Model: Delphi - EmpiricalTraj_2017-2018

    Name: Empirical Trajectories (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)
    Abbreviation: EmpiricalTraj_2017-2018
    Owner: khoa
    Team name: Delphi
    Description: Team name: Delphi
    Team members: Logan C. Brooks, David C. Farrow, Sangwon Hyun, Shannon Gallagher, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Roni Rosenfeld, Rob Tibshirani
    Data source(s): ILINet
    Methods: Models the test season's trajectory as a duplicate of a randomly, equiprobably selected training season --- ignores all observations from the test season. A medium amount of smoothing is applied when calculating target distributions. All training seasons precede the test season, and observations from the test season use mimicPastEpidataDF to approximate what the ILINet report for the forecast week looked like. The code for generating these forecasts is available at https://github.com/cmu-delphi/epiforecast-R.
    Contributors:
    License: Other License
    Notes:
    Citation: None
    Methods: None
    Home: https://github.com/FluSightNetwork/cdc-flusight-ensemble/tree/first-papers/model-forecasts/real-time-component-models/Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults
    Auxiliary data: (No URL)

    Forecasts (28)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
    2020-05-18 (No data)
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    2018-04-30 EW18-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 01:00:17 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2018-04-23 EW17-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 01:00:15 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2018-04-16 EW16-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 01:00:13 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2018-04-09 EW15-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 01:00:12 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2018-04-02 EW14-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 01:00:10 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2018-03-26 EW13-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 01:00:09 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2018-03-19 EW12-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 01:00:07 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2018-03-12 EW11-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 01:00:06 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2018-03-05 EW10-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 01:00:03 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2018-02-26 EW09-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 01:00:00 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2018-02-19 EW08-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:58 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2018-02-12 EW07-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:57 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2018-02-05 EW06-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:55 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2018-01-29 EW05-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:54 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
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    2018-01-01 EW01-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:48 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2017-12-25 EW52-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:47 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2017-12-18 EW51-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:45 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2017-12-11 EW50-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:43 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2017-12-04 EW49-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:42 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2017-11-27 EW48-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:40 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2017-11-20 EW47-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:39 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2017-11-13 EW46-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:37 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2017-11-06 EW45-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:36 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2017-10-30 EW44-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:34 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC
    2017-10-23 EW43-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalTrajectories_PackageDefaults.csv 2020-03-25 00:59:33 UTC 2020-03-25 12:00:00 UTC