Model: IEM MED - IEM_MED-CovidProject

    Name: CovidProjections
    Abbreviation: IEM_MED-CovidProject
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: IEM MED
    Description: County-level, state-level, and national-level SEIR model projections for daily incident confirmed COVID cases by using AI to fit actual cases observed.
    Contributors: Brad Suchoski (IEM) <bradley.suchoski@iem.com>, Steve Stage (IEM) <steve.stage@iem.com>, Heidi Gurung (IEM) <heidi.gurung@iem.com>, Sid Baccam (IEM) <sid.baccam@iem.com>
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: primary
    Citation: Missing
    Methods: IEM is currently using an AI model to fit data from various sources and project new cases of COVID-19. We do not assume the average number of secondary infections (R-value) stays the same over time. Our model makes projections for over 375 individual counties in the U.S., all 50 states, the District of Columbia, and 3 U.S. territories. For each jurisdiction, our model runs 4 million simulations to find the best R value that would allow the SEIR model to fit the data for confirmed cases. Our model assumes that the R value changes quite rapidly over time due to changes in human behavior. Our model uses a sliding window to fit the data and find the best R values for each of the windows. Projections of future cases assume that human behavior and social distancing measures are unchanged.
    Home: https://iem-modeling.com/
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (20)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issue date Version
    2021-04-08 (No data)
    2021-04-05 2021-04-05-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-04-05 18:31:00 UTC 2021-04-05
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    2021-03-29 2021-03-29-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-03-29 18:47:09 UTC 2021-03-29
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    2021-03-22 2021-03-22-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-03-23 00:41:41 UTC 2021-03-22 1 of 2
    2021-03-22 2021-03-22-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-03-30 01:11:05 UTC 2021-03-29 2 of 2
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    2021-03-15 2021-03-15-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-03-16 00:45:02 UTC 2021-03-15 1 of 2
    2021-03-15 2021-03-15-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-03-16 06:41:51 UTC 2021-03-16 2 of 2
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    2021-03-08 2021-03-08-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-03-08 18:29:16 UTC 2021-03-08
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    2021-03-01 2021-03-01-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-03-02 01:43:50 UTC 2021-03-01
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    2021-02-08 2021-02-08-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-02-08 18:34:25 UTC 2021-02-08
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    2021-02-01 2021-02-01-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-02-01 18:44:39 UTC 2021-02-01
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    2021-01-25 2021-01-25-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-01-26 01:01:08 UTC 2021-01-25
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    2021-01-18 2021-01-18-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-01-18 19:11:47 UTC 2021-01-18
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    2021-01-11 2021-01-11-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-01-12 02:28:32 UTC 2021-01-11
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    2021-01-04 2021-01-04-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-01-04 18:58:17 UTC 2021-01-04
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    2020-12-28 2020-12-28-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2020-12-29 07:20:12 UTC 2020-12-29
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    2020-12-14 2020-12-14-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2020-12-14 18:30:09 UTC 2020-12-14
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