Model 
Score 
# Score Values 
Basis Regression (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Absolute Error

12375

Basis Regression (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Error

12375

Basis Regression (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Basis Regression (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Log score (single bin)

12375

Basis Regression (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Bayesian Model Averaging

Absolute Error

12375

Bayesian Model Averaging

Error

12375

Bayesian Model Averaging

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Bayesian Model Averaging

Log score (single bin)

12375

Bayesian Model Averaging

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Cheetah (Ensemble of dynamic harmonic model and historical averages)

Absolute Error

12375

Cheetah (Ensemble of dynamic harmonic model and historical averages)

Error

12375

Cheetah (Ensemble of dynamic harmonic model and historical averages)

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Cheetah (Ensemble of dynamic harmonic model and historical averages)

Log score (single bin)

12375

Cheetah (Ensemble of dynamic harmonic model and historical averages)

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Delta Density (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Absolute Error

12375

Delta Density (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Error

12375

Delta Density (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Delta Density (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Log score (single bin)

12375

Delta Density (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Dynamic Bayesian Model with a hierarchical discrepancy + Googlebased nowcasts

Absolute Error

12320

Dynamic Bayesian Model with a hierarchical discrepancy + Googlebased nowcasts

Error

12320

Dynamic Bayesian Model with a hierarchical discrepancy + Googlebased nowcasts

Log score (multi bin)

12320

Dynamic Bayesian Model with a hierarchical discrepancy + Googlebased nowcasts

Log score (single bin)

12320

Dynamic Bayesian Model with a hierarchical discrepancy + Googlebased nowcasts

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12320

Empirical Futures (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Absolute Error

12375

Empirical Futures (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Error

12375

Empirical Futures (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Empirical Futures (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Log score (single bin)

12375

Empirical Futures (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Empirical Trajectories (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Absolute Error

12375

Empirical Trajectories (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Error

12375

Empirical Trajectories (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Empirical Trajectories (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Log score (single bin)

12375

Empirical Trajectories (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter SEIRS

Absolute Error

12375

Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter SEIRS

Error

12375

Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter SEIRS

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter SEIRS

Log score (single bin)

12375

Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter SEIRS

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter SIRS

Absolute Error

12375

Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter SIRS

Error

12375

Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter SIRS

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter SIRS

Log score (single bin)

12375

Ensemble Adjustment Kalman Filter SIRS

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Ensemble Kalman Filter SEIRS

Absolute Error

12375

Ensemble Kalman Filter SEIRS

Error

12375

Ensemble Kalman Filter SEIRS

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Ensemble Kalman Filter SEIRS

Log score (single bin)

12375

Ensemble Kalman Filter SEIRS

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Ensemble Kalman Filter SIRS

Absolute Error

12375

Ensemble Kalman Filter SIRS

Error

12375

Ensemble Kalman Filter SIRS

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Ensemble Kalman Filter SIRS

Log score (single bin)

12375

Ensemble Kalman Filter SIRS

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Kernel Conditional Density Estimation

Absolute Error

12375

Kernel Conditional Density Estimation

Error

12375

Kernel Conditional Density Estimation

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Kernel Conditional Density Estimation

Log score (single bin)

12375

Kernel Conditional Density Estimation

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Kernel Density Estimation

Absolute Error

12375

Kernel Density Estimation

Error

12375

Kernel Density Estimation

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Kernel Density Estimation

Log score (single bin)

12375

Kernel Density Estimation

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Kudu (Subtype weighted historical average model)

Absolute Error

12375

Kudu (Subtype weighted historical average model)

Error

12375

Kudu (Subtype weighted historical average model)

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Kudu (Subtype weighted historical average model)

Log score (single bin)

12375

Kudu (Subtype weighted historical average model)

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Markovian Delta Density (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Absolute Error

12375

Markovian Delta Density (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Error

12375

Markovian Delta Density (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Markovian Delta Density (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Log score (single bin)

12375

Markovian Delta Density (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Rank Histogram Filter SEIRS

Absolute Error

12375

Rank Histogram Filter SEIRS

Error

12375

Rank Histogram Filter SEIRS

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Rank Histogram Filter SEIRS

Log score (single bin)

12375

Rank Histogram Filter SEIRS

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Rank Histogram Filter SIRS

Absolute Error

12375

Rank Histogram Filter SIRS

Error

12375

Rank Histogram Filter SIRS

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Rank Histogram Filter SIRS

Log score (single bin)

12375

Rank Histogram Filter SIRS

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

SARIMA model with seasonal differencing

Absolute Error

12375

SARIMA model with seasonal differencing

Error

12375

SARIMA model with seasonal differencing

Log score (multi bin)

12375

SARIMA model with seasonal differencing

Log score (single bin)

12375

SARIMA model with seasonal differencing

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

SARIMA model without seasonal differencing

Absolute Error

12375

SARIMA model without seasonal differencing

Error

12375

SARIMA model without seasonal differencing

Log score (multi bin)

12375

SARIMA model without seasonal differencing

Log score (single bin)

12375

SARIMA model without seasonal differencing

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Springbok (Dynamic Harmonic Model with ARIMA errors)

Absolute Error

12375

Springbok (Dynamic Harmonic Model with ARIMA errors)

Error

12375

Springbok (Dynamic Harmonic Model with ARIMA errors)

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Springbok (Dynamic Harmonic Model with ARIMA errors)

Log score (single bin)

12375

Springbok (Dynamic Harmonic Model with ARIMA errors)

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375

Uniform Distribution

Absolute Error

12375

Uniform Distribution

Error

12375

Uniform Distribution

Log score (multi bin)

12375

Uniform Distribution

Log score (single bin)

12375

Uniform Distribution

Probability Integral Transform (PIT)

12375
