Model: University of Geneva / Swiss Data Science Center - Geneva-DetGrowth

    Name: DeterministicGrowth
    Abbreviation: Geneva-DetGrowth
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: University of Geneva / Swiss Data Science Center
    Description: We calculate the growth rate of cumulative cases (resp. deaths) between two days ago and today. If greater than 5%, we use an exponential model to forecast. Otherwise, we use a linear model.
    Contributors: Antoine Flahault, Elisa Manetti, Thomas Simonson, Christine Choirat
    License: Other License
    Notes: primary
    Citation: https://renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epidemic-Forecasting/
    Methods: "We calculate the growth rate of cumulative cases (resp. deaths) between two days ago and today. If it's greater than 5%, we use an exponential model to forecast the cumulative number of cases (resp. deaths), and then derive the daily number of cases (resp. deaths). If it's less than 5%, we use an linear model instead."
    Home: https://renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epidemic-Forecasting/
    Auxiliary data: https://renkulab.io/gitlab/covid-19/covid-19-forecast

    Forecasts (66)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time
    2019-12-30 (No data)
    2020-01-06 (No data)
    2020-01-13 (No data)
    2020-01-20 (No data)
    2020-01-27 (No data)
    2020-02-03 (No data)
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    2020-04-09 (No data)
    2020-04-12 (No data)
    2020-04-13 (No data)
    2020-04-14 (No data)
    2020-04-15 2020-04-15-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:28:46 EDT
    2020-04-16 2020-04-16-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:27:38 EDT
    2020-04-17 2020-04-17-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:30:44 EDT
    2020-04-18 2020-04-18-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:30:20 EDT
    2020-04-19 2020-04-19-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:29:31 EDT
    2020-04-20 2020-04-20-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:30:56 EDT
    2020-04-21 2020-04-21-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:26:56 EDT
    2020-04-22 2020-04-22-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:27:34 EDT
    2020-04-23 2020-04-23-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:29:36 EDT
    2020-04-24 2020-04-24-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:30:25 EDT
    2020-04-25 2020-04-25-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:27:28 EDT
    2020-04-26 (No data)
    2020-04-27 2020-04-27-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:30:14 EDT
    2020-04-28 2020-04-28-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:28:37 EDT
    2020-04-29 2020-04-29-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:27:43 EDT
    2020-04-30 2020-04-30-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:31:01 EDT
    2020-05-01 2020-05-01-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:29:56 EDT
    2020-05-02 2020-05-02-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:30:50 EDT
    2020-05-03 2020-05-03-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:29:17 EDT
    2020-05-04 2020-05-04-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:28:27 EDT
    2020-05-05 2020-05-05-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:29:41 EDT
    2020-05-06 2020-05-06-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:28:12 EDT
    2020-05-07 2020-05-07-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:26:50 EDT
    2020-05-08 2020-05-08-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:28:42 EDT
    2020-05-09 2020-05-09-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:27:12 EDT
    2020-05-10 2020-05-10-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:29:06 EDT
    2020-05-11 2020-05-11-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:27:17 EDT
    2020-05-12 2020-05-12-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:27:47 EDT
    2020-05-13 2020-05-13-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:29:12 EDT
    2020-05-14 2020-05-14-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:27:23 EDT
    2020-05-15 2020-05-15-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:28:03 EDT
    2020-05-16 2020-05-16-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:28:17 EDT
    2020-05-17 2020-05-17-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:28:07 EDT
    2020-05-18 2020-05-18-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:28:22 EDT
    2020-05-19 2020-05-19-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:30:09 EDT
    2020-05-20 2020-05-20-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:28:32 EDT
    2020-05-21 2020-05-21-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:28:52 EDT
    2020-05-22 2020-05-22-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:27:57 EDT
    2020-05-23 2020-05-23-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:29:46 EDT
    2020-05-24 2020-05-24-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:27:52 EDT
    2020-05-25 2020-05-25-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:29:01 EDT
    2020-05-26 2020-05-26-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:31:07 EDT
    2020-05-27 2020-05-27-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:29:51 EDT
    2020-05-28 2020-05-28-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:29:23 EDT
    2020-05-29 (No data)
    2020-05-30 (No data)
    2020-05-31 2020-05-31-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:28:56 EDT
    2020-06-01 2020-06-01-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:30:39 EDT
    2020-06-02 (No data)
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    2020-06-06 (No data)
    2020-06-07 2020-06-07-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:30:02 EDT
    2020-06-08 (No data)
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    2020-06-14 2020-06-14-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-20 20:30:30 EDT
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    2020-06-21 2020-06-21-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-22 18:10:46 EDT
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    2020-06-28 2020-06-28-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-06-29 08:00:24 EDT
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    2020-07-05 2020-07-05-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-07-14 00:08:11 EDT
    2020-07-06 (No data)
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    2020-07-08 (No data)
    2020-07-09 (No data)
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    2020-07-11 (No data)
    2020-07-12 2020-07-12-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-07-14 00:08:18 EDT
    2020-07-13 (No data)
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    2020-07-19 2020-07-19-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-07-20 15:09:50 EDT
    2020-07-20 (No data)
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    2020-07-26 2020-07-26-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-07-27 07:16:26 EDT
    2020-07-27 (No data)
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    2020-08-02 2020-08-02-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-08-03 07:28:33 EDT
    2020-08-03 (No data)
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    2020-08-09 2020-08-09-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-08-10 08:24:14 EDT
    2020-08-10 (No data)
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    2020-08-12 (No data)
    2020-08-13 (No data)
    2020-08-14 (No data)
    2020-08-15 (No data)
    2020-08-16 2020-08-16-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-08-17 08:22:35 EDT
    2020-08-17 (No data)
    2020-08-18 (No data)
    2020-08-19 (No data)
    2020-08-20 (No data)
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    2020-08-23 2020-08-23-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-08-24 08:23:45 EDT
    2020-08-24 (No data)
    2020-08-25 (No data)
    2020-08-26 (No data)
    2020-08-27 (No data)
    2020-08-28 (No data)
    2020-08-29 (No data)
    2020-08-30 2020-08-30-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-08-31 08:19:36 EDT
    2020-08-31 (No data)
    2020-09-01 (No data)
    2020-09-02 (No data)
    2020-09-03 (No data)
    2020-09-04 (No data)
    2020-09-05 (No data)
    2020-09-06 2020-09-06-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-09-07 08:26:15 EDT
    2020-09-07 (No data)
    2020-09-08 (No data)
    2020-09-09 (No data)
    2020-09-10 (No data)
    2020-09-11 (No data)
    2020-09-12 (No data)
    2020-09-13 2020-09-13-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-09-14 11:05:41 EDT
    2020-09-14 (No data)
    2020-09-15 (No data)
    2020-09-16 (No data)
    2020-09-17 (No data)
    2020-09-18 (No data)
    2020-09-19 (No data)
    2020-09-20 2020-09-20-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-09-21 21:01:25 EDT
    2020-09-21 (No data)
    2020-09-22 (No data)
    2020-09-23 (No data)
    2020-09-24 (No data)
    2020-09-25 (No data)
    2020-09-26 (No data)
    2020-09-27 2020-09-27-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-09-28 08:30:23 EDT
    2020-09-28 (No data)
    2020-09-29 (No data)
    2020-09-30 (No data)
    2020-10-01 (No data)
    2020-10-02 (No data)
    2020-10-03 (No data)
    2020-10-04 2020-10-04-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-10-05 08:32:22 EDT
    2020-10-05 (No data)
    2020-10-08 (No data)
    2020-10-11 2020-10-11-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-10-12 08:31:31 EDT
    2020-10-12 (No data)
    2020-10-15 (No data)
    2020-10-16 (No data)
    2020-10-18 2020-10-18-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-10-19 14:52:02 EDT
    2020-10-19 (No data)
    2020-10-22 (No data)
    2020-10-25 2020-10-25-Geneva-DetGrowth.csv 2020-10-26 14:54:03 EDT
    2020-10-26 (No data)
    2020-11-02 (No data)
    2020-11-09 (No data)
    2020-11-16 (No data)
    2020-11-23 (No data)
    2020-11-30 (No data)
    2020-12-07 (No data)
    2020-12-14 (No data)
    2020-12-21 (No data)
    2020-12-28 (No data)