
| 2020-05-06 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-07 | (No data version date) | 7 | |
| 2020-05-08 | (No data version date) | 4 | |
| 2020-05-09 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-05-10 | (No data version date) | 12 | |
| 2020-05-11 | (No data version date) | 14 | |
| 2020-05-12 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-05-13 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-14 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
| 2020-05-15 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-16 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-17 | (No data version date) | 14 | |
| 2020-05-18 | (No data version date) | 18 | |
| 2020-05-19 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-20 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-21 | (No data version date) | 7 | |
| 2020-05-22 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-23 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-05-24 | (No data version date) | 17 | |
| 2020-05-25 | (No data version date) | 14 | |
| 2020-05-26 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-05-27 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
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