Model: Delphi - Empirical Bayes (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version) API

    Name: Empirical Bayes (epiforecast package defaults, 2017/2018 version)
    Abbreviation: EmpiricalBayes2
    Owner: kgle
    Project: CDC Real-time Forecasts
    Team name: Delphi
    Description: Team name: Delphi
    Team members: Logan C. Brooks, David C. Farrow, Sangwon Hyun, Shannon Gallagher, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Roni Rosenfeld, Rob Tibshirani
    Data source(s): ILINet
    Methods: Uses the Empirical Bayes method as described here:
    http://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004382,
    but using smaller local transformations to form the prior, and starting
    trajectories with week 31. A small amount of smoothing is applied when
    calculating target distributions. All parameter settings are heuristically
    chosen. All training seasons precede the test season, and observations from
    the test season use mimicPastEpidataDF to approximate what the ILINet report
    for the forecast week looked like. The code for generating these forecasts is
    available at https://github.com/cmu-delphi/epiforecast-R.
    Home: https://github.com/FluSightNetwork/cdc-flusight-ensemble/tree/first-papers/model-forecasts/real-time-component-models/Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults
    Auxiliary data: (No auxiliary data)

    Forecasts (28)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Date
    2017-10-23 EW43-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:57:32
    2017-10-30 EW44-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:57:53
    2017-11-06 EW45-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:58:15
    2017-11-13 EW46-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:58:37
    2017-11-20 EW47-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:58:58
    2017-11-27 EW48-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:59:28
    2017-12-04 EW49-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:59:54
    2017-12-11 EW50-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:00:25
    2017-12-18 EW51-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:01:08
    2017-12-25 EW52-2017-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:01:47
    2018-01-01 EW01-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:02:51
    2018-01-08 EW02-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:03:47
    2018-01-15 EW03-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:04:32
    2018-01-22 EW04-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:05:23
    2018-01-29 EW05-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:05:55
    2018-02-05 EW06-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:06:34
    2018-02-12 EW07-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:07:08
    2018-02-19 EW08-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:07:44
    2018-02-26 EW09-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:08:16
    2018-03-05 EW10-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:08:59
    2018-03-12 EW11-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:09:43
    2018-03-19 EW12-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:10:17
    2018-03-26 EW13-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:11:01
    2018-04-02 EW14-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:11:41
    2018-04-09 EW15-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:12:17
    2018-04-16 EW16-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:12:56
    2018-04-23 EW17-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:13:34
    2018-04-30 EW18-2018-Delphi_EmpiricalBayes_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 09:14:16
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