Model: COVIDhub_CDC - COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble

    Name: ensemble
    Abbreviation: COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: COVIDhub_CDC
    Description: An ensemble, or model combination, of submitted forecasts to the COVID-19 Forecast Hub.
    Contributors: Evan L. Ray, Nicholas Reich, Aaron Gerding, Estee Y. Cramer, Nutcha Wattanachit, Pragati Prasad, Velma Lopez, Jo Walker, Alex Webber, Matthew Biggerstaff (mbiggerstaff@cdc.gov), Michael Johansson (mjohansson@cdc.gov)
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: primary
    Citation: Missing
    Methods: This model collects the forecasts that have been communicated by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Prior to July 28, 2020, this model's forecasts were calculated as an equally weighted mean of forecasts from all eligible models (COVIDhub-4_week_ensemble). Starting the week of July 28, 2020, an equally weighted median of eligible forecasts was used (COVIDhub-4_week_ensemble). Starting the week of Novermber 15, 2020, an equally weighted median of eligible forecasts was used for forecasts of cases and hospitalizations (COVIDhub-4_week_ensemble), and a weighted median was used for forecasts of incident and cumulative deaths (COVIDhub-trained_ensemble). The weighted median calculates model weights based on their relative performance over the 12 weeks prior to the forecast date.
    Home: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/science/forecasting/mathematical-modeling.html
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (85)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2020-05-05 (No data)
    2019-12-30 (No data)
    2020-03-15 (No data)
    2020-05-16 (No data)
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    2020-05-07 (No data)
    2020-08-01 (No data)
    2020-07-31 (No data)
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    2020-03-23 (No data)
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    2020-04-06 (No data)
    2020-04-13 2020-04-13-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:23:09 UTC 2021-11-16 17:23:09 UTC
    2020-04-20 (No data)
    2020-04-27 2020-04-27-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:02:50 UTC 2021-11-16 17:02:50 UTC
    2020-05-04 2020-05-04-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:55:43 UTC 2021-11-16 16:55:43 UTC
    2020-05-11 2020-05-11-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 15:54:38 UTC 2021-11-16 15:54:38 UTC
    2020-05-18 2020-05-18-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:35:45 UTC 2021-11-16 16:35:45 UTC
    2020-05-25 2020-05-25-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:23:13 UTC 2021-11-16 17:23:13 UTC
    2020-06-01 2020-06-01-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:11:13 UTC 2021-11-16 17:11:13 UTC
    2020-06-08 2020-06-08-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:02:46 UTC 2021-11-16 17:02:46 UTC
    2020-06-15 2020-06-15-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:02:56 UTC 2021-11-16 17:02:56 UTC
    2020-06-22 2020-06-22-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 15:42:52 UTC 2021-11-16 15:42:52 UTC
    2020-06-29 2020-06-29-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:39:56 UTC 2021-11-16 16:39:56 UTC
    2020-07-06 2020-07-06-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:52:54 UTC 2021-11-16 16:52:54 UTC
    2020-07-13 2020-07-13-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:26:11 UTC 2021-11-16 16:26:11 UTC
    2020-07-20 2020-07-20-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 15:48:00 UTC 2021-11-16 15:48:00 UTC
    2020-07-27 2020-07-27-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:20:36 UTC 2021-11-16 17:20:36 UTC
    2020-08-03 2020-08-03-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:18:35 UTC 2021-11-16 16:18:35 UTC
    2020-08-10 2020-08-10-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:22:26 UTC 2021-11-16 16:22:26 UTC
    2020-08-17 2020-08-17-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:51:23 UTC 2021-11-16 16:51:23 UTC
    2020-08-24 2020-08-24-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:00:19 UTC 2021-11-16 17:00:19 UTC
    2020-08-31 2020-08-31-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:43:04 UTC 2021-11-16 16:43:04 UTC
    2020-09-07 2020-09-07-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:17:38 UTC 2021-11-16 17:17:38 UTC
    2020-09-14 2020-09-14-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:27:56 UTC 2021-11-16 16:27:56 UTC
    2020-09-21 2020-09-21-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:07:32 UTC 2021-11-16 17:07:32 UTC
    2020-09-28 2020-09-28-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 15:43:14 UTC 2021-11-16 15:43:14 UTC
    2020-10-05 2020-10-05-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:59:10 UTC 2021-11-16 16:59:10 UTC
    2020-10-12 2020-10-12-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 15:38:51 UTC 2021-11-16 15:38:51 UTC
    2020-10-19 2020-10-19-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:06:03 UTC 2021-11-16 17:06:03 UTC
    2020-10-26 2020-10-26-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 15:58:28 UTC 2021-11-16 15:58:28 UTC
    2020-11-02 2020-11-02-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 15:54:59 UTC 2021-11-16 15:54:59 UTC
    2020-11-09 2020-11-09-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:47:19 UTC 2021-11-16 16:47:19 UTC
    2020-11-16 2020-11-16-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:13:14 UTC 2021-11-16 17:13:14 UTC
    2020-11-23 2020-11-23-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:09:52 UTC 2021-11-16 16:09:52 UTC
    2020-11-30 2020-11-30-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 15:56:23 UTC 2021-11-16 15:56:23 UTC
    2020-12-07 2020-12-07-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:57:28 UTC 2021-11-16 16:57:28 UTC
    2020-12-14 2020-12-14-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:14:30 UTC 2021-11-16 17:14:30 UTC
    2020-12-21 2020-12-21-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:40:20 UTC 2021-11-16 16:40:20 UTC
    2020-12-28 2020-12-28-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:54:45 UTC 2021-11-16 16:54:45 UTC
    2020-04-12 (No data)
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    2021-06-29 (No data)
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    2021-07-05 2021-07-05-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:08:45 UTC 2021-11-16 17:08:45 UTC
    2021-07-06 (No data)
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    2021-08-02 2021-08-02-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:56:07 UTC 2021-11-16 16:56:07 UTC
    2021-08-03 (No data)
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    2021-08-09 2021-08-09-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:08:21 UTC 2021-11-16 16:08:21 UTC
    2021-08-12 (No data)
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    2021-08-23 2021-08-23-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:21:06 UTC 2021-11-16 16:21:06 UTC
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    2021-08-30 2021-08-30-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:12:29 UTC 2021-11-16 16:12:29 UTC
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    2021-09-06 2021-09-06-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:02:10 UTC 2021-11-16 16:02:10 UTC
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    2021-09-27 2021-09-27-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:18:56 UTC 2021-11-16 17:18:56 UTC
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    2021-10-04 2021-10-04-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:04:14 UTC 2021-11-16 16:04:14 UTC
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    2021-10-11 2021-10-11-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:23:43 UTC 2021-11-16 16:23:43 UTC
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    2021-10-25 2021-10-25-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:01:35 UTC 2021-11-16 17:01:35 UTC
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    2021-11-01 2021-11-01-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 15:52:39 UTC 2021-11-16 15:52:39 UTC
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    2021-11-08 2021-11-08-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:41:41 UTC 2021-11-16 16:41:41 UTC
    2021-11-09 (No data)
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    2021-11-22 2021-11-22-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-23 18:27:44 UTC 2021-11-23 18:27:44 UTC
    2021-11-25 (No data)
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    2020-10-15 (No data)
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    2021-07-12 2021-07-12-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:46:05 UTC 2021-11-16 16:46:05 UTC
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    2021-08-16 2021-08-16-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:48:34 UTC 2021-11-16 16:48:34 UTC
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    2021-09-13 2021-09-13-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:00:30 UTC 2021-11-16 16:00:30 UTC
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    2021-10-18 2021-10-18-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:53:17 UTC 2021-11-16 16:53:17 UTC
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    2021-11-15 2021-11-15-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-17 00:29:02 UTC 2021-11-17 00:29:02 UTC
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    2021-01-04 2021-01-04-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:03:20 UTC 2021-11-16 17:03:20 UTC
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    2021-01-11 2021-01-11-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:19:46 UTC 2021-11-16 16:19:46 UTC
    2021-01-13 (No data)
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    2021-01-18 2021-01-18-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:21:51 UTC 2021-11-16 17:21:51 UTC
    2021-01-19 (No data)
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    2021-01-25 2021-01-25-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:32:03 UTC 2021-11-16 16:32:03 UTC
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    2021-02-01 2021-02-01-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 15:50:16 UTC 2021-11-16 15:50:16 UTC
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    2021-02-08 2021-02-08-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 17:10:06 UTC 2021-11-16 17:10:06 UTC
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    2021-02-15 2021-02-15-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:34:46 UTC 2021-11-16 16:34:46 UTC
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    2021-02-22 2021-02-22-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:37:25 UTC 2021-11-16 16:37:25 UTC
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    2021-03-01 2021-03-01-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:30:42 UTC 2021-11-16 16:30:42 UTC
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    2021-03-08 2021-03-08-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:05:35 UTC 2021-11-16 16:05:35 UTC
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    2021-03-15 2021-03-15-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:26:37 UTC 2021-11-16 16:26:37 UTC
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    2021-03-22 2021-03-22-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:50:08 UTC 2021-11-16 16:50:08 UTC
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    2021-05-03 2021-05-03-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 15:45:16 UTC 2021-11-16 15:45:16 UTC
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    2021-05-10 2021-05-10-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:25:08 UTC 2021-11-16 16:25:08 UTC
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    2021-06-07 2021-06-07-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:17:04 UTC 2021-11-16 16:17:04 UTC
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    2021-06-21 2021-06-21-COVIDhub_CDC-ensemble.csv 2021-11-16 16:44:21 UTC 2021-11-16 16:44:21 UTC
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