Model: IEM MED - IEM_MED-CovidProject

    Name: CovidProjections
    Abbreviation: IEM_MED-CovidProject
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: IEM MED
    Description: County-level, state-level, and national-level SEIR model projections for daily incident confirmed COVID cases by using AI to fit actual cases observed.
    Contributors: Brad Suchoski (IEM) <bradley.suchoski@iem.com>, Steve Stage (IEM) <steve.stage@iem.com>, Heidi Gurung (IEM) <heidi.gurung@iem.com>, Sid Baccam (IEM) <sid.baccam@iem.com>
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: primary
    Citation: Missing
    Methods: IEM is currently using an AI model to fit data from various sources and project new cases of COVID-19. We do not assume the average number of secondary infections (R-value) stays the same over time. Our model makes projections for over 375 individual counties in the U.S., all 50 states, the District of Columbia, and 3 U.S. territories. For each jurisdiction, our model runs 4 million simulations to find the best R value that would allow the SEIR model to fit the data for confirmed cases. Our model assumes that the R value changes quite rapidly over time due to changes in human behavior. Our model uses a sliding window to fit the data and find the best R values for each of the windows. Projections of future cases assume that human behavior and social distancing measures are unchanged.
    Home: https://iem-modeling.com/
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (6)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issue date Version
    2021-01-14 (No data)
    2021-01-13 (No data)
    2021-01-11 2021-01-11-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-01-12 02:28:32 UTC 2021-01-11
    2021-01-09 (No data)
    2021-01-10 (No data)
    2021-01-06 (No data)
    2021-01-05 (No data)
    2021-01-04 2021-01-04-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-01-04 18:58:17 UTC 2021-01-04
    2021-01-03 (No data)
    2020-12-30 (No data)
    2020-12-27 (No data)
    2020-12-23 (No data)
    2020-12-24 (No data)
    2020-12-22 (No data)
    2020-12-20 (No data)
    2020-12-19 (No data)
    2020-12-18 (No data)
    2020-12-17 (No data)
    2020-12-16 (No data)
    2020-12-15 (No data)
    2020-12-13 (No data)
    2020-12-11 (No data)
    2020-12-10 (No data)
    2020-12-08 (No data)
    2020-12-05 (No data)
    2020-12-06 (No data)
    2020-12-03 (No data)
    2020-12-01 (No data)
    2020-11-29 (No data)
    2020-11-26 (No data)
    2020-11-24 (No data)
    2020-11-21 (No data)
    2020-11-22 (No data)
    2020-11-19 (No data)
    2020-11-18 (No data)
    2020-11-17 (No data)
    2020-11-15 (No data)
    2020-11-12 (No data)
    2020-11-05 (No data)
    2020-11-08 (No data)
    2020-11-04 (No data)
    2020-11-01 (No data)
    2020-10-29 (No data)
    2020-10-25 (No data)
    2020-10-22 (No data)
    2020-10-18 (No data)
    2020-10-16 (No data)
    2020-10-15 (No data)
    2020-10-11 (No data)
    2020-10-08 (No data)
    2020-10-04 (No data)
    2020-10-02 (No data)
    2020-10-03 (No data)
    2020-10-01 (No data)
    2020-09-30 (No data)
    2020-09-29 (No data)
    2020-09-25 (No data)
    2020-09-26 (No data)
    2020-09-27 (No data)
    2020-09-24 (No data)
    2020-09-23 (No data)
    2020-09-22 (No data)
    2020-09-19 (No data)
    2020-09-20 (No data)
    2020-09-18 (No data)
    2020-09-17 (No data)
    2020-09-16 (No data)
    2020-09-15 (No data)
    2020-09-11 (No data)
    2020-09-13 (No data)
    2020-09-12 (No data)
    2020-09-10 (No data)
    2020-09-09 (No data)
    2020-09-08 (No data)
    2020-09-06 (No data)
    2020-09-05 (No data)
    2020-09-04 (No data)
    2020-09-03 (No data)
    2020-09-01 (No data)
    2020-09-02 (No data)
    2020-08-28 (No data)
    2020-08-29 (No data)
    2020-08-30 (No data)
    2020-08-27 (No data)
    2020-08-26 (No data)
    2020-08-25 (No data)
    2020-08-23 (No data)
    2020-08-22 (No data)
    2020-08-21 (No data)
    2020-08-20 (No data)
    2020-08-19 (No data)
    2020-08-18 (No data)
    2020-08-16 (No data)
    2020-08-15 (No data)
    2020-08-14 (No data)
    2020-08-13 (No data)
    2020-08-12 (No data)
    2020-08-11 (No data)
    2020-08-09 (No data)
    2020-08-08 (No data)
    2020-08-07 (No data)
    2020-08-06 (No data)
    2020-08-05 (No data)
    2020-08-04 (No data)
    2020-08-02 (No data)
    2020-07-31 (No data)
    2020-08-01 (No data)
    2020-07-30 (No data)
    2020-07-29 (No data)
    2020-07-28 (No data)
    2020-07-25 (No data)
    2020-07-26 (No data)
    2020-07-24 (No data)
    2020-07-23 (No data)
    2020-07-22 (No data)
    2020-07-21 (No data)
    2020-07-18 (No data)
    2020-07-19 (No data)
    2020-07-17 (No data)
    2020-07-16 (No data)
    2020-07-15 (No data)
    2020-07-14 (No data)
    2020-07-10 (No data)
    2020-07-12 (No data)
    2020-07-11 (No data)
    2020-07-09 (No data)
    2020-07-08 (No data)
    2020-07-07 (No data)
    2020-07-05 (No data)
    2020-07-04 (No data)
    2020-07-03 (No data)
    2020-07-02 (No data)
    2020-07-01 (No data)
    2020-06-30 (No data)
    2020-06-28 (No data)
    2020-06-27 (No data)
    2020-06-26 (No data)
    2020-06-25 (No data)
    2020-06-24 (No data)
    2020-06-23 (No data)
    2020-06-21 (No data)
    2020-06-20 (No data)
    2020-06-19 (No data)
    2020-06-18 (No data)
    2020-06-17 (No data)
    2020-06-16 (No data)
    2020-06-14 (No data)
    2020-06-13 (No data)
    2020-06-12 (No data)
    2020-06-11 (No data)
    2020-06-10 (No data)
    2020-06-09 (No data)
    2020-06-06 (No data)
    2020-06-05 (No data)
    2020-06-07 (No data)
    2020-06-04 (No data)
    2020-06-03 (No data)
    2020-06-02 (No data)
    2020-05-30 (No data)
    2020-05-27 (No data)
    2020-05-26 (No data)
    2020-05-31 (No data)
    2020-05-29 (No data)
    2020-04-14 (No data)
    2020-05-28 (No data)
    2020-05-22 (No data)
    2020-05-19 (No data)
    2020-05-20 (No data)
    2020-05-23 (No data)
    2020-05-24 (No data)
    2020-05-21 (No data)
    2020-05-15 (No data)
    2020-05-16 (No data)
    2020-05-13 (No data)
    2020-05-17 (No data)
    2020-05-12 (No data)
    2020-05-14 (No data)
    2020-05-09 (No data)
    2020-05-10 (No data)
    2020-03-15 (No data)
    2020-05-08 (No data)
    2020-05-07 (No data)
    2019-12-30 (No data)
    2020-03-16 (No data)
    2020-05-06 (No data)
    2020-05-05 (No data)
    2020-01-06 (No data)
    2020-03-09 (No data)
    2020-03-02 (No data)
    2020-02-24 (No data)
    2020-02-17 (No data)
    2020-02-10 (No data)
    2020-02-03 (No data)
    2020-01-27 (No data)
    2020-01-20 (No data)
    2020-01-13 (No data)
    2020-04-09 (No data)
    2020-04-07 (No data)
    2020-04-01 (No data)
    2020-03-31 (No data)
    2020-03-27 (No data)
    2020-04-08 (No data)
    2020-04-05 (No data)
    2020-03-29 (No data)
    2020-03-22 (No data)
    2020-05-03 (No data)
    2020-05-02 (No data)
    2020-05-01 (No data)
    2020-04-30 (No data)
    2020-04-29 (No data)
    2020-04-28 (No data)
    2020-04-25 (No data)
    2020-04-24 (No data)
    2020-04-22 (No data)
    2020-04-21 (No data)
    2020-04-18 (No data)
    2020-04-17 (No data)
    2020-04-15 (No data)
    2020-04-26 (No data)
    2020-04-23 (No data)
    2020-04-19 (No data)
    2020-04-16 (No data)
    2020-04-12 (No data)
    2020-12-28 2020-12-28-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2020-12-29 07:20:12 UTC 2020-12-29
    2020-12-21 2020-12-21-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2020-12-22 01:09:10 UTC 2020-12-21
    2020-12-14 2020-12-14-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2020-12-14 18:30:09 UTC 2020-12-14
    2020-12-07 2020-12-07-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2020-12-08 06:49:27 UTC 2020-12-08
    2020-11-30 (No data)
    2020-11-23 (No data)
    2020-11-16 (No data)
    2020-11-09 (No data)
    2020-11-02 (No data)
    2020-10-26 (No data)
    2020-10-19 (No data)
    2020-10-12 (No data)
    2020-10-05 (No data)
    2020-09-28 (No data)
    2020-09-21 (No data)
    2020-09-14 (No data)
    2020-09-07 (No data)
    2020-08-31 (No data)
    2020-08-24 (No data)
    2020-08-17 (No data)
    2020-08-10 (No data)
    2020-08-03 (No data)
    2020-07-27 (No data)
    2020-07-20 (No data)
    2020-07-13 (No data)
    2020-07-06 (No data)
    2020-06-29 (No data)
    2020-06-22 (No data)
    2020-06-15 (No data)
    2020-06-08 (No data)
    2020-06-01 (No data)
    2020-05-25 (No data)
    2020-05-18 (No data)
    2020-05-11 (No data)
    2020-05-04 (No data)
    2020-04-27 (No data)
    2020-04-20 (No data)
    2020-04-13 (No data)
    2020-04-06 (No data)
    2020-03-30 (No data)
    2020-03-23 (No data)