Model: Swiss Data Science Center / University of Geneva - SDSC_ISG-TrendModel

    Name: Trend Model
    Abbreviation: SDSC_ISG-TrendModel
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: Swiss Data Science Center / University of Geneva
    Description: The Trend Model predicts daily cases and deaths using linear extrapolation on the linear or log scale of the underlying trend estimated by a robust LOESS seasonal-trend decomposition model.
    Contributors: Ekaterina Krymova (Swiss Data Science Center), Dorina Thanou (Center for Intelligent Systems, EPFL), Benjamin Bejar Haro (Swiss Data Science Center), Tao Sun (Swiss Data Science Center) <tao.sun@datascience.ch>, Gavin Lee (Swiss Data Science Center), Elisa Manetti (University of Geneva), Christine Choirat (Swiss Data Science Center), Antoine Flahault (University of Geneva), Guillaume Obozinski (Swiss Data Science Center)
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: primary
    Citation: https://renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epidemic-Forecasting/
    Methods: Our forecasts are based on the reported numbers of cases and deaths at the country or regional level. Our modeling substantially relies on estimation of the underlying trend by a robust LOESS seasonal-trend decomposition model, which allows to account for non-stationary weekly seasonality, outliers, missing data and delayed reports. To further predict daily cases and deaths we use linear extrapolation of the estimated smooth trend either on the original or on the logarithmic scale.
    Home: https://renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epidemic-Forecasting/
    Auxiliary data: https://renkulab.io/gitlab/covid-19/covid-19-forecast

    Forecasts (109)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2020-05-05 (No data)
    2019-12-30 (No data)
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    2021-09-12 2021-09-12-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2021-09-13 18:32:59 UTC 2021-09-13 18:32:59 UTC
    2021-09-15 (No data)
    2021-09-18 (No data)
    2021-09-19 2021-09-19-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2021-09-20 18:50:42 UTC 2021-09-20 18:50:42 UTC
    2021-09-21 (No data)
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    2021-10-03 2021-10-03-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2021-10-04 18:40:32 UTC 2021-10-04 18:40:32 UTC
    2021-10-04 (No data)
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    2021-11-09 (No data)
    2021-11-14 2021-11-14-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2021-11-15 12:27:12 UTC 2021-11-15 12:27:12 UTC
    2021-11-20 (No data)
    2021-11-22 (No data)
    2021-11-25 (No data)
    2021-11-28 2021-11-28-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2021-11-29 18:45:49 UTC 2021-11-29 18:45:49 UTC
    2021-12-01 (No data)
    2021-12-02 (No data)
    2021-12-03 (No data)
    2021-12-06 (No data)
    2021-12-08 (No data)
    2021-12-12 2021-12-12-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2021-12-13 18:44:52 UTC 2021-12-13 18:44:52 UTC
    2021-12-13 (No data)
    2021-12-16 (No data)
    2021-12-21 (No data)
    2021-12-22 (No data)
    2021-12-25 (No data)
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    2022-01-02 2022-01-02-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-01-03 18:33:24 UTC 2022-01-03 18:33:24 UTC
    2022-01-09 2022-01-09-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-01-10 18:32:22 UTC 2022-01-10 18:32:22 UTC
    2022-01-10 (No data)
    2022-01-14 (No data)
    2022-01-19 (No data)
    2022-01-20 (No data)
    2022-01-21 (No data)
    2022-01-23 2022-01-23-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-01-24 18:36:04 UTC 2022-01-24 18:36:04 UTC
    2022-01-25 (No data)
    2022-01-27 (No data)
    2022-01-28 (No data)
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    2022-02-03 (No data)
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    2022-02-09 (No data)
    2022-02-13 2022-02-13-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-02-14 18:36:45 UTC 2022-02-14 18:36:45 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-02-13 2022-02-13-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:43:51 UTC 2022-10-26 18:43:51 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-02-15 (No data)
    2022-02-17 (No data)
    2022-02-27 2022-02-27-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-02-28 18:38:39 UTC 2022-02-28 18:38:39 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-02-27 2022-02-27-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:43:53 UTC 2022-10-26 18:43:53 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-02-28 (No data)
    2022-03-06 2022-03-06-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-03-07 18:41:14 UTC 2022-03-07 18:41:14 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-03-06 2022-03-06-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:43:21 UTC 2022-10-26 18:43:21 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-03-12 (No data)
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    2022-03-20 2022-03-20-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-03-21 12:31:18 UTC 2022-03-21 12:31:18 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-03-20 2022-03-20-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:43:58 UTC 2022-10-26 18:43:58 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-03-22 (No data)
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    2022-03-27 2022-03-27-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-03-29 00:33:03 UTC 2022-03-29 00:33:03 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-03-27 2022-03-27-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:42:59 UTC 2022-10-26 18:42:59 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-03-30 (No data)
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    2021-10-10 2021-10-10-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2021-10-11 18:36:51 UTC 2021-10-11 18:36:51 UTC
    2021-10-16 (No data)
    2021-10-18 (No data)
    2021-10-19 (No data)
    2021-10-24 2021-10-24-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2021-10-25 18:30:40 UTC 2021-10-25 18:30:40 UTC
    2021-10-28 (No data)
    2021-10-31 2021-10-31-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2021-11-01 18:28:17 UTC 2021-11-01 18:28:17 UTC
    2021-11-05 (No data)
    2021-11-07 2021-11-07-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2021-11-10 00:33:26 UTC 2021-11-10 00:33:26 UTC
    2021-11-10 (No data)
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    2021-11-21 2021-11-21-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2021-11-22 18:27:43 UTC 2021-11-22 18:27:43 UTC
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    2021-12-19 2021-12-19-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2021-12-20 12:30:32 UTC 2021-12-20 12:30:32 UTC
    2021-12-26 2021-12-26-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2021-12-27 18:42:46 UTC 2021-12-27 18:42:46 UTC
    2022-01-04 (No data)
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    2022-01-30 2022-01-30-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-01-31 18:33:44 UTC 2022-01-31 18:33:44 UTC
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    2022-03-13 2022-03-13-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-03-14 18:39:46 UTC 2022-03-14 18:39:46 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-03-13 2022-03-13-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:43:56 UTC 2022-10-26 18:43:56 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-03-17 (No data)
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    2022-04-03 2022-04-03-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-04-04 18:43:33 UTC 2022-04-04 18:43:33 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-04-03 2022-04-03-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:43:41 UTC 2022-10-26 18:43:41 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-04-07 (No data)
    2022-04-10 2022-04-10-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-04-11 03:28:33 UTC 2022-04-11 03:28:33 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-04-10 2022-04-10-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:42:53 UTC 2022-10-26 18:42:53 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-04-18 (No data)
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    2022-05-08 2022-05-08-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-05-09 12:34:04 UTC 2022-05-09 12:34:04 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-05-08 2022-05-08-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:42:50 UTC 2022-10-26 18:42:50 UTC 2 of 2
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    2022-06-05 2022-06-05-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-06-06 12:33:31 UTC 2022-06-06 12:33:31 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-06-05 2022-06-05-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:43:36 UTC 2022-10-26 18:43:36 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-06-12 2022-06-12-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-06-13 12:33:00 UTC 2022-06-13 12:33:00 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-06-12 2022-06-12-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:43:38 UTC 2022-10-26 18:43:38 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-06-20 (No data)
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    2022-07-24 2022-07-24-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-07-25 03:42:57 UTC 2022-07-25 03:42:57 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-07-24 2022-07-24-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:43:08 UTC 2022-10-26 18:43:08 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-07-25 (No data)
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    2022-07-31 2022-07-31-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-08-01 12:34:25 UTC 2022-08-01 12:34:25 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-07-31 2022-07-31-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:43:13 UTC 2022-10-26 18:43:13 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-08-01 (No data)
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    2022-08-07 2022-08-07-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-08-08 12:35:17 UTC 2022-08-08 12:35:17 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-08-07 2022-08-07-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:43:01 UTC 2022-10-26 18:43:01 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-08-08 (No data)
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    2022-08-14 2022-08-14-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-08-15 18:41:21 UTC 2022-08-15 18:41:21 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-08-14 2022-08-14-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:44:03 UTC 2022-10-26 18:44:03 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-08-13 (No data)
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    2022-08-21 2022-08-21-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-08-22 18:44:20 UTC 2022-08-22 18:44:20 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-08-21 2022-08-21-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:42:38 UTC 2022-10-26 18:42:38 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-08-20 (No data)
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    2022-08-28 2022-08-28-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-08-29 06:50:20 UTC 2022-08-29 06:50:20 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-08-28 2022-08-28-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:43:34 UTC 2022-10-26 18:43:34 UTC 2 of 2
    2022-08-27 (No data)
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    2022-09-11 2022-09-11-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-09-12 06:55:30 UTC 2022-09-12 06:55:30 UTC 1 of 2
    2022-09-11 2022-09-11-SDSC_ISG-TrendModel.csv 2022-10-26 18:42:44 UTC 2022-10-26 18:42:44 UTC 2 of 2
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