Model: CEPH-Rtrend_covid

Model: CEPH Lab at Indiana University - CEPH-Rtrend_covid

Name:	Rtrend_covid
Abbreviation:	CEPH-Rtrend_covid
Owner:	covid19hub
Team name:	CEPH Lab at Indiana University
Description:	Renewal equation based on Rt estimation from hospitalization data.
Contributors:	Marco Ajelli (majelli@iu.edu), Paulo C. Ventura (pventura@iu.edu), Maria Litvinova (malitv@iu.edu), Allisandra G. Kummer (alkummer@iu.edu), Alessandro Vespignani (a.vespignani@northeastern.edu)
License:	Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
Notes:	primary
Citation:	Missing
Methods:	Model forecasts are obtained by using a renewal equation based on the estimated net reproduction number Rt. We used MCMC Metropolis-Hastings sampling to estimate the posterior distribution of Rt based on the data, considering an informed prior on Rt based on COVID-19 literature. Finally, Rt used in the renewal equation is based on a the posterior distribution and trend of the estimated Rt in the three most recent weeks of COVID-19 hospitalization data.
Home:	https://publichealth.indiana.edu/research/faculty-directory/profile.html?user=majelli
Auxiliary data:	Missing

Forecasts (73)

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2021-06-11	(No data)
2021-06-13	(No data)
2021-06-14	(No data)
2021-06-16	(No data)
2021-06-18	(No data)
2021-06-17	(No data)
2021-06-19	(No data)
2021-06-20	(No data)
2021-06-21	(No data)
2021-06-22	(No data)
2021-08-15	(No data)
2021-08-11	(No data)
2021-08-14	(No data)
2021-08-17	(No data)
2021-08-20	(No data)
2021-06-23	(No data)
2021-06-24	(No data)
2021-06-25	(No data)
2021-06-27	(No data)
2021-06-28	(No data)
2021-08-25	(No data)
2021-08-29	(No data)
2021-09-05	(No data)
2021-09-20	(No data)
2021-09-26	(No data)
2021-10-17	(No data)
2021-10-26	(No data)
2021-11-18	(No data)
2021-11-24	(No data)
2021-11-27	(No data)
2021-11-29	(No data)
2021-12-07	(No data)
2021-12-10	(No data)
2021-12-15	(No data)
2021-12-20	(No data)
2021-12-29	(No data)
2022-01-03	(No data)
2022-01-12	(No data)
2022-01-13	(No data)
2022-01-16	(No data)
2022-01-24	(No data)
2022-01-26	(No data)
2022-02-06	(No data)
2022-02-11	(No data)
2022-02-16	(No data)
2022-02-20	(No data)
2022-03-07	(No data)
2022-03-11	(No data)
2022-03-19	(No data)
2022-03-29	(No data)
2022-04-04	(No data)
2022-04-05	(No data)
2022-04-08	(No data)
2022-04-11	(No data)
2022-04-15	(No data)
2022-04-17	(No data)
2022-04-24	(No data)
2022-05-01	(No data)
2022-05-02	(No data)
2022-05-06	(No data)
2022-05-09	(No data)
2022-05-15	(No data)
2022-05-22	(No data)
2022-05-29	(No data)
2022-06-04	(No data)
2022-06-06	(No data)
2022-06-10	(No data)
2022-06-13	(No data)
2022-06-19	(No data)
2022-06-26	(No data)
2022-06-27	(No data)
2022-07-03	(No data)
2022-07-04	(No data)
2022-07-10	(No data)
2022-07-11	(No data)
2022-07-17	(No data)
2022-07-18	(No data)
2022-09-25	(No data)
2022-09-24	(No data)
2022-09-26	(No data)
2022-10-02	(No data)
2022-10-01	(No data)
2022-10-03	(No data)
2022-10-09	(No data)
2022-10-08	(No data)
2022-10-10	(No data)
2022-10-16	(No data)
2022-10-15	(No data)
2022-10-17	(No data)
2022-10-23	(No data)
2022-10-22	(No data)
2022-10-24	(No data)
2022-10-30	(No data)
2022-10-29	(No data)
2022-10-31	(No data)
2022-11-06	(No data)
2022-11-07	(No data)
2022-11-05	(No data)
2022-11-13	(No data)
2022-11-12	(No data)
2022-11-14	(No data)
2022-11-18	(No data)
2022-11-19	(No data)
2022-11-21	(No data)
2022-11-20	(No data)
2022-11-27	(No data)
2022-11-26	(No data)
2022-11-28	(No data)
2022-12-04	(No data)
2022-12-03	(No data)
2022-12-05	(No data)
2022-12-11	(No data)
2022-12-10	(No data)
2022-12-12	2022-12-12-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2022-12-13 12:33:18 UTC	2022-12-13 12:33:18 UTC
2022-12-16	(No data)
2022-12-18	(No data)
2022-12-17	(No data)
2022-12-19	2022-12-19-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2022-12-20 00:41:29 UTC	2022-12-20 00:41:29 UTC
2022-12-25	(No data)
2022-12-26	2022-12-26-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2022-12-27 00:43:59 UTC	2022-12-27 00:43:59 UTC
2022-12-24	(No data)
2023-01-01	(No data)
2022-12-31	(No data)
2023-01-02	2023-01-02-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-01-03 00:36:05 UTC	2023-01-03 00:36:05 UTC
2023-01-03	(No data)
2023-01-08	(No data)
2023-01-07	(No data)
2023-01-09	2023-01-09-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-01-12 00:45:06 UTC	2023-01-12 00:45:06 UTC
2023-01-15	(No data)
2023-01-14	(No data)
2023-01-16	2023-01-16-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-01-17 00:43:57 UTC	2023-01-17 00:43:57 UTC
2023-01-22	(No data)
2023-01-23	2023-01-23-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-01-24 00:44:59 UTC	2023-01-24 00:44:59 UTC
2023-01-21	(No data)
2023-01-29	(No data)
2023-01-28	(No data)
2023-01-30	2023-01-30-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-01-31 00:48:55 UTC	2023-01-31 00:48:55 UTC
2023-02-05	(No data)
2023-02-06	2023-02-06-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-02-07 00:46:06 UTC	2023-02-07 00:46:06 UTC
2023-02-04	(No data)
2023-02-12	(No data)
2023-02-11	(No data)
2023-02-13	2023-02-13-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-02-14 00:43:23 UTC	2023-02-14 00:43:23 UTC
2023-02-19	(No data)
2023-02-18	(No data)
2023-02-20	2023-02-20-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-02-21 00:38:13 UTC	2023-02-21 00:38:13 UTC
2023-02-26	(No data)
2023-02-25	(No data)
2023-02-27	2023-02-27-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-02-28 00:44:21 UTC	2023-02-28 00:44:21 UTC
2023-03-05	(No data)
2023-03-04	(No data)
2023-03-06	2023-03-06-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-03-06 18:37:03 UTC	2023-03-06 18:37:03 UTC
2023-03-11	(No data)
2023-03-12	(No data)
2023-03-13	2023-03-13-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-03-13 18:39:04 UTC	2023-03-13 18:39:04 UTC
2023-03-18	(No data)
2023-03-19	(No data)
2023-03-20	2023-03-20-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-03-20 18:41:18 UTC	2023-03-20 18:41:18 UTC
2023-03-27	2023-03-27-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-03-27 18:37:36 UTC	2023-03-27 18:37:36 UTC
2023-03-26	(No data)
2023-04-01	(No data)
2023-04-10	2023-04-10-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-04-10 18:33:37 UTC	2023-04-10 18:33:37 UTC
2023-04-03	2023-04-03-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-04-10 14:42:07 UTC	2023-04-10 14:42:07 UTC
2023-04-02	(No data)
2023-04-09	(No data)
2023-04-08	(No data)
2023-04-15	(No data)
2023-04-16	(No data)
2023-04-17	2023-04-17-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-04-17 18:38:45 UTC	2023-04-17 18:38:45 UTC
2023-04-22	(No data)
2023-04-24	2023-04-24-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-04-25 00:42:14 UTC	2023-04-25 00:42:14 UTC
2023-04-23	(No data)
2023-04-29	(No data)
2023-05-01	2023-05-01-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-05-01 18:38:42 UTC	2023-05-01 18:38:42 UTC
2023-04-30	(No data)
2023-05-07	(No data)
2023-05-08	2023-05-08-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-05-08 18:55:38 UTC	2023-05-08 18:55:38 UTC
2023-05-13	(No data)
2023-05-15	2023-05-15-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-05-16 00:49:37 UTC	2023-05-16 00:49:37 UTC
2023-05-14	(No data)
2023-05-20	(No data)
2023-05-22	2023-05-22-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-05-22 18:46:34 UTC	2023-05-22 18:46:34 UTC
2023-05-21	(No data)
2023-05-27	(No data)
2023-05-29	2023-05-29-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-05-30 18:43:32 UTC	2023-05-30 18:43:32 UTC
2023-05-28	(No data)
2023-06-04	(No data)
2023-06-03	(No data)
2023-06-05	2023-06-05-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-06-05 18:49:57 UTC	2023-06-05 18:49:57 UTC
2023-06-10	(No data)
2023-06-12	2023-06-12-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-06-12 18:53:51 UTC	2023-06-12 18:53:51 UTC
2023-06-11	(No data)
2023-06-18	(No data)
2023-06-19	(No data)
2023-06-26	2023-06-26-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-06-27 00:49:15 UTC	2023-06-27 00:49:15 UTC
2023-06-25	(No data)
2023-07-03	2023-07-03-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-07-03 18:46:05 UTC	2023-07-03 18:46:05 UTC
2023-07-10	2023-07-10-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-07-10 18:45:53 UTC	2023-07-10 18:45:53 UTC
2023-07-17	2023-07-17-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-07-17 18:50:59 UTC	2023-07-17 18:50:59 UTC
2023-07-16	(No data)
2023-07-24	2023-07-24-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-07-25 00:55:35 UTC	2023-07-25 00:55:35 UTC	1 of 2
2023-07-24	2023-07-24-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-07-26 00:55:12 UTC	2023-07-26 00:55:12 UTC	2 of 2
2023-07-31	2023-07-31-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-07-31 03:26:33 UTC	2023-07-31 03:26:33 UTC
2023-08-07	2023-08-07-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-08-07 03:28:03 UTC	2023-08-07 03:28:03 UTC
2023-08-06	(No data)
2023-08-14	2023-08-14-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-08-14 18:48:29 UTC	2023-08-14 18:48:29 UTC
2023-08-13	(No data)
2023-08-21	2023-08-21-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-08-21 18:55:06 UTC	2023-08-21 18:55:06 UTC
2023-08-28	2023-08-28-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-08-28 18:46:48 UTC	2023-08-28 18:46:48 UTC
2023-08-27	(No data)
2023-09-04	2023-09-04-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-09-04 06:55:07 UTC	2023-09-04 06:55:07 UTC
2023-09-11	2023-09-11-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-09-11 18:50:26 UTC	2023-09-11 18:50:26 UTC
2023-09-10	(No data)
2023-09-18	2023-09-18-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-09-18 18:52:28 UTC	2023-09-18 18:52:28 UTC
2023-09-25	2023-09-25-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-09-25 18:49:19 UTC	2023-09-25 18:49:19 UTC
2023-10-02	2023-10-02-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-10-02 18:54:52 UTC	2023-10-02 18:54:52 UTC
2023-10-01	(No data)
2023-10-15	(No data)
2023-10-08	(No data)
2023-10-09	2023-10-09-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-10-18 18:58:21 UTC	2023-10-18 18:58:21 UTC
2023-10-16	2023-10-16-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-10-18 18:58:38 UTC	2023-10-18 18:58:38 UTC
2023-10-23	2023-10-23-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-10-23 18:48:30 UTC	2023-10-23 18:48:30 UTC
2023-10-30	2023-10-30-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-10-30 18:55:12 UTC	2023-10-30 18:55:12 UTC
2023-10-29	(No data)
2023-11-06	2023-11-06-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-11-06 18:56:39 UTC	2023-11-06 18:56:39 UTC
2023-11-05	(No data)
2023-11-13	2023-11-13-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-11-14 00:48:26 UTC	2023-11-14 00:48:26 UTC
2023-11-12	(No data)
2023-11-20	2023-11-20-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-11-20 18:49:58 UTC	2023-11-20 18:49:58 UTC
2023-11-19	(No data)
2023-11-27	2023-11-27-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-11-28 00:43:54 UTC	2023-11-28 00:43:54 UTC
2023-11-26	(No data)
2023-12-04	2023-12-04-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-12-04 18:44:54 UTC	2023-12-04 18:44:54 UTC
2023-12-03	(No data)
2023-12-11	2023-12-11-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-12-11 18:44:36 UTC	2023-12-11 18:44:36 UTC
2023-12-10	(No data)
2023-12-18	2023-12-18-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-12-18 18:47:23 UTC	2023-12-18 18:47:23 UTC
2023-12-17	(No data)
2023-12-25	2023-12-25-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2023-12-25 18:41:58 UTC	2023-12-25 18:41:58 UTC
2024-01-01	2024-01-01-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-01-02 00:45:03 UTC	2024-01-02 00:45:03 UTC
2023-12-31	(No data)
2024-01-02	(No data)
2024-01-08	2024-01-08-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-01-09 00:59:11 UTC	2024-01-09 00:59:11 UTC
2024-01-07	(No data)
2024-01-15	2024-01-15-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-01-16 00:47:48 UTC	2024-01-16 00:47:48 UTC
2024-01-14	(No data)
2024-01-22	2024-01-22-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-01-22 18:48:18 UTC	2024-01-22 18:48:18 UTC
2024-01-21	(No data)
2024-01-29	2024-01-29-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-01-29 18:51:11 UTC	2024-01-29 18:51:11 UTC
2024-01-28	(No data)
2024-04-15	2024-04-15-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-05-03 14:22:20 UTC	2024-05-03 14:22:20 UTC
2024-04-01	2024-04-01-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-05-03 14:22:28 UTC	2024-05-03 14:22:28 UTC
2024-02-12	2024-02-12-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-05-03 14:22:36 UTC	2024-05-03 14:22:36 UTC
2024-02-26	2024-02-26-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-05-03 14:22:44 UTC	2024-05-03 14:22:44 UTC
2024-03-04	2024-03-04-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-05-03 14:22:55 UTC	2024-05-03 14:22:55 UTC
2024-03-18	2024-03-18-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-05-03 14:23:02 UTC	2024-05-03 14:23:02 UTC
2024-04-29	2024-04-29-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-05-03 14:23:09 UTC	2024-05-03 14:23:09 UTC
2024-03-25	2024-03-25-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-05-03 14:23:16 UTC	2024-05-03 14:23:16 UTC
2024-02-19	2024-02-19-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-05-03 14:23:24 UTC	2024-05-03 14:23:24 UTC
2024-02-05	2024-02-05-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-05-03 14:23:33 UTC	2024-05-03 14:23:33 UTC
2024-04-08	2024-04-08-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-05-03 14:23:41 UTC	2024-05-03 14:23:41 UTC
2024-04-22	2024-04-22-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-05-03 14:23:50 UTC	2024-05-03 14:23:50 UTC
2024-03-11	2024-03-11-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv	2024-05-03 14:23:57 UTC	2024-05-03 14:23:57 UTC
2024-04-28	(No data)
2024-03-24	(No data)
2024-04-14	(No data)
2024-03-31	(No data)
2024-04-21	(No data)
2024-03-17	(No data)
2024-02-04	(No data)
2024-02-11	(No data)
2024-04-07	(No data)
2024-02-18	(No data)
2024-03-10	(No data)
2024-02-25	(No data)