Project: COVID-19 Forecasts Config
| Summary: | 91 models, 2386 forecasts, 188,127,270 rows |
|---|---|
| Owner: | covid19hub |
| Model Owners: | hannanabdul55 |
| Time Interval Type | Week |
| Visibility | Public |
| Description: | The goal of this repository is to create a standardized set of data on forecasts from experienced teams making projections of cumulative and incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the United States. |
| Home: | https://covid19forecasthub.org |
| Core data: | https://github.com/reichlab/covid19-death-forecasts/tree/master/data-processed |
| Truth Data: | zoltar-truth.csv (483,474 rows) 2021-01-10 11:48:38 EST. Download |
| Features: | Project: Explorer. Forecasts: Summary, Download. |
Models (91)
| Abbreviation | Team | # Forecasts | Oldest | Newest | Upload time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDDEP-SEIR_MCMC | Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy | 7 | 2020-07-05 | 2020-08-16 | 2020-08-18 14:42:25 EDT |
| GT_CHHS-COVID19 | Georgia Institute of Technology Center for Health and Humanitarian Systems | 16 | 2020-05-31 | 2020-09-13 | 2020-09-13 14:23:00 EDT |
| UMass-ExpertCrowd | UMass-Amherst Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence | 2 | 2020-04-13 | 2020-04-20 | 2020-05-13 13:14:44 EDT |
| UChicago-CovidIL_80 | University of Chicago | 2 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-11 | 2020-05-13 13:14:40 EDT |
| UChicago-CovidIL_60 | University of Chicago | 2 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-11 | 2020-05-13 13:06:30 EDT |
| UChicago-CovidIL_40 | University of Chicago | 2 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-11 | 2020-05-13 13:02:02 EDT |
| UChicago-CovidIL | University of Chicago | 3 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-25 20:01:14 EDT |
| UChicago-CovidIL_10_+ | University of Chicago | 1 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-07-15 17:58:06 EDT |
| UChicago-CovidIL_30_+ | University of Chicago | 1 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 13:42:58 EDT |
| UChicago-CovidIL_100 | University of Chicago | 3 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-18 | 2020-05-18 13:43:12 EDT |
| CDDEP-ABM | Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy | 1 | 2020-06-01 | 2020-06-01 | 2020-06-08 19:18:30 EDT |
| ISUandPKU-vSEIdR | Collaborative team of Iowa State and Peking University | 4 | 2020-05-25 | 2020-06-15 | 2020-06-15 16:12:03 EDT |
| SWC-TerminusCM | Snyder Wilson Consulting | 6 | 2020-05-25 | 2020-06-29 | 2020-06-29 19:15:03 EDT |
| Auquan-SEIR | Auquan Data Science | 13 | 2020-05-04 | 2020-08-24 | 2020-08-24 21:17:48 EDT |
| YYG-ParamSearch | Youyang Gu (YYG) | 177 | 2020-04-13 | 2020-10-05 | 2020-10-06 09:45:16 EDT |
| MSRA-DeepST | MSRA | 10 | 2020-10-12 | 2020-12-07 | 2020-12-07 13:20:32 EST |
| USACE-ERDC_SEIR | US Army Engineer Research and Development Center | 43 | 2020-05-14 | 2020-12-07 | 2020-12-07 13:18:13 EST |
| NotreDame-mobility | NotreDame-mobility | 27 | 2020-06-10 | 2020-12-14 | 2020-12-14 19:32:17 EST |
| NotreDame-FRED | NotreDame-FRED | 33 | 2020-04-27 | 2020-12-14 | 2020-12-16 13:24:25 EST |
| JCB-PRM | John Burant (JCB) | 24 | 2020-07-27 | 2020-12-28 | 2020-12-29 02:24:18 EST |
| Quantori-Multiagents | Quantori modeling | 1 | 2020-05-08 | 2020-05-08 | 2020-05-13 11:24:21 EDT |
| Imperial-ensemble2 | Imperial | 16 | 2020-03-15 | 2020-06-28 | 2020-06-30 08:28:29 EDT |
| Imperial-ensemble1 | Imperial | 16 | 2020-03-15 | 2020-06-28 | 2020-06-30 08:28:24 EDT |
| CovidActNow-SEIR_CAN | CovidActNow | 6 | 2020-05-09 | 2020-07-05 | 2020-07-08 08:17:23 EDT |
| STH-3PU | STH | 73 | 2020-05-29 | 2020-11-01 | 2020-11-01 19:42:50 EST |
| USC-SI_kJalpha_RF | University of Southern California Data Science Lab | 4 | 2020-11-01 | 2020-11-08 | 2020-11-11 15:42:38 EST |
| Yu_Group-CLEP | Berkeley Yu Group | 9 | 2020-08-08 | 2020-11-17 | 2020-11-19 07:17:36 EST |
| IQVIA_ACOE-STAN | IQVIA ACOE | 16 | 2020-08-23 | 2020-12-13 | 2020-12-14 01:21:09 EST |
| Wadhwani_AI-BayesOpt | Wadhwani AI Covid Data Science Team | 5 | 2020-12-05 | 2021-01-04 | 2021-01-04 19:52:40 EST |
| UCF-AEM | University of Central Florida | 9 | 2020-11-15 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-12 01:38:57 EST |
| Caltech-CS156 | Caltech CS156 | 11 | 2020-11-01 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-11 19:51:25 EST |
| JHU_UNC_GAS-StatMechPool | JHU_UNC_GAS | 10 | 2020-10-25 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-11 20:10:23 EST |
| UCSB-ACTS | UCSB | 13 | 2020-10-25 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-12 01:50:44 EST |
| JHU_CSSE-DECOM | Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering | 15 | 2020-10-05 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-12 01:54:24 EST |
| UCM_MESALab-FoGSEIR | University of California Merced MESA Lab | 25 | 2020-07-26 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-11 19:51:19 EST |
| Karlen-pypm | Karlen Working Group | 28 | 2020-07-20 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-11 01:43:18 EST |
| CMU-TimeSeries | Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group | 26 | 2020-07-20 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-12 01:38:25 EST |
| LNQ-ens1 | LockNQuay | 27 | 2020-07-12 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-11 20:12:33 EST |
| CU-scenario_high | Columbia University | 66 | 2020-04-12 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-11 21:09:40 EST |
| CU-scenario_mid | Columbia University | 66 | 2020-04-12 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-11 21:03:58 EST |
| CU-scenario_low | Columbia University | 66 | 2020-04-12 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-11 20:50:30 EST |
| OliverWyman-Navigator | Oliver Wyman | 32 | 2020-06-07 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-11 19:57:06 EST |
| Covid19Sim-Simulator | COVID-19 Simulator | 32 | 2020-05-24 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-11 20:01:33 EST |
| CU-nochange | Columbia University | 60 | 2020-04-12 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-11 20:04:28 EST |
| IowaStateLW-STEM | Iowa State - Lily Wang's Research Group | 36 | 2020-04-26 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-12 01:40:58 EST |
| JHU_IDD-CovidSP | Johns Hopkins ID Dynamics COVID-19 Working Group | 39 | 2020-04-24 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-12 11:50:30 EST |
| CU-select | Columbia University | 67 | 2020-04-12 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-11 20:56:59 EST |
| UMass-MechBayes | UMass-Amherst | 40 | 2020-04-26 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-11 19:59:13 EST |
| UCLA-SuEIR | UCLA Statistical Machine Learning Lab | 40 | 2020-05-01 | 2021-01-10 | 2021-01-11 21:17:10 EST |
| UpstateSU-GRU | SUNY Upstate and SU Covid-19 Prediction Team | 2 | 2021-01-04 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-12 11:56:21 EST |
| AIpert-pwllnod | AIpert.org team | 4 | 2020-12-21 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-12 11:55:24 EST |
| JHUAPL-SLPHospEns | JHUAPL | 6 | 2020-12-06 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-14 01:43:27 EST |
| Microsoft-DeepSTIA | Microsoft | 7 | 2020-12-07 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-12 01:52:59 EST |
| UCSD_NEU-DeepGLEAM | UCSD_NEU | 19 | 2020-09-07 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-11 21:21:41 EST |
| JHUAPL-Bucky | Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab | 20 | 2020-08-31 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-11 21:23:17 EST |
| SteveMcConnell-CovidComplete | Steve McConnell | 25 | 2020-08-22 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-11 21:02:31 EST |
| Google_Harvard-CPF | Google Cloud AI | 23 | 2020-08-13 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-12 01:36:22 EST |
| DDS-NBDS | Discrete Dynamical Systems | 32 | 2020-07-27 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-11 20:49:32 EST |
| UVA-Ensemble | University of Virginia, Biocomplexity COVID-19 Response Team | 26 | 2020-07-20 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-11 19:52:05 EST |
| UMich-RidgeTfReg | The University of Michigan | 28 | 2020-07-06 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-11 07:32:46 EST |
| COVIDhub-baseline | COVID-19 Forecast Hub | 41 | 2020-04-06 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-11 13:58:21 EST |
| RobertWalraven-ESG | Robert Walraven | 38 | 2020-06-28 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-11 19:56:41 EST |
| MITCovAlliance-SIR | COVID Alliance at MIT | 19 | 2020-06-18 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-11 20:09:41 EST |
| epiforecasts-ensemble1 | EpiForecasts group at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine | 32 | 2020-06-15 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-11 21:02:49 EST |
| PSI-DRAFT | Predictive Science Inc | 35 | 2020-05-18 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-11 21:21:16 EST |
| GT-DeepCOVID | GT | 39 | 2020-05-04 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-12 01:39:11 EST |
| UT-Mobility | UT-Austin COVID-19 Consortium | 34 | 2020-04-20 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-11 20:09:16 EST |
| CovidAnalytics-DELPHI | CovidAnalytics at MIT | 41 | 2020-04-22 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-12 01:35:58 EST |
| COVIDhub-ensemble | COVID-19 Forecast Hub | 40 | 2020-04-13 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-13 07:44:13 EST |
| LANL-GrowthRate | Los Alamos National Labs | 84 | 2020-04-06 | 2021-01-14 | 2021-01-15 14:07:08 EST |
| MIT_ISOLAT-Mixtures | IDSS COVID-19 Collaboration (Isolat) at MIT | 1 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-18 01:48:54 EST |
| OneQuietNight-ML | OneQuietNight | 9 | 2020-11-21 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-18 01:47:00 EST |
| FAIR-NRAR | Facebook AI Research | 38 | 2020-11-18 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-18 14:03:17 EST |
| UChicagoCHATTOPADHYAY-UnIT | University of Chicago, Chattopadhyay Lab | 10 | 2020-11-08 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-18 14:10:40 EST |
| BPagano-RtDriven | BPagano | 17 | 2020-10-04 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-18 14:12:48 EST |
| MIT_CritData-GBCF | MIT-CriticalData | 20 | 2020-09-06 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-18 14:05:04 EST |
| WalmartLabsML-LogForecasting | Walmart Labs Data Science Team | 21 | 2020-08-23 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-18 07:42:33 EST |
| RPI_UW-Mob_Collision | RPI and UW | 26 | 2020-08-03 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-18 01:55:05 EST |
| TTU-squider | Hussain Lab at Texas Tech University | 20 | 2020-08-17 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-18 02:02:29 EST |
| PandemicCentral-USCounty | Pandemic Central (itsonit.com) | 24 | 2020-08-05 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-18 01:55:57 EST |
| USC-SI_kJalpha | University of Southern California Data Science Lab | 45 | 2020-05-10 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-18 07:40:26 EST |
| Columbia_UNC-SurvCon | Columbia_UNC | 32 | 2020-06-16 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-18 01:54:25 EST |
| UA-EpiCovDA | University of Arizona | 37 | 2020-05-17 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-18 14:05:57 EST |
| Geneva-DetGrowth | University of Geneva / Swiss Data Science Center | 78 | 2020-04-15 | 2021-01-17 | 2021-01-18 07:37:38 EST |
| IHME-CurveFit | Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation | 44 | 2020-03-27 | 2021-01-15 | 2021-01-18 01:59:03 EST |
| SigSci-TS | Signature Science FOCUS | 2 | 2021-01-11 | 2021-01-18 | 2021-01-18 14:04:52 EST |
| IEM_MED-CovidProject | IEM MED | 7 | 2020-12-07 | 2021-01-18 | 2021-01-18 14:11:47 EST |
| IBF-TimeSeries | Institute of Business Forecasting | 19 | 2020-09-07 | 2021-01-18 | 2021-01-18 14:12:41 EST |
| CEID-Walk | University of Georgia Center for the Ecology of Infectious Diseases Forecasting Working Group | 25 | 2020-08-09 | 2021-01-18 | 2021-01-18 14:07:26 EST |
| QJHong-Encounter | QJHong | 39 | 2020-06-24 | 2021-01-18 | 2021-01-18 14:09:57 EST |
| MOBS-GLEAM_COVID | MOBS Lab at Northeastern | 46 | 2020-04-13 | 2021-01-18 | 2021-01-18 14:12:29 EST |
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Targets (441)
| Target Group | # Targets | Type | Unit | Step ahead? | Example Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| day ahead cum death | 131 | continuous | cumulative deaths | “0 day ahead cum death” | |
| day ahead inc death | 131 | continuous | incident deaths | “0 day ahead inc death” | |
| day ahead inc hosp | 131 | continuous | incident hospitalization | “0 day ahead inc hosp” | |
| wk ahead cum death | 20 | continuous | cumulative deaths | “1 wk ahead cum death” | |
| wk ahead inc case | 8 | continuous | incident case | “1 wk ahead inc case” | |
| wk ahead inc death | 20 | continuous | incident deaths | “1 wk ahead inc death” |
Time zeros (268)
| Time Zero | Data Version Date | # Forecasts | Starts Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-12-30 | (No data version date) | 0 | “2019-2020” |
| 2020-01-06 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-01-13 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-01-20 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-01-27 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-03 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-10 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-17 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-02-24 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-02 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-09 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-15 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-03-16 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-22 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-03-23 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-03-27 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-03-29 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-03-30 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-03-31 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-04-01 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-04-05 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-04-06 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-07 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-04-08 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
| 2020-04-09 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-12 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
| 2020-04-13 | (No data version date) | 6 | |
| 2020-04-14 | (No data version date) | 1 | |
| 2020-04-15 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-16 | (No data version date) | 9 | |
| 2020-04-17 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-18 | (No data version date) | 2 | |
| 2020-04-19 | (No data version date) | 9 | |
| 2020-04-20 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
| 2020-04-21 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-04-22 | (No data version date) | 3 | |
| 2020-04-23 | (No data version date) | 8 | |
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