| Name: | EKF |
|---|---|
| Abbreviation: | ILM-EKF |
| Owner: | epiforecasts |
| Team name: | ILM |
| Description: | Extended Kalman filter based on reproduction equation |
| Contributors: | Stefan Heyder <stefan.heyder@tu-ilmenau.de>, Thomas Hotz <thomas.hotz@tu-ilmenau.de> |
| License: | Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 |
| Notes: | primary |
| Citation: | Missing |
| Methods: | We use the reproduction equation to obtain a state space model whose states comprise incidences, the current reproduction number, the generation time distribution, as well as fraction of deaths by delay. An extended Kalman filter is used to fit this model and obtain forecasts. Quantiles for the latter are obtained from a log-normal distribution with mean and variance given by the prediction steps. |
| Home: | https://github.com/Stochastik-TU-Ilmenau |
| Auxiliary data: | Missing |
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| 2021-06-14 | 2021-06-14-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-06-27 21:00:46 UTC | 2021-06-27 21:00:46 UTC | |
| 2021-06-07 | 2021-06-07-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-06-27 21:00:35 UTC | 2021-06-27 21:00:35 UTC | |
| 2021-05-31 | 2021-05-31-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-06-27 21:00:25 UTC | 2021-06-27 21:00:25 UTC | |
| 2021-05-24 | 2021-05-24-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-06-27 21:00:11 UTC | 2021-06-27 21:00:11 UTC | |
| 2021-05-17 | 2021-05-17-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-06-27 21:00:01 UTC | 2021-06-27 21:00:01 UTC | |
| 2021-05-10 | 2021-05-10-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-06-27 20:59:52 UTC | 2021-06-27 20:59:52 UTC | |
| 2021-05-02 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-05-03 | 2021-05-03-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-05-06 14:10:56 UTC | 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC | |
| 2021-04-25 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-04-18 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-04-11 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-04-04 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-03-28 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-03-21 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-03-22 | 2021-03-22-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-05-06 14:10:00 UTC | 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC | |
| 2021-04-19 | 2021-04-19-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-05-06 14:10:34 UTC | 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC | |
| 2021-04-12 | 2021-04-12-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-05-06 14:10:26 UTC | 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC | |
| 2021-04-05 | 2021-04-05-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-05-06 14:10:19 UTC | 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC | |
| 2021-03-29 | 2021-03-29-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-05-06 14:10:10 UTC | 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC | |
| 2021-04-26 | 2021-04-26-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-05-06 14:10:41 UTC | 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC | |
| 2021-03-14 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-03-15 | 2021-03-15-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-05-06 14:09:53 UTC | 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC | |
| 2021-02-07 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-02-21 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-02-28 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-02-22 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-02-14 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-03-07 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-03-01 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-02-15 | (No data) | |||
| 2021-03-08 | 2021-03-08-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-03-16 10:07:11 UTC | 2021-03-16 12:00:00 UTC | 1 of 2 |
| 2021-03-08 | 2021-03-08-ILM-EKF.csv | 2021-05-06 14:09:43 UTC | 2021-05-06 12:00:00 UTC | 2 of 2 |