Model: Columbia University - CU-nochange

    Name: nochange
    Abbreviation: CU-nochange
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: Columbia University
    Description: This metapopulation county-level SEIR model assumes that current contact rates will remain unchanged in the future.
    Contributors: Sen Pei, Teresa Yamana, Sasikiran Kandula, Wan Yang, Marta Galanti, Jeffrey Shaman <jls106@cumc.columbia.edu>
    License: Apache license 2.0
    Notes: other
    Citation: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.21.20040303
    Methods: This Metapopulation county-level SEIR model assumes that current contact rates will remain unchanged in the future. Estimates of spatio-temporal COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations and deaths were calculated for all US counties.
    Home: https://blogs.cuit.columbia.edu/jls106/publications/covid-19-findings-simulations/
    Auxiliary data: https://github.com/shaman-lab/COVID-19Projection

    Forecasts (171)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2020-05-05 (No data)
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    2020-06-21 2020-06-21-CU-nochange.csv 2021-01-20 14:08:52 UTC 2020-06-22 12:00:00 UTC 1 of 2
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    2020-10-04 2020-10-04-CU-nochange.csv 2020-10-06 13:41:02 UTC 2020-10-06 12:00:00 UTC
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    2020-10-11 2020-10-11-CU-nochange.csv 2020-10-13 01:58:38 UTC 2020-10-13 12:00:00 UTC
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    2022-08-28 2022-08-28-CU-nochange.csv 2022-08-29 18:37:56 UTC 2022-08-29 18:37:56 UTC
    2022-08-27 (No data)
    2022-08-29 (No data)
    2022-09-04 2022-09-04-CU-nochange.csv 2022-09-05 18:42:17 UTC 2022-09-05 18:42:17 UTC
    2022-09-03 (No data)
    2022-09-05 (No data)
    2022-09-11 2022-09-11-CU-nochange.csv 2022-09-12 18:47:01 UTC 2022-09-12 18:47:01 UTC
    2022-09-12 (No data)
    2022-09-10 (No data)
    2022-09-18 2022-09-18-CU-nochange.csv 2022-09-19 18:49:33 UTC 2022-09-19 18:49:33 UTC
    2022-09-17 (No data)
    2022-09-19 (No data)
    2020-10-22 2020-10-22-CU-nochange.csv 2020-10-23 06:45:55 UTC 2020-10-23 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-10-25 2020-10-25-CU-nochange.csv 2020-10-26 18:48:42 UTC 2020-10-26 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-10-29 2020-10-29-CU-nochange.csv 2020-11-03 06:30:16 UTC 2020-11-03 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-11-01 2020-11-01-CU-nochange.csv 2020-11-03 06:26:36 UTC 2020-11-03 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-11-04 (No data)
    2020-11-08 2020-11-08-CU-nochange.csv 2020-11-11 20:47:11 UTC 2020-11-11 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-11-05 2020-11-05-CU-nochange.csv 2020-11-11 20:44:34 UTC 2020-11-11 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-11-12 2020-11-12-CU-nochange.csv 2020-11-15 18:17:02 UTC 2020-11-15 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-11-15 2020-11-15-CU-nochange.csv 2020-11-17 06:21:37 UTC 2020-11-17 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-11-17 (No data)
    2020-11-18 (No data)
    2020-11-19 2020-11-19-CU-nochange.csv 2020-11-20 12:35:07 UTC 2020-11-20 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-11-22 2020-11-22-CU-nochange.csv 2020-11-24 01:02:26 UTC 2020-11-23 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-11-21 (No data)
    2020-11-24 (No data)
    2020-11-26 (No data)
    2020-11-29 2020-11-29-CU-nochange.csv 2020-12-01 00:59:30 UTC 2020-11-30 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-12-01 (No data)
    2020-12-03 2020-12-03-CU-nochange.csv 2020-12-08 06:37:13 UTC 2020-12-08 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-12-06 2020-12-06-CU-nochange.csv 2020-12-08 06:33:14 UTC 2020-12-08 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-12-05 (No data)
    2020-12-08 (No data)
    2020-12-10 2020-12-10-CU-nochange.csv 2020-12-13 00:27:30 UTC 2020-12-12 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-12-11 (No data)
    2020-12-13 2020-12-13-CU-nochange.csv 2020-12-15 00:33:02 UTC 2020-12-14 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-12-15 (No data)
    2020-12-16 (No data)
    2020-12-17 2020-12-17-CU-nochange.csv 2020-12-22 16:18:47 UTC 2020-12-22 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-12-18 (No data)
    2020-12-19 (No data)
    2020-12-20 2020-12-20-CU-nochange.csv 2020-12-22 16:26:32 UTC 2020-12-22 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-12-22 (No data)
    2020-12-24 2020-12-24-CU-nochange.csv 2020-12-26 06:20:18 UTC 2020-12-26 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-12-23 (No data)
    2020-12-27 2020-12-27-CU-nochange.csv 2020-12-29 06:46:27 UTC 2020-12-29 12:00:00 UTC
    2020-12-30 (No data)
    2021-01-03 2021-01-03-CU-nochange.csv 2021-01-05 06:38:48 UTC 2021-01-05 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-01-04 (No data)
    2021-01-05 (No data)
    2021-01-06 (No data)
    2021-01-10 2021-01-10-CU-nochange.csv 2021-01-12 01:04:28 UTC 2021-01-11 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-01-09 (No data)
    2021-01-11 (No data)
    2021-01-13 (No data)
    2021-01-14 (No data)
    2021-01-17 2021-01-17-CU-nochange.csv 2021-01-19 07:01:49 UTC 2021-01-19 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-01-15 (No data)
    2021-01-16 (No data)
    2021-01-18 (No data)
    2021-01-19 (No data)
    2021-01-21 (No data)
    2021-01-22 (No data)
    2021-01-23 (No data)
    2021-01-24 2021-01-24-CU-nochange.csv 2021-01-26 12:48:46 UTC 2021-01-26 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-01-25 (No data)
    2021-01-27 (No data)
    2021-01-28 (No data)
    2021-01-31 2021-01-31-CU-nochange.csv 2021-02-02 00:54:12 UTC 2021-02-01 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-01-29 (No data)
    2021-02-01 (No data)
    2021-02-02 (No data)
    2021-02-04 (No data)
    2021-02-05 (No data)
    2021-02-06 (No data)
    2021-02-07 2021-02-07-CU-nochange.csv 2021-02-09 01:12:48 UTC 2021-02-08 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-02-08 (No data)
    2021-02-11 (No data)
    2021-02-12 (No data)
    2021-02-13 (No data)
    2021-02-14 2021-02-14-CU-nochange.csv 2021-02-16 00:44:05 UTC 2021-02-15 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-02-15 (No data)
    2021-02-16 (No data)
    2021-02-18 (No data)
    2021-02-17 (No data)
    2021-02-20 (No data)
    2021-02-21 2021-02-21-CU-nochange.csv 2021-02-23 00:47:01 UTC 2021-02-22 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-02-22 (No data)
    2021-02-23 (No data)
    2021-02-25 (No data)
    2021-02-24 (No data)
    2021-02-27 (No data)
    2021-02-28 2021-02-28-CU-nochange.csv 2021-03-02 00:43:19 UTC 2021-03-01 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-01 (No data)
    2021-03-02 (No data)
    2021-03-03 (No data)
    2021-03-04 (No data)
    2021-03-05 (No data)
    2021-03-06 (No data)
    2021-03-07 2021-03-07-CU-nochange.csv 2021-03-09 00:41:47 UTC 2021-03-08 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-08 (No data)
    2021-03-10 (No data)
    2021-03-09 (No data)
    2021-03-11 (No data)
    2021-03-12 (No data)
    2021-03-13 (No data)
    2021-03-14 2021-03-14-CU-nochange.csv 2021-03-16 00:46:07 UTC 2021-03-15 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-15 (No data)
    2021-03-21 2021-03-21-CU-nochange.csv 2021-03-23 00:42:52 UTC 2021-03-22 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-20 (No data)
    2021-03-19 (No data)
    2021-03-17 (No data)
    2021-03-18 (No data)
    2021-03-22 (No data)
    2021-03-24 (No data)
    2021-03-25 (No data)
    2021-03-27 (No data)
    2021-03-26 (No data)
    2021-03-28 2021-03-28-CU-nochange.csv 2021-03-30 01:06:50 UTC 2021-03-29 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-29 (No data)
    2021-03-30 (No data)
    2021-03-31 (No data)
    2021-04-01 (No data)
    2021-04-02 (No data)
    2021-04-03 (No data)
    2021-04-04 2021-04-04-CU-nochange.csv 2021-04-06 00:45:38 UTC 2021-04-05 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-05 (No data)
    2021-04-08 (No data)
    2021-04-10 (No data)
    2021-04-11 2021-04-11-CU-nochange.csv 2021-04-13 04:38:07 UTC 2021-04-13 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-12 (No data)
    2021-04-13 (No data)
    2021-04-14 (No data)
    2021-04-15 (No data)
    2021-04-16 (No data)
    2021-04-18 2021-04-18-CU-nochange.csv 2021-04-20 01:18:32 UTC 2021-04-19 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-17 (No data)
    2021-04-19 (No data)
    2021-04-20 (No data)
    2021-04-21 (No data)
    2021-04-22 (No data)
    2021-04-23 (No data)
    2021-04-25 2021-04-25-CU-nochange.csv 2021-04-26 18:39:53 UTC 2021-04-26 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-24 (No data)
    2021-04-26 (No data)
    2021-04-27 (No data)
    2021-04-28 (No data)
    2021-04-29 (No data)
    2021-04-30 (No data)
    2021-05-01 (No data)
    2021-05-02 2021-05-02-CU-nochange.csv 2021-05-04 04:07:00 UTC 2021-05-04 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-05-03 (No data)
    2021-05-04 (No data)
    2021-05-05 (No data)
    2021-07-03 (No data)
    2021-07-08 (No data)
    2021-07-17 (No data)
    2021-07-19 (No data)
    2021-07-23 (No data)
    2021-05-06 (No data)
    2021-05-07 (No data)
    2021-05-08 (No data)
    2021-05-09 2021-05-09-CU-nochange.csv 2021-05-11 00:53:39 UTC 2021-05-10 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-05-10 (No data)
    2021-05-11 (No data)
    2021-05-12 (No data)
    2021-05-13 (No data)
    2021-05-14 (No data)
    2021-05-15 (No data)
    2021-05-16 2021-05-16-CU-nochange.csv 2021-05-18 01:39:21 UTC 2021-05-17 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-05-17 (No data)
    2021-05-19 (No data)
    2021-05-20 (No data)
    2021-05-21 (No data)
    2021-05-23 2021-05-23-CU-nochange.csv 2021-05-25 18:00:23 UTC 2021-05-25 18:00:23 UTC
    2021-05-24 (No data)
    2021-05-22 (No data)
    2021-07-26 (No data)
    2021-05-25 (No data)
    2021-05-26 (No data)
    2021-05-27 (No data)
    2021-05-28 (No data)
    2021-05-29 (No data)
    2021-05-30 2021-05-30-CU-nochange.csv 2021-06-01 02:07:43 UTC 2021-06-01 02:07:43 UTC
    2021-05-31 (No data)
    2021-06-01 (No data)
    2021-06-03 (No data)
    2021-06-02 (No data)
    2021-06-06 2021-06-06-CU-nochange.csv 2021-06-07 20:34:30 UTC 2021-06-07 20:34:30 UTC
    2021-06-05 (No data)
    2021-06-07 (No data)
    2021-06-08 (No data)
    2021-06-09 (No data)
    2021-06-10 (No data)
    2021-06-11 (No data)
    2021-06-13 2021-06-13-CU-nochange.csv 2021-06-14 18:46:08 UTC 2021-06-14 18:46:08 UTC
    2021-06-14 (No data)
    2021-06-16 (No data)
    2021-06-18 (No data)
    2021-06-17 (No data)
    2021-06-19 (No data)
    2021-06-20 2021-06-20-CU-nochange.csv 2021-06-22 01:01:57 UTC 2021-06-22 01:01:57 UTC
    2021-06-21 (No data)
    2021-06-22 (No data)
    2021-08-15 2021-08-15-CU-nochange.csv 2021-08-17 00:35:49 UTC 2021-08-17 00:35:49 UTC
    2021-08-11 (No data)
    2021-08-14 (No data)
    2021-08-17 (No data)
    2021-08-20 (No data)
    2021-06-23 (No data)
    2021-06-24 (No data)
    2021-06-25 (No data)
    2021-06-27 2021-06-27-CU-nochange.csv 2021-06-29 00:50:45 UTC 2021-06-29 00:50:45 UTC
    2021-06-28 (No data)
    2021-08-25 (No data)
    2021-08-29 2021-08-29-CU-nochange.csv 2021-08-30 18:32:11 UTC 2021-08-30 18:32:11 UTC
    2021-09-05 2021-09-05-CU-nochange.csv 2021-09-06 18:36:55 UTC 2021-09-06 18:36:55 UTC
    2021-09-20 (No data)
    2021-09-26 2021-09-26-CU-nochange.csv 2021-09-27 18:42:34 UTC 2021-09-27 18:42:34 UTC
    2021-10-17 2021-10-17-CU-nochange.csv 2021-10-19 00:55:43 UTC 2021-10-19 00:55:43 UTC
    2021-10-26 (No data)
    2021-11-18 (No data)
    2021-11-24 (No data)
    2021-11-27 (No data)
    2021-11-29 (No data)
    2021-12-07 (No data)
    2021-12-10 (No data)
    2021-12-15 (No data)
    2021-12-20 (No data)
    2021-12-29 (No data)
    2022-01-03 (No data)
    2022-01-12 (No data)
    2022-01-13 (No data)
    2022-01-16 2022-01-16-CU-nochange.csv 2022-01-18 00:37:42 UTC 2022-01-18 00:37:42 UTC
    2022-01-24 (No data)
    2022-01-26 (No data)
    2022-02-06 2022-02-06-CU-nochange.csv 2022-02-07 18:38:35 UTC 2022-02-07 18:38:35 UTC
    2022-02-11 (No data)
    2022-02-16 (No data)
    2022-02-20 2022-02-20-CU-nochange.csv 2022-02-22 00:46:58 UTC 2022-02-22 00:46:58 UTC
    2022-03-07 (No data)
    2022-03-11 (No data)
    2022-03-19 (No data)
    2022-03-29 (No data)
    2022-04-04 (No data)
    2022-04-05 (No data)
    2022-04-08 (No data)
    2022-04-11 (No data)
    2022-04-15 (No data)
    2022-04-17 2022-04-17-CU-nochange.csv 2022-04-18 18:42:04 UTC 2022-04-18 18:42:04 UTC
    2022-04-24 2022-04-24-CU-nochange.csv 2022-04-25 18:40:54 UTC 2022-04-25 18:40:54 UTC
    2022-05-01 2022-05-01-CU-nochange.csv 2022-05-03 00:48:46 UTC 2022-05-03 00:48:46 UTC
    2022-05-02 (No data)
    2022-05-06 (No data)
    2022-05-09 (No data)
    2022-05-15 2022-05-15-CU-nochange.csv 2022-05-16 18:40:54 UTC 2022-05-16 18:40:54 UTC
    2022-05-22 2022-05-22-CU-nochange.csv 2022-05-23 18:42:01 UTC 2022-05-23 18:42:01 UTC
    2022-05-29 2022-05-29-CU-nochange.csv 2022-05-31 00:32:35 UTC 2022-05-31 00:32:35 UTC
    2022-06-04 (No data)
    2022-06-06 (No data)
    2022-06-10 (No data)
    2022-06-13 (No data)
    2022-06-19 2022-06-19-CU-nochange.csv 2022-06-21 00:47:59 UTC 2022-06-21 00:47:59 UTC
    2022-06-26 2022-06-26-CU-nochange.csv 2022-06-27 18:43:16 UTC 2022-06-27 18:43:16 UTC
    2022-06-27 (No data)
    2022-07-03 2022-07-03-CU-nochange.csv 2022-07-04 18:37:37 UTC 2022-07-04 18:37:37 UTC
    2022-07-04 (No data)
    2022-07-10 (No data)
    2022-07-11 (No data)
    2022-07-17 2022-07-17-CU-nochange.csv 2022-07-18 18:51:28 UTC 2022-07-18 18:51:28 UTC
    2022-07-18 (No data)
    2022-09-25 2022-09-25-CU-nochange.csv 2022-09-27 00:44:16 UTC 2022-09-27 00:44:16 UTC
    2022-09-24 (No data)
    2022-09-26 (No data)
    2022-10-02 2022-10-02-CU-nochange.csv 2022-10-03 18:44:05 UTC 2022-10-03 18:44:05 UTC
    2022-10-01 (No data)
    2022-10-03 (No data)
    2022-10-09 2022-10-09-CU-nochange.csv 2022-10-10 18:50:22 UTC 2022-10-10 18:50:22 UTC
    2022-10-08 (No data)
    2022-10-10 (No data)
    2022-10-16 2022-10-16-CU-nochange.csv 2022-10-17 18:52:10 UTC 2022-10-17 18:52:10 UTC
    2022-10-15 (No data)
    2022-10-17 (No data)
    2022-10-23 2022-10-23-CU-nochange.csv 2022-10-24 18:53:39 UTC 2022-10-24 18:53:39 UTC
    2022-10-22 (No data)
    2022-10-24 (No data)
    2022-10-30 2022-10-30-CU-nochange.csv 2022-10-31 18:44:25 UTC 2022-10-31 18:44:25 UTC
    2022-10-29 (No data)
    2022-10-31 (No data)
    2022-11-06 2022-11-06-CU-nochange.csv 2022-11-08 00:39:05 UTC 2022-11-08 00:39:05 UTC
    2022-11-07 (No data)
    2022-11-05 (No data)
    2022-11-13 2022-11-13-CU-nochange.csv 2022-11-15 00:48:02 UTC 2022-11-15 00:48:02 UTC
    2022-11-12 (No data)
    2022-11-14 (No data)
    2022-11-18 (No data)
    2022-11-19 (No data)
    2022-11-21 (No data)
    2022-11-20 (No data)
    2022-11-27 2022-11-27-CU-nochange.csv 2022-11-29 00:46:11 UTC 2022-11-29 00:46:11 UTC
    2022-11-26 (No data)
    2022-11-28 (No data)
    2022-12-04 2022-12-04-CU-nochange.csv 2022-12-05 18:37:23 UTC 2022-12-05 18:37:23 UTC
    2022-12-03 (No data)
    2022-12-05 (No data)
    2022-12-11 2022-12-11-CU-nochange.csv 2022-12-13 12:34:10 UTC 2022-12-13 12:34:10 UTC
    2022-12-10 (No data)
    2022-12-12 (No data)
    2022-12-16 (No data)
    2022-12-18 2022-12-18-CU-nochange.csv 2022-12-19 18:45:33 UTC 2022-12-19 18:45:33 UTC
    2022-12-17 (No data)
    2022-12-19 (No data)
    2022-12-25 2022-12-25-CU-nochange.csv 2022-12-27 00:42:31 UTC 2022-12-27 00:42:31 UTC
    2022-12-26 (No data)
    2022-12-24 (No data)
    2023-01-01 2023-01-01-CU-nochange.csv 2023-01-02 18:48:15 UTC 2023-01-02 18:48:15 UTC
    2022-12-31 (No data)
    2023-01-02 (No data)
    2023-01-03 (No data)
    2023-01-08 2023-01-08-CU-nochange.csv 2023-01-12 00:46:58 UTC 2023-01-12 00:46:58 UTC
    2023-01-07 (No data)
    2023-01-09 (No data)
    2023-01-15 2023-01-15-CU-nochange.csv 2023-01-16 18:36:05 UTC 2023-01-16 18:36:05 UTC
    2023-01-14 (No data)
    2023-01-16 (No data)
    2023-01-22 2023-01-22-CU-nochange.csv 2023-01-23 18:38:55 UTC 2023-01-23 18:38:55 UTC
    2023-01-23 (No data)
    2023-01-21 (No data)
    2023-01-29 2023-01-29-CU-nochange.csv 2023-01-30 18:40:33 UTC 2023-01-30 18:40:33 UTC
    2023-01-28 (No data)
    2023-01-30 (No data)
    2023-02-05 2023-02-05-CU-nochange.csv 2023-02-07 00:54:50 UTC 2023-02-07 00:54:50 UTC
    2023-02-06 (No data)
    2023-02-04 (No data)
    2023-02-12 2023-02-12-CU-nochange.csv 2023-02-14 00:41:49 UTC 2023-02-14 00:41:49 UTC
    2023-02-11 (No data)
    2023-02-13 (No data)
    2023-02-19 2023-02-19-CU-nochange.csv 2023-02-20 18:39:32 UTC 2023-02-20 18:39:32 UTC
    2023-02-18 (No data)
    2023-02-20 (No data)
    2023-02-26 2023-02-26-CU-nochange.csv 2023-02-28 00:38:47 UTC 2023-02-28 00:38:47 UTC
    2023-02-25 (No data)
    2023-02-27 (No data)
    2023-03-05 2023-03-05-CU-nochange.csv 2023-03-07 00:59:32 UTC 2023-03-07 00:59:32 UTC
    2023-03-04 (No data)
    2023-03-06 (No data)
    2023-03-11 (No data)
    2023-03-12 (No data)
    2023-03-13 (No data)
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