Model: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation - IHME-CurveFit

    Name: CurveFit
    Abbreviation: IHME-CurveFit
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
    Description: This model makes predictions about the future that are dependent on the assumption that current interventions continue. Non-linear mixed efects curve-fitting.
    Contributors: Christopher Murry <cjlm@u.washington.edu>, et al, IHME-CurveFit Team <covid19@healthdata.org>
    License: Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial 4.0
    Notes: primary
    Citation: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.27.20043752v1
    Methods: This model makes predictions about the future that are dependent on the assumption that current interventions continue. The modeling approach in this study is divided into four components: (i) identification and processing of COVID-19 data; (ii) statistical model estimation for population death rates as a function of time since the death rate exceeds a threshold in a location; (iii) predicting time to exceed a given population death threshold in states early in the pandemic; and (iv) modeling health service utilization as a function of deaths." CurveFit package available at: https://github.com/ihmeuw-msca/CurveFit
    Home: https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (58)

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    2021-04-01 2021-04-01-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-04-02 00:40:29 UTC 2021-04-01
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    2021-03-18 2021-03-18-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-03-22 06:47:46 UTC 2021-03-22
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    2020-12-23 2020-12-23-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2020-12-28 18:45:40 UTC 2020-12-28
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    2020-12-10 2020-12-10-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2020-12-11 12:31:21 UTC 2020-12-11
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    2020-05-12 2020-05-12-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2021-01-20 22:32:12 UTC 2020-05-16 1 of 3
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    2020-04-09 2020-04-09-IHME-CurveFit.csv 2020-05-13 18:47:19 UTC 2020-05-13
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