Model: UMass-Amherst Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence - UMass-ExpertCrowd

    Name: Expert consensus distributions
    Abbreviation: UMass-ExpertCrowd
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: UMass-Amherst Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence
    Description: A consensus forecast from experts in the modeling of infectious disease, public health, and epidemiology.
    Contributors: thomas mcandrew <mcandrew@umass.edu> Nicholas G. Reich <nick@schoolph.umass.edu>
    License: Other License
    Notes: other
    Citation: Missing
    Methods: April 22: Experts in the modeling of infectious disease, public health, and epidemiology provide forecasts of the smallest, most likely, and largest possible cumulative number of deaths at the US level. We transform each expert's three estimates into a triangular probability distribution and take an equally-weighted average of expert predictive densities.
    Home: https://github.com/tomcm39/COVID19_expert_survey
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (2)

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