| Name: | Gompertz |
|---|---|
| Abbreviation: | DirkBeckmann-Gompertz |
| Owner: | epiforecasts |
| Team name: | DirkBeckmann |
| Description: | gompertz model |
| Contributors: | Dr. Dirk Beckmann <dbeckm@gmx.de> |
| License: | Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 |
| Notes: | primary |
| Citation: | NA |
| Methods: | This model uses the Gompertz function in combination with some kind of "clever parameter adjustment" to already existing data for a covid infection wave. The model focuses currently on infection cases, but could easily be extended to other data like hospitalization or death cases. Based on the initial period of a Covid wave, the model provides a prediction for the expected maximum in terms of highest value and point of time. This approach delivered already excellent results for Germany last March & April when many forcasts reported in German media were extrtemely far from later actual values. |
| Home: | https://github.com/HoddleHH |
| Auxiliary data: | NA |
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