Model: UMass-Amherst - UMass-MechBayes

    Name: MechBayes
    Abbreviation: UMass-MechBayes
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: UMass-Amherst
    Description: Bayesian compartmental model with observations on cumulative case counts and cumulative deaths. Model is fit independently to each state. Model includes observation noise and a case detection rate.
    Contributors: Dan Sheldon<sheldon@cs.umass.edu>, Graham Gibson<gcgibson@umass.edu>, Nick Reich
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: primary
    Citation: Missing
    Methods: See GitHub for full description
    Home: https://github.com/dsheldon/covid
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (102)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2020-05-05 (No data)
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    2020-08-02 2020-08-02-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-08-03 17:47:42 UTC 2020-08-03 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-05-10 2020-05-10-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-01-12 22:14:40 UTC 2020-05-11 12:00:00 UTC 1 of 2
    2020-05-10 2020-05-10-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-05-13 17:04:12 UTC 2020-05-13 12:00:00 UTC 2 of 2
    2020-05-23 (No data)
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    2020-08-09 2020-08-09-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-08-10 18:20:47 UTC 2020-08-10 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-08-11 (No data)
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    2020-08-16 2020-08-16-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-08-17 18:19:08 UTC 2020-08-17 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-08-18 (No data)
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    2020-08-23 2020-08-23-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-08-24 18:25:05 UTC 2020-08-24 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-08-30 2020-08-30-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-09-01 00:57:12 UTC 2020-09-01 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-09-06 2020-09-06-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-09-08 01:48:29 UTC 2020-09-08 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-09-08 (No data)
    2020-09-13 2020-09-13-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-09-14 18:26:41 UTC 2020-09-14 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-09-19 (No data)
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    2020-04-26 2020-04-26-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-05-13 17:04:10 UTC 2020-05-13 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-05-03 2020-05-03-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-05-13 17:04:11 UTC 2020-05-13 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-05-17 2020-05-17-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-05-19 02:25:59 UTC 2020-05-19 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-05-24 2020-05-24-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-05-26 00:02:35 UTC 2020-05-26 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-05-31 2020-05-31-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-01-20 23:44:59 UTC 2020-06-01 12:00:00 UTC 1 of 2
    2020-05-31 2020-05-31-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-06-19 02:47:58 UTC 2020-06-19 12:00:00 UTC 2 of 2
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    2020-06-07 2020-06-07-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-06-08 22:53:51 UTC 2020-06-08 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-06-14 2020-06-14-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-06-15 20:05:49 UTC 2020-06-15 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-06-21 2020-06-21-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-06-22 22:07:19 UTC 2020-06-22 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-06-28 2020-06-28-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-06-29 22:35:50 UTC 2020-06-29 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-07-05 2020-07-05-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-01-12 22:14:57 UTC 2020-07-07 12:00:00 UTC 1 of 2
    2020-07-05 2020-07-05-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-11-06 01:25:33 UTC 2020-11-06 12:00:00 UTC 2 of 2
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    2020-07-12 2020-07-12-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-01-21 00:14:15 UTC 2020-07-13 12:00:00 UTC 1 of 2
    2020-07-12 2020-07-12-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-07-17 21:00:45 UTC 2020-07-17 12:00:00 UTC 2 of 2
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    2020-07-19 2020-07-19-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-07-21 03:10:01 UTC 2020-07-21 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-07-26 2020-07-26-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-07-28 01:29:37 UTC 2020-07-28 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-09-20 2020-09-20-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-09-21 18:27:53 UTC 2020-09-21 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-09-27 2020-09-27-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-09-29 01:24:18 UTC 2020-09-29 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-10-04 2020-10-04-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-10-06 12:58:50 UTC 2020-10-06 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-10-11 2020-10-11-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-10-13 01:20:18 UTC 2020-10-13 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-07-11 2021-07-11-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-07-12 18:53:52 UTC 2021-07-12 18:53:52 UTC
    2021-07-13 (No data)
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    2021-07-18 2021-07-18-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-07-20 01:07:52 UTC 2021-07-20 01:07:52 UTC
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    2021-07-25 2021-07-25-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-07-27 01:42:30 UTC 2021-07-27 01:42:30 UTC
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    2021-08-22 2021-08-22-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-08-24 00:38:09 UTC 2021-08-24 00:38:09 UTC
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    2021-09-12 2021-09-12-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-09-13 18:32:39 UTC 2021-09-13 18:32:39 UTC
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    2021-09-19 2021-09-19-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-09-20 18:54:51 UTC 2021-09-20 18:54:51 UTC
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    2021-10-03 2021-10-03-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-10-04 18:51:51 UTC 2021-10-04 18:51:51 UTC
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    2021-11-14 2021-11-14-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-11-15 18:29:54 UTC 2021-11-15 18:29:54 UTC
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    2021-12-12 2021-12-12-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-12-13 18:39:06 UTC 2021-12-13 18:39:06 UTC 1 of 2
    2021-12-12 2021-12-12-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-12-14 00:29:59 UTC 2021-12-14 00:29:59 UTC 2 of 2
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    2022-01-02 2022-01-02-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2022-01-04 00:40:55 UTC 2022-01-04 00:40:55 UTC
    2022-01-09 2022-01-09-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2022-01-10 18:31:35 UTC 2022-01-10 18:31:35 UTC
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    2022-01-23 2022-01-23-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2022-01-25 00:36:39 UTC 2022-01-25 00:36:39 UTC
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    2022-02-13 2022-02-13-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2022-02-14 18:41:32 UTC 2022-02-14 18:41:32 UTC
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    2020-10-18 2020-10-18-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-10-19 18:55:54 UTC 2020-10-19 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-11-21 2021-11-21-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-11-22 18:30:31 UTC 2021-11-22 18:30:31 UTC
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    2021-12-19 2021-12-19-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-12-21 00:44:21 UTC 2021-12-21 00:44:21 UTC 1 of 2
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    2020-10-25 2020-10-25-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-10-27 01:24:27 UTC 2020-10-27 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-12-06 2020-12-06-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-12-08 00:45:41 UTC 2020-12-07 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-12-13 2020-12-13-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-12-14 18:36:17 UTC 2020-12-14 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-12-20 2020-12-20-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-12-22 00:39:42 UTC 2020-12-21 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-12-27 2020-12-27-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-12-29 06:37:21 UTC 2020-12-29 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-01-03 2021-01-03-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-01-05 00:51:28 UTC 2021-01-04 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-01-10 2021-01-10-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-01-12 00:59:13 UTC 2021-01-11 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-01-17 2021-01-17-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-01-19 01:07:00 UTC 2021-01-18 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-01-24 2021-01-24-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-01-26 00:40:23 UTC 2021-01-25 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-01-31 2021-01-31-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-02-02 00:50:39 UTC 2021-02-01 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-02-07 2021-02-07-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-02-09 01:09:43 UTC 2021-02-08 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-02-14 2021-02-14-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-02-16 00:57:44 UTC 2021-02-15 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-02-21 2021-02-21-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-02-23 00:34:42 UTC 2021-02-22 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-02-28 2021-02-28-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-03-02 00:32:19 UTC 2021-03-01 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-03-07 2021-03-07-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-03-09 00:34:00 UTC 2021-03-08 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-03-14 2021-03-14-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-03-16 00:38:57 UTC 2021-03-15 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-03-21 2021-03-21-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-03-23 00:38:40 UTC 2021-03-22 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-03-28 2021-03-28-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-03-30 00:43:57 UTC 2021-03-29 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-04-04 2021-04-04-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-04-06 00:40:52 UTC 2021-04-05 12:00:00 UTC 1 of 2
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    2021-04-11 2021-04-11-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-04-13 04:42:32 UTC 2021-04-13 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-04-18 2021-04-18-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-04-20 01:01:09 UTC 2021-04-19 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-04-25 2021-04-25-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-04-27 00:41:50 UTC 2021-04-26 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-05-02 2021-05-02-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-05-04 03:47:12 UTC 2021-05-03 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-05-09 2021-05-09-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-05-11 00:44:34 UTC 2021-05-10 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-05-16 2021-05-16-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-05-17 18:45:18 UTC 2021-05-17 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-05-23 2021-05-23-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-05-24 19:02:50 UTC 2021-05-24 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-05-30 2021-05-30-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-06-01 01:50:06 UTC 2021-06-01 01:50:06 UTC
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    2021-06-06 2021-06-06-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-06-08 01:54:23 UTC 2021-06-08 01:54:23 UTC
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    2021-06-13 2021-06-13-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-06-14 18:36:42 UTC 2021-06-14 18:36:42 UTC
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    2021-06-20 2021-06-20-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-06-21 18:49:51 UTC 2021-06-21 18:49:51 UTC
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    2021-08-15 2021-08-15-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-08-16 18:32:30 UTC 2021-08-16 18:32:30 UTC
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    2021-06-27 2021-06-27-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-06-29 01:33:24 UTC 2021-06-29 01:33:24 UTC
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    2021-08-29 2021-08-29-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-08-30 18:33:48 UTC 2021-08-30 18:33:48 UTC
    2021-09-05 2021-09-05-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-09-06 18:45:01 UTC 2021-09-06 18:45:01 UTC
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    2021-10-17 2021-10-17-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-10-18 18:30:32 UTC 2021-10-18 18:30:32 UTC
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    2022-01-16 2022-01-16-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2022-01-17 18:31:39 UTC 2022-01-17 18:31:39 UTC
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    2022-02-06 2022-02-06-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2022-02-07 18:30:16 UTC 2022-02-07 18:30:16 UTC
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