Model: Univertity of Cologne Covid Metrics - CovidMetrics-epiBATS

    Name: epiBATS
    Abbreviation: CovidMetrics-epiBATS
    Owner: epiforecasts
    Team name: Univertity of Cologne Covid Metrics
    Description: Forecasts based on TBATS models (DeLivera, Hyndman, Snyder 2011) and updated daily for German states. Final models are based on comparing multiple models and selecting the best-performing (AIC).
    Contributors: Arne Rodloff, Tom Zimmermann
    License: Other License
    Notes: primary
    Citation: https://tomz.shinyapps.io/coronaLandkreise/
    Methods: Forecasts are based on TBATS - models (DeLivera, Hyndman und Snyder (2011)) and are updated daily for each German state. Final models are based on comparing multiple models and selecting the best-performing model based on AIC in historical data. The models forecast 7-day incidence and we convert forecasts back into number of daily new cases. The forecasting model is the same that is used at our website below.
    Home: https://tomz.shinyapps.io/coronaLandkreise/
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (65)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2024-10-14 (No data)
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    2022-08-22 2022-08-22-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-08-23 07:23:19 UTC 2022-08-23 07:23:19 UTC
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    2022-08-15 2022-08-15-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-08-17 07:19:36 UTC 2022-08-17 07:19:36 UTC
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    2022-08-08 2022-08-08-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-08-09 07:20:01 UTC 2022-08-09 07:20:01 UTC
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    2022-08-01 2022-08-01-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-08-03 07:20:58 UTC 2022-08-03 07:20:58 UTC
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    2022-07-25 2022-07-25-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-07-27 07:21:23 UTC 2022-07-27 07:21:23 UTC
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    2022-07-18 2022-07-18-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-07-20 07:19:15 UTC 2022-07-20 07:19:15 UTC
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    2022-07-11 2022-07-11-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-07-13 07:18:07 UTC 2022-07-13 07:18:07 UTC
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    2022-07-04 2022-07-04-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-07-06 07:17:56 UTC 2022-07-06 07:17:56 UTC
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    2022-06-27 2022-06-27-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-06-29 07:17:44 UTC 2022-06-29 07:17:44 UTC
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    2022-06-12 (No data)
    2022-06-13 2022-06-13-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-06-15 07:19:43 UTC 2022-06-15 07:19:43 UTC
    2022-06-05 (No data)
    2022-06-06 2022-06-06-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-06-08 07:20:08 UTC 2022-06-08 07:20:08 UTC
    2022-05-30 2022-05-30-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-06-01 07:22:55 UTC 2022-06-01 07:22:55 UTC
    2022-05-29 (No data)
    2022-05-23 2022-05-23-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-05-25 07:20:42 UTC 2022-05-25 07:20:42 UTC
    2022-05-22 (No data)
    2022-05-15 (No data)
    2022-05-16 2022-05-16-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-05-18 07:20:28 UTC 2022-05-18 07:20:28 UTC
    2022-05-09 2022-05-09-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-05-11 07:21:33 UTC 2022-05-11 07:21:33 UTC
    2022-05-08 (No data)
    2022-05-02 2022-05-02-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-05-04 07:20:18 UTC 2022-05-04 07:20:18 UTC
    2022-05-01 (No data)
    2022-04-24 (No data)
    2022-04-25 2022-04-25-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-04-27 07:18:04 UTC 2022-04-27 07:18:04 UTC
    2022-04-17 (No data)
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    2022-04-10 (No data)
    2022-04-11 2022-04-11-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-04-13 07:18:28 UTC 2022-04-13 07:18:28 UTC
    2022-04-04 2022-04-04-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-04-06 07:21:57 UTC 2022-04-06 07:21:57 UTC
    2022-04-03 (No data)
    2022-03-28 2022-03-28-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-03-30 07:19:22 UTC 2022-03-30 07:19:22 UTC
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    2022-03-21 2022-03-21-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-03-23 07:17:48 UTC 2022-03-23 07:17:48 UTC
    2022-03-13 (No data)
    2022-03-14 2022-03-14-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-03-16 07:18:47 UTC 2022-03-16 07:18:47 UTC
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    2022-03-07 2022-03-07-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-03-09 07:17:46 UTC 2022-03-09 07:17:46 UTC
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    2022-02-28 2022-02-28-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2022-03-02 07:16:52 UTC 2022-03-02 07:16:52 UTC
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    2021-11-22 2021-11-22-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2021-11-24 07:09:46 UTC 2021-11-24 07:09:46 UTC
    2021-11-14 (No data)
    2021-11-15 2021-11-15-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2021-11-17 21:17:03 UTC 2021-11-17 21:17:03 UTC
    2021-11-07 (No data)
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    2021-10-31 (No data)
    2021-11-01 2021-11-01-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2021-11-03 07:05:09 UTC 2021-11-03 07:05:09 UTC
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    2021-07-12 2021-07-12-CovidMetrics-epiBATS.csv 2021-07-14 07:15:08 UTC 2021-07-14 07:15:08 UTC
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