Model: Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group - CMU-TimeSeries

    Name: TimeSeries
    Abbreviation: CMU-TimeSeries
    Owner: lshandross
    Team name: Carnegie Mellon Delphi Group
    Description: A basic quantile autoregression fit using influenza-related hospitalizations and doctors visits, jointly trained across locations using the most recently available 21 days of data.
    Contributors: Addison Hu (Lead modeler, Carnegie Mellon University) <addison@stat.cmu.edu>, Dmitry Shemetov (Carnegie Mellon University) <dshemetov@cmu.edu>, Logan Brooks (Carnegie Mellon University), Alden Green (Carnegie Mellon University), Daniel McDonald (University of British Columbia), Ryan Tibshirani (Carnegie Mellon University), and the Delphi Research Group
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: primary
    Citation:
    Methods: A basic quantile autoregression fit using lagged values of influenza-related hospitalization counts, normalized by population, and percentage of doctors visits related to influenza. The data are smoothed in time, and the latter data source is adjusted to remove systematic day-of-week effects. The model is fit jointly across all 50 US states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands, using the most recently available 21 days of training data. Each of the 23 quantiles is learned using a separate quantile regression, with nonnegativity and sorting constraints applied post hoc. All signals are available as indicators through Delphi Epidata (https://cmu-delphi.github.io/delphi-epidata/).
    Home: https://delphi.cmu.edu
    Auxiliary data: (No URL)

    Forecasts (55)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2022-01-24 forecast5e6c549c334.json 2023-01-05 13:41:24 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:24 UTC
    2022-10-03 (No data)
    2023-06-19 (No data)
    2023-06-12 (No data)
    2023-06-05 (No data)
    2022-06-20 forecast5e6c5ecf56e6.json 2023-01-05 13:42:02 UTC 2023-01-05 13:42:02 UTC
    2022-06-13 forecast5e6c40446a28.json 2023-01-05 13:41:59 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:59 UTC
    2022-06-06 forecast5e6c3c40184a.json 2023-01-05 13:41:57 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:57 UTC
    2023-05-29 (No data)
    2023-05-22 (No data)
    2023-05-15 forecast-31802b0cede1.json 2023-05-18 11:11:43 UTC 2023-05-18 11:11:43 UTC
    2023-05-08 forecast-31143f0e97dc.json 2023-05-11 11:14:20 UTC 2023-05-11 11:14:20 UTC
    2023-05-01 forecast-315528e3ef24.json 2023-05-04 11:14:04 UTC 2023-05-04 11:14:04 UTC
    2023-04-24 forecast-30cf22f7fe63.json 2023-04-28 16:06:20 UTC 2023-04-28 16:06:20 UTC
    2023-04-17 forecast-2d7d606acbbd.json 2023-04-20 11:13:05 UTC 2023-04-20 11:13:05 UTC
    2023-04-10 forecast-2d82262db0db.json 2023-04-13 11:11:57 UTC 2023-04-13 11:11:57 UTC
    2023-04-03 forecast-2d9d3aa0ae27.json 2023-04-06 11:12:51 UTC 2023-04-06 11:12:51 UTC
    2023-03-27 forecast-2df76b4f3ebd.json 2023-03-30 11:14:58 UTC 2023-03-30 11:14:58 UTC
    2023-03-20 forecast-2e2917eac760.json 2023-03-23 11:13:09 UTC 2023-03-23 11:13:09 UTC
    2023-03-13 forecast-2e09614f231e.json 2023-03-16 11:11:55 UTC 2023-03-16 11:11:55 UTC
    2023-03-06 forecast-2e3835cbffa7.json 2023-03-09 11:16:04 UTC 2023-03-09 11:16:04 UTC
    2023-02-27 forecast-2de710222152.json 2023-03-02 11:12:12 UTC 2023-03-02 11:12:12 UTC
    2023-02-20 forecast-2e257b2394f4.json 2023-02-23 00:21:10 UTC 2023-02-23 00:21:10 UTC
    2023-02-13 forecast-545942e0b4ee.json 2023-02-16 11:17:25 UTC 2023-02-16 11:17:25 UTC
    2023-02-06 forecast-553d73d4f171.json 2023-02-09 11:18:09 UTC 2023-02-09 11:18:09 UTC
    2023-01-30 forecast-54995d33cf89.json 2023-02-02 20:06:41 UTC 2023-02-02 20:06:41 UTC
    2023-01-23 forecast-551a3b76eb19.json 2023-01-25 23:20:38 UTC 2023-01-25 23:20:38 UTC
    2023-01-16 forecast-550f7a3590a2.json 2023-01-24 14:44:23 UTC 2023-01-24 14:44:23 UTC
    2023-01-09 forecast-5c2c4ea96899.json 2023-01-13 19:36:00 UTC 2023-01-13 19:36:00 UTC
    2023-01-02 forecast64043b1160ed.json 2023-01-05 19:58:31 UTC 2023-01-05 19:58:31 UTC
    2022-12-26 forecast46f06ac34c65.json 2022-12-29 21:12:08 UTC 2022-12-29 21:12:08 UTC
    2022-12-19 forecast46f02c711d7c.json 2022-12-29 21:12:06 UTC 2022-12-29 21:12:06 UTC
    2022-12-12 forecast46f06ebc556e.json 2022-12-29 21:12:05 UTC 2022-12-29 21:12:05 UTC
    2022-12-05 forecast46f0ab9327.json 2022-12-29 21:12:04 UTC 2022-12-29 21:12:04 UTC
    2022-11-28 forecast46f0481f3ef6.json 2022-12-29 21:12:02 UTC 2022-12-29 21:12:02 UTC
    2022-11-21 forecast46f0633067c2.json 2022-12-29 21:12:01 UTC 2022-12-29 21:12:01 UTC
    2022-11-14 forecast46f071876743.json 2022-12-29 21:12:00 UTC 2022-12-29 21:12:00 UTC
    2022-11-07 forecast46f01b23762d.json 2022-12-29 21:11:59 UTC 2022-12-29 21:11:59 UTC
    2022-10-31 forecast46f01f8f5847.json 2022-12-29 21:11:57 UTC 2022-12-29 21:11:57 UTC
    2022-10-24 forecast46f01efc5dea.json 2022-12-29 21:11:56 UTC 2022-12-29 21:11:56 UTC
    2022-10-17 forecast46f02d9d735b.json 2022-12-29 21:11:54 UTC 2022-12-29 21:11:54 UTC
    2022-10-10 (No data)
    2022-05-30 forecast5e6c4c5f44cb.json 2023-01-05 13:41:55 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:55 UTC
    2022-05-23 forecast5e6ca9155fc.json 2023-01-05 13:41:53 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:53 UTC
    2022-05-16 forecast5e6c2ed94f98.json 2023-01-05 13:41:51 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:51 UTC
    2022-05-09 forecast5e6c1a493a46.json 2023-01-05 13:41:50 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:50 UTC
    2022-05-02 forecast5e6c49a859e2.json 2023-01-05 13:41:48 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:48 UTC
    2022-04-25 forecast5e6c24882b9c.json 2023-01-05 13:41:46 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:46 UTC
    2022-04-18 forecast5e6c75b63256.json 2023-01-05 13:41:44 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:44 UTC
    2022-04-11 forecast5e6c4eaca.json 2023-01-05 13:41:43 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:43 UTC
    2022-04-04 forecast5e6c28cf6a55.json 2023-01-05 13:41:41 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:41 UTC
    2022-03-28 forecast5e6c1c0c5a7e.json 2023-01-05 13:41:40 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:40 UTC
    2022-03-21 forecast5e6c4dca893.json 2023-01-05 13:41:38 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:38 UTC
    2022-03-14 forecast5e6c276a2bf8.json 2023-01-05 13:41:36 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:36 UTC
    2022-03-07 forecast5e6c5af526f0.json 2023-01-05 13:41:35 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:35 UTC
    2022-02-28 forecast5e6c19596d0e.json 2023-01-05 13:41:33 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:33 UTC
    2022-02-21 forecast5e6c72c43795.json 2023-01-05 13:41:31 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:31 UTC
    2022-02-14 forecast5e6c7e5b7365.json 2023-01-05 13:41:30 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:30 UTC
    2022-02-07 forecast5e6c1abc6d51.json 2023-01-05 13:41:28 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:28 UTC
    2022-01-31 forecast5e6c3b1160ed.json 2023-01-05 13:41:26 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:26 UTC
    2022-01-17 forecast5e6c2f043d9c.json 2023-01-05 13:41:22 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:22 UTC
    2022-01-10 forecast5e6c25cc5f6b.json 2023-01-05 13:41:21 UTC 2023-01-05 13:41:21 UTC
    2022-01-03 (No data)
    2021-12-27 (No data)
    2021-12-20 (No data)
    2021-12-13 (No data)