Model: ITWW - ITWW-county_repro

    Name: county_repro
    Abbreviation: ITWW-county_repro
    Owner: epiforecasts
    Team name: ITWW
    Description: Forecasts of county level incidence based on regional reproduction numbers.
    Contributors: Przemyslaw Biecek <przemyslaw.biecek@gmail.com>, Viktor Bezborodov <integral2008-1@mail.ru>, Marcin Bodych <bodychmarcin@gmail.com>, Jan Pablo Burgard <burgardj@uni-trier.de>, Stefan Heyder <stefan.heyder@tu-ilmenau.de>, Thomas Hotz <thomas.hotz@tu-ilmenau.de>, Tyll Krüger <tyll.krueger@googlemail.com>
    License: MIT
    Notes: secondary
    Citation: None
    Methods: Using county level incidence data we estimate regional reproduction numbers with a small area estimation approach. These estimates are the basis for simulations of future incidences which are then aggregated to the state or national level. Deaths are predicted by age groups and use estimated case fatality ratios.
    Home: https://github.com/Stochastik-TU-Ilmenau
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (78)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2024-10-14 (No data)
    2024-10-07 (No data)
    2024-09-30 (No data)
    2024-09-23 (No data)
    2024-09-16 (No data)
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    2024-07-29 (No data)
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    2024-01-14 (No data)
    2024-01-08 (No data)
    2023-12-31 (No data)
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    2023-12-17 (No data)
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    2023-10-29 (No data)
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    2023-08-26 (No data)
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    2023-07-09 (No data)
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    2023-07-03 (No data)
    2023-06-25 (No data)
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    2023-06-10 (No data)
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    2023-05-27 (No data)
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    2023-05-21 (No data)
    2023-05-22 (No data)
    2023-05-13 (No data)
    2023-05-14 (No data)
    2023-05-15 (No data)
    2023-05-07 (No data)
    2023-05-08 (No data)
    2023-04-30 (No data)
    2023-05-01 (No data)
    2023-04-23 (No data)
    2023-04-24 (No data)
    2023-04-15 (No data)
    2023-04-16 (No data)
    2023-04-17 (No data)
    2023-04-08 (No data)
    2023-04-09 (No data)
    2023-04-10 (No data)
    2023-04-03 (No data)
    2023-04-02 (No data)
    2023-03-27 (No data)
    2023-03-26 (No data)
    2023-03-20 (No data)
    2023-03-19 (No data)
    2023-03-12 (No data)
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    2023-03-06 (No data)
    2023-02-26 (No data)
    2023-02-27 (No data)
    2023-02-19 (No data)
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    2023-02-06 (No data)
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    2023-01-30 (No data)
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    2023-01-15 (No data)
    2023-01-16 (No data)
    2023-01-08 (No data)
    2023-01-09 (No data)
    2022-12-25 (No data)
    2023-01-01 (No data)
    2022-12-26 (No data)
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    2022-12-19 (No data)
    2022-12-11 (No data)
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    2022-12-04 (No data)
    2022-12-05 (No data)
    2022-11-27 (No data)
    2022-11-28 (No data)
    2022-11-21 (No data)
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    2022-11-14 (No data)
    2022-11-13 (No data)
    2022-11-07 (No data)
    2022-11-06 (No data)
    2022-10-31 (No data)
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    2022-10-23 (No data)
    2022-10-24 (No data)
    2022-10-16 (No data)
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    2022-10-09 (No data)
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    2022-10-02 (No data)
    2022-10-03 (No data)
    2022-09-25 (No data)
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    2022-09-05 (No data)
    2022-08-28 (No data)
    2022-08-29 (No data)
    2022-08-21 (No data)
    2022-08-22 2022-08-22-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-08-23 07:22:01 UTC 2022-08-23 07:22:01 UTC
    2022-08-14 (No data)
    2022-08-15 2022-08-15-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-08-17 07:17:33 UTC 2022-08-17 07:17:33 UTC
    2022-08-07 (No data)
    2022-08-08 2022-08-08-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-08-10 07:18:23 UTC 2022-08-10 07:18:23 UTC
    2022-07-31 (No data)
    2022-08-01 2022-08-01-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-08-03 07:20:23 UTC 2022-08-03 07:20:23 UTC
    2022-07-24 (No data)
    2022-07-25 2022-07-25-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-07-27 07:20:48 UTC 2022-07-27 07:20:48 UTC
    2022-07-17 (No data)
    2022-07-18 2022-07-18-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-07-20 07:18:52 UTC 2022-07-20 07:18:52 UTC
    2022-07-10 (No data)
    2022-07-11 (No data)
    2022-07-03 (No data)
    2022-07-04 2022-07-04-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-07-06 07:17:45 UTC 2022-07-06 07:17:45 UTC
    2022-06-26 (No data)
    2022-06-27 2022-06-27-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-06-29 07:17:36 UTC 2022-06-29 07:17:36 UTC
    2022-06-19 (No data)
    2022-06-20 2022-06-20-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-06-22 07:18:40 UTC 2022-06-22 07:18:40 UTC
    2022-06-12 (No data)
    2022-06-13 2022-06-13-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-06-15 07:18:02 UTC 2022-06-15 07:18:02 UTC
    2022-06-05 (No data)
    2022-06-06 (No data)
    2022-05-30 2022-05-30-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-06-01 07:20:58 UTC 2022-06-01 07:20:58 UTC
    2022-05-29 (No data)
    2022-05-23 2022-05-23-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-05-25 07:18:49 UTC 2022-05-25 07:18:49 UTC
    2022-05-22 (No data)
    2022-05-15 (No data)
    2022-05-16 2022-05-16-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-05-18 07:18:39 UTC 2022-05-18 07:18:39 UTC
    2022-05-09 2022-05-09-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-05-11 07:22:46 UTC 2022-05-11 07:22:46 UTC
    2022-05-08 (No data)
    2022-05-02 2022-05-02-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-05-04 07:21:40 UTC 2022-05-04 07:21:40 UTC
    2022-05-01 (No data)
    2022-04-24 (No data)
    2022-04-25 2022-04-25-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-04-27 07:20:12 UTC 2022-04-27 07:20:12 UTC
    2022-04-17 (No data)
    2022-04-18 2022-04-18-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-04-20 07:21:04 UTC 2022-04-20 07:21:04 UTC
    2022-04-10 (No data)
    2022-04-11 2022-04-11-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-04-13 07:19:07 UTC 2022-04-13 07:19:07 UTC
    2022-04-04 2022-04-04-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-04-06 07:19:01 UTC 2022-04-06 07:19:01 UTC
    2022-04-03 (No data)
    2022-03-28 2022-03-28-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-03-30 07:23:32 UTC 2022-03-30 07:23:32 UTC
    2022-03-27 (No data)
    2022-03-20 (No data)
    2022-03-21 2022-03-21-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-03-23 07:20:08 UTC 2022-03-23 07:20:08 UTC
    2022-03-13 (No data)
    2022-03-14 2022-03-14-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-03-16 07:22:35 UTC 2022-03-16 07:22:35 UTC
    2022-03-06 (No data)
    2022-03-07 2022-03-07-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-03-09 07:21:09 UTC 2022-03-09 07:21:09 UTC
    2022-02-27 (No data)
    2022-02-28 2022-02-28-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-03-02 07:19:22 UTC 2022-03-02 07:19:22 UTC
    2022-02-20 (No data)
    2022-02-21 2022-02-21-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-02-23 07:19:05 UTC 2022-02-23 07:19:05 UTC
    2022-02-13 (No data)
    2022-02-14 2022-02-14-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-02-16 07:20:36 UTC 2022-02-16 07:20:36 UTC
    2022-02-06 (No data)
    2022-02-07 2022-02-07-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-02-09 07:21:18 UTC 2022-02-09 07:21:18 UTC
    2022-01-30 (No data)
    2022-01-31 2022-01-31-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-02-02 07:17:09 UTC 2022-02-02 07:17:09 UTC
    2022-01-23 (No data)
    2022-01-24 2022-01-24-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-01-26 07:17:16 UTC 2022-01-26 07:17:16 UTC
    2022-01-16 (No data)
    2022-01-17 2022-01-17-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-01-19 07:15:47 UTC 2022-01-19 07:15:47 UTC
    2022-01-09 (No data)
    2022-01-10 2022-01-10-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-01-12 07:17:37 UTC 2022-01-12 07:17:37 UTC
    2022-01-02 (No data)
    2022-01-03 2022-01-03-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2022-01-05 07:17:49 UTC 2022-01-05 07:17:49 UTC
    2021-12-26 (No data)
    2021-12-27 2021-12-27-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-12-29 07:17:44 UTC 2021-12-29 07:17:44 UTC
    2021-12-21 (No data)
    2021-12-19 (No data)
    2021-12-20 2021-12-20-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-12-22 07:18:00 UTC 2021-12-22 07:18:00 UTC
    2021-12-12 (No data)
    2021-12-13 2021-12-13-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-12-15 07:05:26 UTC 2021-12-15 07:05:26 UTC
    2021-12-05 (No data)
    2021-12-06 2021-12-06-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-12-08 07:10:26 UTC 2021-12-08 07:10:26 UTC
    2021-11-28 (No data)
    2021-11-29 2021-11-29-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-12-01 07:05:58 UTC 2021-12-01 07:05:58 UTC
    2021-11-21 (No data)
    2021-11-22 2021-11-22-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-11-24 07:06:05 UTC 2021-11-24 07:06:05 UTC
    2021-11-14 (No data)
    2021-11-15 2021-11-15-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-11-17 21:13:22 UTC 2021-11-17 21:13:22 UTC
    2021-11-07 (No data)
    2021-11-08 2021-11-08-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-11-09 07:04:55 UTC 2021-11-09 07:04:55 UTC
    2021-10-31 (No data)
    2021-11-01 2021-11-01-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-11-03 07:07:37 UTC 2021-11-03 07:07:37 UTC
    2021-10-24 (No data)
    2021-10-25 2021-10-25-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-10-27 07:06:49 UTC 2021-10-27 07:06:49 UTC
    2021-10-17 (No data)
    2021-10-18 2021-10-18-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-10-20 07:13:48 UTC 2021-10-20 07:13:48 UTC
    2021-10-10 (No data)
    2021-10-11 2021-10-11-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-10-13 07:06:52 UTC 2021-10-13 07:06:52 UTC
    2021-10-03 (No data)
    2021-10-04 2021-10-04-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-10-13 07:06:56 UTC 2021-10-13 07:06:56 UTC
    2021-09-26 (No data)
    2021-09-27 2021-09-27-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-09-29 07:08:03 UTC 2021-09-29 07:08:03 UTC
    2021-09-19 (No data)
    2021-09-20 2021-09-20-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-09-22 07:07:41 UTC 2021-09-22 07:07:41 UTC
    2021-09-12 (No data)
    2021-09-13 2021-09-13-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-09-15 07:05:40 UTC 2021-09-15 07:05:40 UTC
    2021-09-05 (No data)
    2021-09-06 2021-09-06-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-09-08 07:06:26 UTC 2021-09-08 07:06:26 UTC
    2021-08-29 (No data)
    2021-08-30 2021-08-30-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-09-01 07:07:44 UTC 2021-09-01 07:07:44 UTC
    2021-08-22 (No data)
    2021-08-23 2021-08-23-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-08-25 07:06:55 UTC 2021-08-25 07:06:55 UTC
    2021-08-15 (No data)
    2021-08-16 2021-08-16-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-08-18 07:08:37 UTC 2021-08-18 07:08:37 UTC
    2021-08-08 (No data)
    2021-08-09 2021-08-09-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-08-11 07:08:07 UTC 2021-08-11 07:08:07 UTC
    2021-08-01 (No data)
    2021-08-02 2021-08-02-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-08-04 07:19:17 UTC 2021-08-04 07:19:17 UTC
    2021-07-25 (No data)
    2021-07-26 2021-07-26-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-07-28 07:16:41 UTC 2021-07-28 07:16:41 UTC
    2021-07-18 (No data)
    2021-07-19 2021-07-19-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-07-21 07:16:14 UTC 2021-07-21 07:16:14 UTC
    2021-07-12 2021-07-12-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-07-14 07:17:06 UTC 2021-07-14 07:17:06 UTC
    2021-07-11 (No data)
    2021-07-04 (No data)
    2021-06-27 (No data)
    2021-07-05 2021-07-05-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-07-07 16:23:40 UTC 2021-07-07 16:23:40 UTC
    2021-06-28 2021-06-28-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-07-07 16:23:33 UTC 2021-07-07 16:23:33 UTC
    2021-06-20 (No data)
    2021-06-13 (No data)
    2021-06-06 (No data)
    2021-05-30 (No data)
    2021-05-23 (No data)
    2021-05-16 (No data)
    2021-05-09 (No data)
    2021-06-21 2021-06-21-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-06-27 21:05:07 UTC 2021-06-27 21:05:07 UTC
    2021-06-14 2021-06-14-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-06-27 21:05:01 UTC 2021-06-27 21:05:01 UTC
    2021-06-07 2021-06-07-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-06-27 21:04:54 UTC 2021-06-27 21:04:54 UTC
    2021-05-31 2021-05-31-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-06-27 21:04:47 UTC 2021-06-27 21:04:47 UTC
    2021-05-24 2021-05-24-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-06-27 21:04:41 UTC 2021-06-27 21:04:41 UTC
    2021-05-17 2021-05-17-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-06-27 21:04:32 UTC 2021-06-27 21:04:32 UTC
    2021-05-10 2021-05-10-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-06-27 21:04:25 UTC 2021-06-27 21:04:25 UTC
    2021-05-02 (No data)
    2021-05-03 2021-05-03-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-05-06 14:14:16 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-25 (No data)
    2021-04-18 (No data)
    2021-04-11 (No data)
    2021-04-04 (No data)
    2021-03-28 (No data)
    2021-03-21 (No data)
    2021-03-22 2021-03-22-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-05-06 14:13:52 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-19 2021-04-19-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-05-06 14:14:10 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-12 2021-04-12-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-05-06 14:14:06 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-05 2021-04-05-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-05-06 14:14:03 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-29 2021-03-29-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-05-06 14:14:00 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-04-26 2021-04-26-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-05-06 14:14:13 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-14 (No data)
    2021-03-15 2021-03-15-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-05-06 14:13:48 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-02-07 (No data)
    2021-02-21 (No data)
    2021-02-28 (No data)
    2021-02-22 2021-02-22-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-05-06 14:13:38 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-02-14 (No data)
    2021-03-07 (No data)
    2021-03-01 2021-03-01-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-05-06 14:13:41 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-02-15 2021-02-15-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-05-06 14:13:35 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC
    2021-03-08 2021-03-08-ITWW-county_repro.csv 2021-05-06 14:13:45 UTC 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC