Model: Delphi - Empirical Futures (epiforecast package defaults) API

    Name: Empirical Futures (epiforecast package defaults)
    Abbreviation: EmpiricalFuture
    Owner: kgle
    Project: CDC Real-time Forecast
    Team name: Delphi
    Description: Team name: Delphi.
    Team members: Logan C. Brooks, Aaron Rumack, David C. Farrow, Sangwon Hyun, Shannon Gallagher, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Roni Rosenfeld, Rob Tibshirani.
    Data source(s): ILINet, ILI-Nearby.
    Methods: Models the remainder of the test season's trajectory as a duplicate of a randomly, equiprobably selected training season, concatenated onto the available observations from the test season. A medium amount of smoothing is applied when calculating target distributions. All training seasons precede the test season, and observations from the test season use mimicPastEpidataDF to approximate what the ILINet report for the forecast week looked like. The code for generating these forecasts is available at https://github.com/cmu-delphi/epiforecast-R.
    Home: https://github.com/FluSightNetwork/cdc-flusight-ensemble/tree/master/model-forecasts/real-time-component-models/Delphi_EmpiricalFutures
    Auxiliary data: (No auxiliary data)

    Forecasts (60)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Date
    2017-10-23 EW43-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:14:45
    2017-10-30 EW44-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:15:14
    2017-11-06 EW45-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:15:47
    2017-11-13 EW46-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:16:20
    2017-11-20 EW47-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:16:52
    2017-11-27 EW48-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:17:16
    2017-12-04 EW49-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:17:48
    2017-12-11 EW50-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:18:12
    2017-12-18 EW51-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:18:49
    2017-12-25 EW52-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:19:18
    2018-01-01 EW01-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:19:45
    2018-01-08 EW02-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:20:12
    2018-01-15 EW03-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:20:40
    2018-01-22 EW04-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:21:12
    2018-01-29 EW05-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:21:44
    2018-02-05 EW06-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:22:22
    2018-02-12 EW07-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:22:56
    2018-02-19 EW08-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:23:28
    2018-02-26 EW09-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:23:54
    2018-03-05 EW10-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:24:20
    2018-03-12 EW11-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:24:44
    2018-03-19 EW12-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:25:17
    2018-03-26 EW13-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:25:47
    2018-04-02 EW14-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:26:12
    2018-04-09 EW15-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:26:43
    2018-04-16 EW16-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:27:22
    2018-04-23 EW17-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:27:56
    2018-04-30 EW18-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:28:46
    2018-10-08 (No data)
    2018-10-15 EW42-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:41:11
    2018-10-22 EW43-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:41:43
    2018-10-29 EW44-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:42:12
    2018-11-05 EW45-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:42:48
    2018-11-12 EW46-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:43:19
    2018-11-19 EW47-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:43:50
    2018-11-26 EW48-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:44:25
    2018-12-03 EW49-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:44:59
    2018-12-10 EW50-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:45:34
    2018-12-17 EW51-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:46:07
    2018-12-24 EW52-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:46:42
    2018-12-31 EW01-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:47:15
    2019-01-07 EW02-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:47:49
    2019-01-14 EW03-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:48:22
    2019-01-21 EW04-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:48:53
    2019-01-28 EW05-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:49:28
    2019-02-04 EW06-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:50:02
    2019-02-11 EW07-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:50:34
    2019-02-18 EW08-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:51:07
    2019-02-25 EW09-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:51:44
    2019-03-04 EW10-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:52:24
    2019-03-11 EW11-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:52:57
    2019-03-18 EW12-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:53:35
    2019-03-25 EW13-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:54:10
    2019-04-01 EW14-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:54:46
    2019-04-08 EW15-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:55:20
    2019-04-15 EW16-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:55:58
    2019-04-22 EW17-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:56:35
    2019-04-29 EW18-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-30 07:57:11
    2019-09-30 (No data)
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    2019-10-14 EW42-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-10-31 11:59:02
    2019-10-21 EW43-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-11-06 11:33:05
    2019-10-28 EW44-2019-Delphi_EmpiricalFutures.csv 2019-11-15 08:37:53
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