Project: 2020 Election Forecasts Config

    Summary: Seven models, 945 forecasts, 644,447 rows as of 2020-11-26
    Owner: ydh28
    Model Owners: ydh28, nick, cornell
    Time Interval Type Week
    Visibility Public
    Description: This project stores forecasts from multiple election forecast sites, including FiveThirtyEight and the Economist, for ease of access and comparison.
    Home: https://reichlab.io
    Core data: https://zoltardata.com/
    Truth Data: (No truth data)
    Features: Project: Explorer. Forecasts: Summary, Download. Scores: Download.

    Models (7)

    Abbreviation Team # Forecasts Oldest Newest Upload time
    ourprogress The Progress Campaign 9 2020-10-20 2020-11-03 2020-11-03 17:39:04 EST
    jhk JHK 248 2020-03-01 2020-11-03 2020-11-03 17:38:59 EST
    economist The Economist 248 2020-03-01 2020-11-03 2020-11-03 17:38:43 EST
    538_deluxe FiveThirtyEight 95 2020-08-01 2020-11-03 2020-11-03 17:38:35 EST
    538_classic FiveThirtyEight 95 2020-08-01 2020-11-03 2020-11-03 17:38:31 EST
    538_lite FiveThirtyEight 95 2020-08-01 2020-11-03 2020-11-03 17:38:28 EST
    538_pp FiveThirtyEight 155 2020-06-01 2020-11-03 2020-11-03 17:38:18 EST

    Units (93)

    Name
    TX-sen
    AR-sen
    NE-3-pres
    NE-2-pres
    NE-1-pres
    ME-2-pres
    ME-1-pres
    DC-pres
    GA-sen-sp
    WY-sen
    WY-pres
    WI-pres
    WV-sen
    WV-pres
    WA-pres
    VA-sen
    VA-pres
    VT-pres
    UT-pres
    TX-pres
    TN-sen
    TN-pres
    SD-sen
    SD-pres
    SC-sen
    SC-pres
    RI-sen
    RI-pres
    PA-pres
    OR-sen
    OR-pres
    OK-sen
    OK-pres
    OH-pres
    ND-pres
    NC-sen
    NC-pres
    NY-pres
    NM-sen
    NM-pres
    NJ-sen
    NJ-pres
    NH-sen
    NH-pres
    NV-pres
    NE-sen
    NE-pres
    MT-sen
    MT-pres
    MO-pres
    MS-sen
    MS-pres
    MN-sen
    MN-pres
    MI-sen
    MI-pres
    MA-sen
    MA-pres
    MD-pres
    ME-sen
    ME-pres
    LA-sen
    LA-pres
    KY-sen
    KY-pres
    KS-sen
    KS-pres
    IA-sen
    IA-pres
    IN-pres
    IL-sen
    IL-pres
    ID-sen
    ID-pres
    HI-pres
    GA-sen
    GA-pres
    FL-pres
    DE-sen
    DE-pres
    CT-pres
    CO-sen
    CO-pres
    CA-pres
    AR-pres
    AZ-sen
    AZ-pres
    AK-sen
    AK-pres
    AL-sen
    AL-pres
    US-sen
    US-pres

    Targets (6)

    Target Group # Targets Type Unit Step ahead? Example Target
    ec_win_dem 1 nominal “ec_win_dem”
    ev_won_dem 1 continuous votes “ev_won_dem”
    popvote_win_dem 1 binary “popvote_win_dem”
    senate_seats_won_dem 1 discrete seats “senate_seats_won_dem”
    senate_win_dem 1 binary “senate_win_dem”
    voteshare_dem_twoparty 1 continuous percent “voteshare_dem_twoparty”

    Time zeros (248)

    Time Zero Data Version Date # Forecasts Starts Season
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