Model: Delphi - Markovian Delta Density (epiforecast package defaults) API

    Name: Markovian Delta Density (epiforecast package defaults)
    Abbreviation: DeltaDensity2
    Owner: kgle
    Project: CDC Real-time Forecast
    Team name: Delphi
    Description: Uses kernel conditional density estimation (using training seasons) to model
    the change in wILI from each time t to time t+1, conditioned on wILI at time
    t. A small amount of smoothing is applied when calculating target
    distributions. All training seasons precede the test season, and observations
    from the test season use mimicPastEpidataDF to approximate what the ILINet
    report for the forecast week looked like. The code for generating these
    forecasts is available at https://github.com/cmu-delphi/epiforecast-R.
    Home: https://github.com/FluSightNetwork/cdc-flusight-ensemble/tree/master/model-forecasts/real-time-component-models/Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity
    Auxiliary data: (No auxiliary data)

    Forecasts (60)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Date
    2017-10-23 EW43-2017-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:42:14
    2017-10-30 EW44-2017-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:42:45
    2017-11-06 EW45-2017-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:43:09
    2017-11-13 EW46-2017-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:43:44
    2017-11-20 EW47-2017-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:44:10
    2017-11-27 EW48-2017-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:44:34
    2017-12-04 EW49-2017-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:45:00
    2017-12-11 EW50-2017-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:45:26
    2017-12-18 EW51-2017-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:45:51
    2017-12-25 EW52-2017-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:46:16
    2018-01-01 EW01-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:46:41
    2018-01-08 EW02-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:47:03
    2018-01-15 EW03-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:47:34
    2018-01-22 EW04-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:48:14
    2018-01-29 EW05-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:48:41
    2018-02-05 EW06-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:49:08
    2018-02-12 EW07-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:49:38
    2018-02-19 EW08-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:50:11
    2018-02-26 EW09-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:50:45
    2018-03-05 EW10-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:51:24
    2018-03-12 EW11-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:51:48
    2018-03-19 EW12-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:52:16
    2018-03-26 EW13-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:52:46
    2018-04-02 EW14-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:53:14
    2018-04-09 EW15-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:53:39
    2018-04-16 EW16-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:54:07
    2018-04-23 EW17-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:54:36
    2018-04-30 EW18-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:55:05
    2018-10-08 (No data)
    2018-10-15 EW42-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:27:54
    2018-10-22 EW43-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:28:25
    2018-10-29 EW44-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:28:56
    2018-11-05 EW45-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:29:30
    2018-11-12 EW46-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:30:00
    2018-11-19 EW47-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:30:30
    2018-11-26 EW48-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:31:04
    2018-12-03 EW49-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:31:36
    2018-12-10 EW50-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:32:08
    2018-12-17 EW51-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:32:39
    2018-12-24 EW52-2018-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:33:10
    2018-12-31 EW01-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:33:44
    2019-01-07 EW02-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:34:17
    2019-01-14 EW03-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:34:50
    2019-01-21 EW04-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:35:22
    2019-01-28 EW05-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 09:43:37
    2019-02-04 EW06-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 08:22:58
    2019-02-11 EW07-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 08:23:29
    2019-02-18 EW08-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 08:24:01
    2019-02-25 EW09-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 08:24:30
    2019-03-04 EW10-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 08:25:00
    2019-03-11 EW11-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 08:25:30
    2019-03-18 EW12-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 08:25:59
    2019-03-25 EW13-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 08:26:31
    2019-04-01 EW14-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 08:27:01
    2019-04-08 EW15-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 08:27:33
    2019-04-15 EW16-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 08:28:03
    2019-04-22 EW17-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 08:28:36
    2019-04-29 EW18-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 08:29:08
    2019-09-30 (No data)
    2019-10-07 (No data)
    2019-10-14 EW42-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-11-01 12:03:35
    2019-10-21 EW43-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-11-06 11:36:02
    2019-10-28 EW44-2019-Delphi_MarkovianDeltaDensity.csv 2019-11-15 08:41:50
    2019-11-04 (No data)
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    2019-11-18 (No data)
    2019-11-25 (No data)
    2019-12-02 (No data)
    2019-12-09 (No data)
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    2019-12-30 (No data)
    2020-01-06 (No data)
    2020-01-13 (No data)
    2020-01-20 (No data)
    2020-01-27 (No data)
    2020-02-03 (No data)
    2020-02-10 (No data)
    2020-02-17 (No data)
    2020-02-24 (No data)
    2020-03-02 (No data)
    2020-03-09 (No data)
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    2020-03-23 (No data)
    2020-03-30 (No data)
    2020-04-06 (No data)
    2020-04-13 (No data)
    2020-04-20 (No data)
    2020-04-27 (No data)
    2020-05-04 (No data)
    2020-05-11 (No data)
    2020-05-18 (No data)