Model: IEM MED - IEM_MED-CovidProject

    Name: CovidProjections
    Abbreviation: IEM_MED-CovidProject
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: IEM MED
    Description: County-level, state-level, and national-level SEIR model projections for daily incident confirmed COVID cases by using AI to fit actual cases observed.
    Contributors: Brad Suchoski (IEM) <bradley.suchoski@iem.com>, Steve Stage (IEM) <steve.stage@iem.com>, Heidi Gurung (IEM) <heidi.gurung@iem.com>, Sid Baccam (IEM) <sid.baccam@iem.com>
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: primary
    Citation: Missing
    Methods: IEM is currently using an AI model to fit data from various sources and project new cases of COVID-19. We do not assume the average number of secondary infections (R-value) stays the same over time. Our model makes projections for over 375 individual counties in the U.S., all 50 states, the District of Columbia, and 3 U.S. territories. For each jurisdiction, our model runs 4 million simulations to find the best R value that would allow the SEIR model to fit the data for confirmed cases. Our model assumes that the R value changes quite rapidly over time due to changes in human behavior. Our model uses a sliding window to fit the data and find the best R values for each of the windows. Projections of future cases assume that human behavior and social distancing measures are unchanged.
    Home: https://iem.com/
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (71)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
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    2020-12-07 2020-12-07-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2020-12-08 06:49:27 UTC 2020-12-08 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-11-01 2021-11-01-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-11-01 18:42:03 UTC 2021-11-01 18:42:03 UTC
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    2021-02-08 2021-02-08-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-02-08 18:34:25 UTC 2021-02-08 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-02-15 2021-02-15-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-02-15 18:38:50 UTC 2021-02-15 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-02-22 2021-02-22-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-02-22 18:29:37 UTC 2021-02-22 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-03-01 2021-03-01-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-03-02 01:43:50 UTC 2021-03-01 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-03-08 2021-03-08-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-03-08 18:29:16 UTC 2021-03-08 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-03-15 2021-03-15-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-03-16 00:45:02 UTC 2021-03-15 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-03-22 2021-03-22-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-03-23 00:41:41 UTC 2021-03-22 12:00:00 UTC 1 of 2
    2021-03-22 2021-03-22-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-03-30 01:11:05 UTC 2021-03-29 12:00:00 UTC 2 of 2
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    2021-04-05 2021-04-05-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-04-05 18:31:00 UTC 2021-04-05 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-04-12 2021-04-12-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-04-13 04:43:45 UTC 2021-04-13 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-04-19 2021-04-19-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-04-19 18:45:56 UTC 2021-04-19 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-04-26 2021-04-26-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-04-26 18:55:55 UTC 2021-04-26 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-05-03 2021-05-03-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-05-03 18:36:26 UTC 2021-05-03 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-07-19 2021-07-19-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-07-19 18:49:55 UTC 2021-07-19 18:49:55 UTC
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    2021-05-10 2021-05-10-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-05-10 18:51:35 UTC 2021-05-10 12:00:00 UTC
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    2021-07-26 2021-07-26-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-07-26 19:28:20 UTC 2021-07-26 19:28:20 UTC
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    2021-05-31 2021-05-31-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-05-31 20:09:56 UTC 2021-05-31 20:09:56 UTC
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    2021-06-07 2021-06-07-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-06-07 20:25:31 UTC 2021-06-07 20:25:31 UTC 1 of 2
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    2021-06-14 2021-06-14-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-06-14 18:41:51 UTC 2021-06-14 18:41:51 UTC
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    2021-06-21 2021-06-21-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-06-21 18:34:18 UTC 2021-06-21 18:34:18 UTC
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    2021-06-28 2021-06-28-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-06-29 01:28:54 UTC 2021-06-29 01:28:54 UTC
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    2021-09-20 2021-09-20-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-09-20 18:40:53 UTC 2021-09-20 18:40:53 UTC
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    2021-11-29 2021-11-29-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2021-11-29 18:47:28 UTC 2021-11-29 18:47:28 UTC
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    2022-01-03 2022-01-03-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2022-01-03 18:40:06 UTC 2022-01-03 18:40:06 UTC
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    2022-01-24 2022-01-24-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2022-01-24 18:37:25 UTC 2022-01-24 18:37:25 UTC
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    2022-03-07 2022-03-07-IEM_MED-CovidProject.csv 2022-03-07 18:51:24 UTC 2022-03-07 18:51:24 UTC
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