Model: UMass-Amherst - UMass-MechBayes

    Name: MechBayes
    Abbreviation: UMass-MechBayes
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: UMass-Amherst
    Description: Bayesian compartmental model with observations on cumulative case counts and cumulative deaths. Model is fit independently to each state. Model includes observation noise and a case detection rate.
    Contributors: Dan Sheldon<sheldon@cs.umass.edu>, Graham Gibson<gcgibson@umass.edu>, Nick Reich
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: primary
    Citation: Missing
    Methods: See GitHub for full description
    Home: https://github.com/dsheldon/covid
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (40)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issue date Version
    2021-01-18 (No data)
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    2021-01-10 2021-01-10-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-01-12 00:59:13 UTC 2021-01-11
    2021-01-06 (No data)
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    2021-01-03 2021-01-03-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-01-05 00:51:28 UTC 2021-01-04
    2020-12-30 (No data)
    2020-12-27 2020-12-27-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-12-29 06:37:21 UTC 2020-12-29
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    2020-12-20 2020-12-20-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-12-22 00:39:42 UTC 2020-12-21
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    2020-12-13 2020-12-13-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-12-14 18:36:17 UTC 2020-12-14
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    2020-12-06 2020-12-06-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-12-08 00:45:41 UTC 2020-12-07
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    2020-11-29 2020-11-29-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-12-01 06:21:55 UTC 2020-12-01
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    2020-11-22 2020-11-22-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-11-24 06:15:52 UTC 2020-11-24
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    2020-11-15 2020-11-15-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-11-17 00:23:58 UTC 2020-11-17
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    2020-11-08 2020-11-08-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-11-11 20:49:14 UTC 2020-11-11
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    2020-11-01 2020-11-01-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-11-03 00:49:48 UTC 2020-11-03
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    2020-10-25 2020-10-25-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-10-27 01:24:27 UTC 2020-10-27
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    2020-10-18 2020-10-18-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-10-19 18:55:54 UTC 2020-10-19
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    2020-10-11 2020-10-11-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-10-13 01:20:18 UTC 2020-10-13
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    2020-10-04 2020-10-04-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-10-06 12:58:50 UTC 2020-10-06
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    2020-09-27 2020-09-27-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-09-29 01:24:18 UTC 2020-09-29
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    2020-09-20 2020-09-20-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-09-21 18:27:53 UTC 2020-09-21
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    2020-09-13 2020-09-13-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-09-14 18:26:41 UTC 2020-09-14
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    2020-09-06 2020-09-06-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-09-08 01:48:29 UTC 2020-09-08
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    2020-08-30 2020-08-30-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-09-01 00:57:12 UTC 2020-09-01
    2020-08-27 (No data)
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    2020-08-23 2020-08-23-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-08-24 18:25:05 UTC 2020-08-24
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    2020-08-16 2020-08-16-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-08-17 18:19:08 UTC 2020-08-17
    2020-08-15 (No data)
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    2020-08-09 2020-08-09-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-08-10 18:20:47 UTC 2020-08-10
    2020-08-08 (No data)
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    2020-08-02 2020-08-02-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-08-03 17:47:42 UTC 2020-08-03
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    2020-07-26 2020-07-26-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-07-28 01:29:37 UTC 2020-07-28
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    2020-07-19 2020-07-19-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-07-21 03:10:01 UTC 2020-07-21
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    2020-07-12 2020-07-12-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-07-17 21:00:45 UTC 2020-07-17
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    2020-07-05 2020-07-05-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-01-12 22:14:57 UTC 2020-07-07 1 of 2
    2020-07-05 2020-07-05-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-11-06 01:25:33 UTC 2020-11-06 2 of 2
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    2020-06-28 2020-06-28-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-06-29 22:35:50 UTC 2020-06-29
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    2020-06-21 2020-06-21-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-06-22 22:07:19 UTC 2020-06-22
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    2020-06-14 2020-06-14-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-06-15 20:05:49 UTC 2020-06-15
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    2020-06-07 2020-06-07-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-06-08 22:53:51 UTC 2020-06-08
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    2020-05-31 2020-05-31-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-06-19 02:47:58 UTC 2020-06-19
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    2020-05-24 2020-05-24-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-05-26 00:02:35 UTC 2020-05-26
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    2020-05-17 2020-05-17-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-05-19 02:25:59 UTC 2020-05-19
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    2020-05-10 2020-05-10-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2021-01-12 22:14:40 UTC 2020-05-11 1 of 2
    2020-05-10 2020-05-10-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-05-13 17:04:12 UTC 2020-05-13 2 of 2
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    2020-05-03 2020-05-03-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-05-13 17:04:11 UTC 2020-05-13
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    2020-04-26 2020-04-26-UMass-MechBayes.csv 2020-05-13 17:04:10 UTC 2020-05-13
    2020-04-23 (No data)
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