Model: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation - IHME-CurveFit

    Name: CurveFit
    Abbreviation: IHME-CurveFit
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
    Description: This model makes predictions about the future that are dependent on the assumption that current interventions continue. Non-linear mixed efects curve-fitting.
    Contributors: Christopher Murry <cjlm@u.washington.edu>, et al, IHME-CurveFit Team <covid19@healthdata.org>
    License: Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial 4.0
    Notes: primary
    Citation: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.27.20043752v1
    Methods: This model makes predictions about the future that are dependent on the assumption that current interventions continue. The modeling approach in this study is divided into four components: (i) identification and processing of COVID-19 data; (ii) statistical model estimation for population death rates as a function of time since the death rate exceeds a threshold in a location; (iii) predicting time to exceed a given population death threshold in states early in the pandemic; and (iv) modeling health service utilization as a function of deaths." CurveFit package available at: https://github.com/ihmeuw-msca/CurveFit
    Home: https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (83)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
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    2020-08-06 2020-08-06-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2020-08-07 00:39:18 UTC 2020-08-07 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-08-27 2020-08-27-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2020-08-28 12:28:53 UTC 2020-08-28 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-09-03 2020-09-03-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2020-09-05 01:18:28 UTC 2020-09-05 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-04-20 2020-04-20-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2020-05-13 18:55:05 UTC 2020-05-13 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-04-27 2020-04-27-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2020-05-13 18:59:36 UTC 2020-05-13 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-05-04 2020-05-04-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2020-05-13 19:15:53 UTC 2020-05-13 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-06-29 2020-06-29-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2020-06-29 23:16:01 UTC 2020-06-29 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-07-06 2020-07-06-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2020-07-07 13:24:36 UTC 2020-07-07 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-04-12 2020-04-12-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2020-05-13 18:50:19 UTC 2020-05-13 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-05-12 2020-05-12-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-01-20 22:32:12 UTC 2020-05-16 12:00:00 UTC 1 of 3
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    2020-07-17 2020-07-17-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2020-07-20 11:17:46 UTC 2020-07-20 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-03-15 2021-03-15-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-03-16 02:35:46 UTC 2021-03-15 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-03-18 2021-03-18-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-03-22 06:47:46 UTC 2021-03-22 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-22 (No data)
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    2021-03-25 2021-03-25-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-03-26 00:35:39 UTC 2021-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-04-01 2021-04-01-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-04-02 00:40:29 UTC 2021-04-01 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-04-16 2021-04-16-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-04-17 00:25:01 UTC 2021-04-16 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-18 (No data)
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    2021-04-23 2021-04-23-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-04-24 00:26:18 UTC 2021-04-23 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-25 (No data)
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    2021-07-23 2021-07-23-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-07-26 19:08:55 UTC 2021-07-26 19:08:55 UTC
    2021-05-06 (No data)
    2021-05-07 2021-05-07-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-05-08 00:35:57 UTC 2021-05-07 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-05-08 (No data)
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    2021-05-17 2021-05-17-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-05-18 01:19:29 UTC 2021-05-17 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-05-19 (No data)
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    2021-05-24 2021-05-24-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-05-24 18:55:23 UTC 2021-05-24 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-05-22 (No data)
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    2021-05-28 2021-05-28-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-05-29 01:11:44 UTC 2021-05-29 01:11:44 UTC
    2021-05-29 (No data)
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    2021-06-07 2021-06-07-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-06-07 20:26:21 UTC 2021-06-07 20:26:21 UTC
    2021-06-08 (No data)
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    2021-06-11 2021-06-11-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-06-12 00:40:58 UTC 2021-06-12 00:40:58 UTC
    2021-06-13 (No data)
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    2021-06-18 2021-06-18-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-06-19 00:41:19 UTC 2021-06-19 00:41:19 UTC
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    2021-06-25 2021-06-25-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-06-25 18:28:15 UTC 2021-06-25 18:28:15 UTC
    2021-06-27 (No data)
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