Model: Epiforecasts / London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine - epiforecasts-EpiExpert

    Name: EpiExpert (epiforecasts)
    Abbreviation: epiforecasts-EpiExpert
    Owner: epiforecasts
    Team name: Epiforecasts / London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
    Description: Mean ensemble of human predictions
    Contributors: Nikos Bosse, Sam Abbott, Sebastian Funk
    License: MIT
    Notes: primary
    Citation: https://github.com/epiforecasts/covid-german-forecasts
    Methods: Forecasts from experts and non-experts are elicited using a shinyApp. Two variants of this shiynApp exist. In one, forecasters are asked to predict cases and deaths directly. In the other, forecasters are asked to predict Rt. The Rt predictions are then mapped to death and cases using a renewal equation and the R package EpiNow2. Individuals currently make forecasts by choosing a distribution and specifying the median and width of that predictive distribution for evey forecast horizon. Forecasts from both apps are collected and a mean ensemble is formed.
    Home: https://epiforecasts.io/
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (28)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2024-10-14 (No data)
    2024-10-07 (No data)
    2024-09-30 (No data)
    2024-09-23 (No data)
    2024-09-16 (No data)
    2024-09-09 (No data)
    2024-09-02 (No data)
    2024-08-26 (No data)
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    2024-08-12 (No data)
    2024-08-05 (No data)
    2024-07-29 (No data)
    2024-07-22 (No data)
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    2024-06-24 (No data)
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    2024-06-03 (No data)
    2024-05-27 (No data)
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    2024-04-29 (No data)
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    2024-03-25 (No data)
    2024-03-18 (No data)
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    2024-03-04 (No data)
    2024-02-26 (No data)
    2024-02-19 (No data)
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    2024-02-05 (No data)
    2024-01-29 (No data)
    2024-01-22 (No data)
    2024-01-15 (No data)
    2024-01-14 (No data)
    2024-01-08 (No data)
    2023-12-31 (No data)
    2024-01-01 (No data)
    2023-12-17 (No data)
    2023-12-24 (No data)
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    2023-12-18 (No data)
    2023-12-10 (No data)
    2023-12-11 (No data)
    2023-12-03 (No data)
    2023-12-04 (No data)
    2023-11-27 (No data)
    2023-11-20 (No data)
    2023-11-12 (No data)
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    2023-10-29 (No data)
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    2023-10-15 (No data)
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    2023-10-07 (No data)
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    2023-10-09 (No data)
    2023-09-30 (No data)
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    2023-08-26 (No data)
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    2023-07-03 (No data)
    2023-06-25 (No data)
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    2023-06-03 (No data)
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    2023-06-04 (No data)
    2023-05-27 (No data)
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    2023-05-21 (No data)
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    2023-05-13 (No data)
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    2023-05-07 (No data)
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    2023-04-30 (No data)
    2023-05-01 (No data)
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    2023-04-24 (No data)
    2023-04-15 (No data)
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    2023-04-17 (No data)
    2023-04-08 (No data)
    2023-04-09 (No data)
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    2023-04-03 (No data)
    2023-04-02 (No data)
    2023-03-27 (No data)
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    2022-12-25 (No data)
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    2022-10-31 (No data)
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    2022-07-31 (No data)
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    2022-07-10 (No data)
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    2022-06-26 (No data)
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    2022-05-09 (No data)
    2022-05-08 (No data)
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    2022-05-01 (No data)
    2022-04-24 (No data)
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    2022-04-10 (No data)
    2022-04-11 (No data)
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    2022-03-28 (No data)
    2022-03-27 (No data)
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    2022-03-07 (No data)
    2022-02-27 (No data)
    2022-02-28 (No data)
    2022-02-20 (No data)
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    2022-02-14 (No data)
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    2022-01-30 (No data)
    2022-01-31 (No data)
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    2022-01-24 (No data)
    2022-01-16 (No data)
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    2022-01-09 (No data)
    2022-01-10 (No data)
    2022-01-02 (No data)
    2022-01-03 (No data)
    2021-12-26 (No data)
    2021-12-27 (No data)
    2021-12-21 (No data)
    2021-12-19 (No data)
    2021-12-20 (No data)
    2021-12-12 (No data)
    2021-12-13 (No data)
    2021-12-05 (No data)
    2021-12-06 (No data)
    2021-11-28 (No data)
    2021-11-29 (No data)
    2021-11-21 (No data)
    2021-11-22 (No data)
    2021-11-14 (No data)
    2021-11-15 (No data)
    2021-11-07 (No data)
    2021-11-08 (No data)
    2021-10-31 (No data)
    2021-11-01 (No data)
    2021-10-24 (No data)
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    2021-10-18 (No data)
    2021-10-10 (No data)
    2021-10-11 (No data)
    2021-10-03 (No data)
    2021-10-04 (No data)
    2021-09-26 (No data)
    2021-09-27 (No data)
    2021-09-19 (No data)
    2021-09-20 (No data)
    2021-09-12 (No data)
    2021-09-13 (No data)
    2021-09-05 (No data)
    2021-09-06 (No data)
    2021-08-29 (No data)
    2021-08-30 2021-08-30-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-09-01 07:05:54 UTC 2021-09-01 07:05:54 UTC
    2021-08-22 (No data)
    2021-08-23 2021-08-23-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-08-25 07:05:23 UTC 2021-08-25 07:05:23 UTC
    2021-08-15 (No data)
    2021-08-16 2021-08-16-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-08-18 07:05:43 UTC 2021-08-18 07:05:43 UTC
    2021-08-08 (No data)
    2021-08-09 2021-08-09-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-08-11 07:05:56 UTC 2021-08-11 07:05:56 UTC
    2021-08-01 (No data)
    2021-08-02 2021-08-02-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-08-04 07:17:13 UTC 2021-08-04 07:17:13 UTC
    2021-07-25 (No data)
    2021-07-26 2021-07-26-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-07-29 07:17:09 UTC 2021-07-29 07:17:09 UTC
    2021-07-18 (No data)
    2021-07-19 2021-07-19-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-07-21 07:17:22 UTC 2021-07-21 07:17:22 UTC
    2021-07-12 2021-07-12-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-07-14 07:20:43 UTC 2021-07-14 07:20:43 UTC
    2021-07-11 (No data)
    2021-07-04 (No data)
    2021-06-27 (No data)
    2021-07-05 2021-07-05-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-07-07 12:43:36 UTC 2021-07-07 12:43:36 UTC
    2021-06-28 2021-06-28-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-07-07 12:00:42 UTC 2021-07-07 12:00:42 UTC
    2021-06-20 (No data)
    2021-06-13 (No data)
    2021-06-06 (No data)
    2021-05-30 (No data)
    2021-05-23 (No data)
    2021-05-16 (No data)
    2021-05-09 (No data)
    2021-06-21 2021-06-21-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-06-27 12:55:49 UTC 2021-06-27 12:55:49 UTC
    2021-06-14 2021-06-14-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-06-27 12:55:39 UTC 2021-06-27 12:55:39 UTC
    2021-06-07 2021-06-07-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-06-27 12:55:30 UTC 2021-06-27 12:55:30 UTC
    2021-05-31 2021-05-31-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-06-27 12:55:06 UTC 2021-06-27 12:55:06 UTC
    2021-05-24 2021-05-24-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-06-27 12:54:54 UTC 2021-06-27 12:54:54 UTC
    2021-05-17 2021-05-17-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-06-27 12:54:42 UTC 2021-06-27 12:54:42 UTC
    2021-05-10 2021-05-10-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-06-27 12:54:29 UTC 2021-06-27 12:54:29 UTC
    2021-05-02 (No data)
    2021-05-03 2021-05-03-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-05-06 15:26:41 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-25 (No data)
    2021-04-18 (No data)
    2021-04-11 (No data)
    2021-04-04 (No data)
    2021-03-28 (No data)
    2021-03-21 (No data)
    2021-03-22 2021-03-22-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-05-06 15:23:07 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-19 2021-04-19-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-05-06 15:25:53 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-12 2021-04-12-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-05-06 15:25:19 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-05 2021-04-05-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-05-06 15:24:26 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-29 2021-03-29-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-05-06 15:23:34 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-26 2021-04-26-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-05-06 15:26:17 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-14 (No data)
    2021-03-15 2021-03-15-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-05-06 15:22:44 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-02-07 (No data)
    2021-02-21 (No data)
    2021-02-28 (No data)
    2021-02-22 2021-02-22-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-05-06 15:21:51 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-02-14 (No data)
    2021-03-07 (No data)
    2021-03-01 (No data)
    2021-02-15 2021-02-15-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-05-06 15:21:28 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-08 2021-03-08-epiforecasts-EpiExpert.csv 2021-05-06 15:22:16 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC