Summary: | 37 models, 219 forecasts, 76,131 predictions |
---|---|
Owner: | lshandross |
Model Owners: | eray |
Visibility | Public |
Description: | Forecasts of confirmed influenza hospitalization admissions during the 2023–2024 influenza season, created as part of the US CDC’s collaborative influenza forecasting exercise |
Home: | https://github.com/cdcepi/FluSight-forecast-hub |
Core data: | https://github.com/cdcepi/FluSight-forecast-hub/tree/main/model-output |
Truth Data: | truth_inc-hosp_2023-11-25_1wk.csv (batch 7 of 7 issued at 2023-11-25 05:00:01 UTC) . Download |
Visualization: | Visualization (interactive visualization of all forecasts in the project [beta]) |
Summary: | Summary (interactive visualization/tabular summary of all - or a subset of - forecasts in the project) |
Explorer: | Explorer (summarizes the subset of the most recent forecasts from each team) |
Download: | Download (interface to start a query for any forecast data in the project) |
Abbreviation | Team | # Forecasts | Oldest | Newest | Upload time |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
UGA_Flucast-OKeeffe | UGA_Flucast | 3 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-10-28 | 2023-11-28 16:25:06 UTC |
NIH-Flu_ARIMA | Fogarty International Center, NIH | 6 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-18 | 2023-11-28 16:24:50 UTC |
ISU_NiemiLab-SIR | ISU_NiemiLab | 4 | 2023-10-28 | 2023-11-18 | 2023-11-28 16:24:53 UTC |
ISU_NiemiLab-NLH | ISU_NiemiLab | 6 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-18 | 2023-11-28 16:25:10 UTC |
ISU_NiemiLab-ENS | ISU_NiemiLab | 4 | 2023-10-28 | 2023-11-18 | 2023-11-28 16:24:37 UTC |
GH-model | Guidehouse | 4 | 2023-10-28 | 2023-11-18 | 2023-11-28 16:25:03 UTC |
UMass-flusion | UMass-Amherst | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:38 UTC |
fjordhest-ensemble | Fjordhest | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:25:10 UTC |
cfarenewal-cfaepimlight | Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC); renewal model team | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:25:25 UTC |
cfa-flumech | Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics (CFA/CDC); SEIR model team | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:40 UTC |
VTSanghani-Ensemble | VTSanghani | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:58 UTC |
UVAFluX-Ensemble | UVAFluX | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:25:17 UTC |
UNC_IDD-InfluPaint | UNC Infectious Disease Dynamics | 3 | 2023-11-11 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:31 UTC |
UM-DeepOutbreak | University of Michigan, Computer Science and Engineering | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 20:37:54 UTC |
UGuelphensemble-GRYPHON | University of Guelph Dynamics Training Lab | 4 | 2023-11-04 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 21:08:19 UTC |
UGuelph-CompositeCurve | University of Guelph Dynamics Training Lab | 5 | 2023-10-28 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:36 UTC |
UGA_Flucast-INFLAenza | UGA_Flucast | 5 | 2023-10-28 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:36 UTC |
UGA_Flucast-Copycat | UGA_Flucast | 4 | 2023-11-04 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:49 UTC |
Stevens-GBR | Stevens Institute of Technology | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 20:03:52 UTC |
SigSci-TSENS | Signature Science | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:41 UTC |
SigSci-CREG | Signature Science | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:58 UTC |
SGroup-RandomForest | Srivastava Group | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:25:16 UTC |
PSI-PROF | Predictive Science Inc. | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:43 UTC |
MOBS-GLEAM_FLUH | MOBS Lab at Northeastern University | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:57 UTC |
MIGHTE-Nsemble | MIGHTE | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:25:11 UTC |
LosAlamos_NAU-CModel_Flu | Los Alamos National Lab and Northern Arizona University | 6 | 2023-10-21 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:41 UTC |
LUcompUncertLab-chimera | LUcompUncertLab | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:53 UTC |
GT-FluFNP | GT-AdityaLab | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:52 UTC |
FluSight-lop_norm | FluSight-lop_norm | 8 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 17:13:41 UTC |
FluSight-ensemble | FluSight-ensemble | 3 | 2023-10-07 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 19:54:10 UTC |
FluSight-baseline | FluSight-baseline | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:25:04 UTC |
CU-ensemble | Colombia University | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:25:20 UTC |
CMU-TimeSeries | Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:24:42 UTC |
CEPH-Rtrend_fluH | CEPH Lab at Indiana University | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:25:02 UTC |
CADPH-FluCAT_Ensemble | California Department of Public Health | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 16:25:06 UTC |
UMass-trends_ensemble | UMass-Amherst | 7 | 2023-10-14 | 2023-11-25 | 2023-11-28 20:34:38 UTC |
PSI-PROF_beta | Predictive Science Inc. | 0 |
Abbreviation | Name |
---|---|
01 | Alabama |
02 | Alaska |
04 | Arizona |
05 | Arkansas |
06 | California |
08 | Colorado |
09 | Connecticut |
10 | Delaware |
11 | District of Columbia |
12 | Florida |
13 | Georgia |
15 | Hawaii |
16 | Idaho |
17 | Illinois |
18 | Indiana |
19 | Iowa |
20 | Kansas |
21 | Kentucky |
22 | Louisiana |
23 | Maine |
24 | Maryland |
25 | Massachusetts |
26 | Michigan |
27 | Minnesota |
28 | Mississippi |
29 | Missouri |
30 | Montana |
31 | Nebraska |
32 | Nevada |
33 | New Hampshire |
34 | New Jersey |
35 | New Mexico |
36 | New York |
37 | North Carolina |
38 | North Dakota |
39 | Ohio |
40 | Oklahoma |
41 | Oregon |
42 | Pennsylvania |
44 | Rhode Island |
45 | South Carolina |
46 | South Dakota |
47 | Tennessee |
48 | Texas |
49 | Utah |
50 | Vermont |
51 | Virginia |
53 | Washington |
54 | West Virginia |
55 | Wisconsin |
56 | Wyoming |
72 | Puerto Rico |
US | US |
Target Group | # Targets | Type | Outcome Variable | Step ahead? | Example Target |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
week ahead hospitalization rate change | 5 | nominal | hospitalization rate change | “-1 wk flu hosp rate change” | |
week ahead incident hospitalizations | 5 | continuous | incident hospitalizations | “-1 wk inc flu hosp” |
Time Zero | Data Version Date | # Forecasts | Starts Season |
---|---|---|---|
2023-10-07 | (No data version date) | 1 | “2023-2024” |
2023-10-14 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2023-10-21 | (No data version date) | 27 | |
2023-10-28 | (No data version date) | 32 | |
2023-11-04 | (No data version date) | 33 | |
2023-11-11 | (No data version date) | 34 | |
2023-11-18 | (No data version date) | 35 | |
2023-11-25 | (No data version date) | 30 | |
2023-12-02 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2023-12-09 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2023-12-16 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2023-12-23 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2023-12-30 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-01-06 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-01-13 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-01-20 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-01-27 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-02-03 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-02-10 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-02-17 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-02-24 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-03-03 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-03-10 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-03-17 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-03-24 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-03-31 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-04-07 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-04-14 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-04-21 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-04-28 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-05-04 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-05-11 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-05-18 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-05-25 | (No data version date) | 0 | |
2024-06-01 | (No data version date) | 0 |