Model: FluOutlook - Mechanistic GLEAM Ensemble API
|Name:||Mechanistic GLEAM Ensemble|
|Description:||Team name: FluOutlook
Team members: Alessandro Vespignani, Qian Zhang, Xinyue Xiong, Mauricio Santillana, Fred Lu.
Data source(s): ILI Net, Athena Health
Methods: This forecasting method is a fully mechanistic model based on GLEAM, an epidemic stochastic generative model. At the begining of the flu season, GLEAM seeded by four different data sources (Athena, FluNearYou, Twitter, Population) generates four different forecasts for the flu profile. At each week along the flu season, the weekly ILI Net data is utilized in GLEAM to provide adaptive weekly forecast. The four weekly forecasts are combined by Bayesian Model Averaging to form the final forecast.
|Auxiliary data:||(No auxiliary data)|
|Timezero||Data Source||Upload Date|