Model: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation - IHME-CurveFit

    Name: CurveFit
    Abbreviation: IHME-CurveFit
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
    Description: This model makes predictions about the future that are dependent on the assumption that current interventions continue. Non-linear mixed efects curve-fitting.
    Contributors: Christopher Murry <cjlm@u.washington.edu>, et al, IHME-CurveFit Team <covid19@healthdata.org>
    License: Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial 4.0
    Notes: primary
    Citation: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.27.20043752v1
    Methods: This model makes predictions about the future that are dependent on the assumption that current interventions continue. The modeling approach in this study is divided into four components: (i) identification and processing of COVID-19 data; (ii) statistical model estimation for population death rates as a function of time since the death rate exceeds a threshold in a location; (iii) predicting time to exceed a given population death threshold in states early in the pandemic; and (iv) modeling health service utilization as a function of deaths." CurveFit package available at: https://github.com/ihmeuw-msca/CurveFit
    Home: https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (38)

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    2020-03-27 2020-03-27-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2020-05-13 14:28:21 EDT
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