Model: University of Arizona - UA-EpiCovDA

    Name: EpiGro Covid-19 model with Data Assimilation
    Abbreviation: UA-EpiCovDA
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: University of Arizona
    Description: SIR mechanistic model with data assimilation.
    Contributors: Hannah Biegel <hbiegel@math.arizona.edu> and Joceline Lega <lega@math.arizona.edu>
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: primary
    Citation: Missing
    Methods: EpiCovDA is an extension of the EpiGro model. Model parameters are fit to Covid-19 data using a variational data assimilation method. A prior distribution of the parameters is estimated by fitting an SIR Incidence-Cumulative Cases curve to data from states that had at least 1000 cases by 04/01/2020. See <https://jocelinelega.github.io/EpiGro/> for more information about EpiGro.
    Home: https://jocelinelega.github.io/EpiGro/
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (76)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2020-05-05 (No data)
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    2020-08-02 2020-08-02-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2020-08-03 17:48:12 UTC 2020-08-03 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-05-23 2020-05-23-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2020-07-13 18:39:46 UTC 2020-07-13 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-08-09 2020-08-09-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2020-08-11 18:19:21 UTC 2020-08-11 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-08-16 2020-08-16-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2020-08-17 18:19:59 UTC 2020-08-17 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-08-30 2020-08-30-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2020-09-01 01:15:53 UTC 2020-09-01 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-09-06 2020-09-06-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2020-09-07 18:30:34 UTC 2020-09-07 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-09-13 2020-09-13-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2020-09-15 01:09:43 UTC 2020-09-15 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-05-17 2020-05-17-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2020-05-18 18:34:01 UTC 2020-05-18 12:00:00 UTC 1 of 2
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    2020-07-19 2020-07-19-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2020-07-21 03:26:53 UTC 2020-07-21 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-07-26 2020-07-26-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2020-07-28 01:38:56 UTC 2020-07-28 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-09-27 2020-09-27-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2020-09-28 18:29:49 UTC 2020-09-28 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-10-04 2020-10-04-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2020-10-05 18:30:37 UTC 2020-10-05 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-10-11 2020-10-11-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2020-10-13 01:25:09 UTC 2020-10-13 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-07-18 2021-07-18-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-07-19 18:51:27 UTC 2021-07-19 18:51:27 UTC
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    2021-07-25 2021-07-25-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-07-26 19:24:14 UTC 2021-07-26 19:24:14 UTC
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    2021-08-22 2021-08-22-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-08-24 00:27:57 UTC 2021-08-24 00:27:57 UTC
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    2021-09-06 2021-09-06-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-09-07 00:25:17 UTC 2021-09-07 00:25:17 UTC
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    2021-09-19 2021-09-19-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-09-20 03:00:14 UTC 2021-09-20 03:00:14 UTC
    2021-09-21 (No data)
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    2021-10-04 2021-10-04-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-10-04 18:48:57 UTC 2021-10-04 18:48:57 UTC
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    2021-10-11 2021-10-11-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-10-11 18:37:44 UTC 2021-10-11 18:37:44 UTC
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    2020-10-18 2020-10-18-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2020-10-20 18:51:20 UTC 2020-10-20 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-07-04 2021-07-04-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-07-05 18:34:00 UTC 2021-07-05 18:34:00 UTC
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    2021-08-01 2021-08-01-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-08-02 18:32:41 UTC 2021-08-02 18:32:41 UTC
    2021-08-08 2021-08-08-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-08-10 00:42:09 UTC 2021-08-10 00:42:09 UTC
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    2021-01-31 2021-01-31-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-02-02 00:58:48 UTC 2021-02-01 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-01-29 (No data)
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    2021-02-07 2021-02-07-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-02-08 18:37:19 UTC 2021-02-08 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-02-08 (No data)
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    2021-02-12 (No data)
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    2021-02-14 2021-02-14-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-02-16 00:41:14 UTC 2021-02-15 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-02-15 (No data)
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    2021-02-21 2021-02-21-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-02-23 01:13:49 UTC 2021-02-22 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-02-22 (No data)
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    2021-02-28 2021-02-28-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-03-02 01:28:30 UTC 2021-03-01 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-01 (No data)
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    2021-03-07 2021-03-07-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-03-09 00:33:41 UTC 2021-03-08 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-08 (No data)
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    2021-03-14 2021-03-14-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-03-16 00:38:34 UTC 2021-03-15 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-15 (No data)
    2021-03-21 2021-03-21-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-03-23 00:38:20 UTC 2021-03-22 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-20 (No data)
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    2021-03-28 2021-03-28-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-03-30 01:11:46 UTC 2021-03-29 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-29 (No data)
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    2021-04-04 2021-04-04-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-04-06 01:11:09 UTC 2021-04-05 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-05 (No data)
    2021-04-08 (No data)
    2021-04-10 (No data)
    2021-04-11 2021-04-11-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-04-13 04:37:17 UTC 2021-04-13 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-12 (No data)
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    2021-04-18 2021-04-18-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-04-20 00:33:18 UTC 2021-04-19 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-17 (No data)
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    2021-04-25 2021-04-25-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-04-27 00:47:26 UTC 2021-04-26 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-24 (No data)
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    2021-05-02 2021-05-02-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-05-04 04:05:54 UTC 2021-05-04 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-05-03 (No data)
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    2021-05-09 2021-05-09-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-05-10 18:52:27 UTC 2021-05-10 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-05-10 (No data)
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    2021-05-16 2021-05-16-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-05-17 18:44:06 UTC 2021-05-17 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-05-17 (No data)
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    2021-05-20 (No data)
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    2021-05-23 2021-05-23-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-05-24 19:05:58 UTC 2021-05-24 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-05-24 (No data)
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    2021-07-26 (No data)
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    2021-05-30 2021-05-30-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-05-31 19:52:25 UTC 2021-05-31 19:52:25 UTC
    2021-05-31 (No data)
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    2021-06-06 2021-06-06-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-06-07 20:03:22 UTC 2021-06-07 20:03:22 UTC
    2021-06-05 (No data)
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    2021-06-13 2021-06-13-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-06-14 18:56:56 UTC 2021-06-14 18:56:56 UTC
    2021-06-14 (No data)
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    2021-06-18 (No data)
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    2021-06-20 2021-06-20-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-06-21 18:30:37 UTC 2021-06-21 18:30:37 UTC
    2021-06-21 (No data)
    2021-06-22 (No data)
    2021-08-15 2021-08-15-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-08-16 18:44:54 UTC 2021-08-16 18:44:54 UTC
    2021-08-11 (No data)
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    2021-06-27 2021-06-27-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-06-29 01:33:50 UTC 2021-06-29 01:33:50 UTC
    2021-06-28 (No data)
    2021-08-25 (No data)
    2021-08-29 2021-08-29-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-08-30 00:23:20 UTC 2021-08-30 00:23:20 UTC
    2021-09-05 (No data)
    2021-09-20 (No data)
    2021-09-26 2021-09-26-UA-EpiCovDA.csv 2021-09-27 06:26:08 UTC 2021-09-27 06:26:08 UTC
    2021-10-17 (No data)
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