Model: Delphi - Delta Density (epiforecast package defaults) API

    Name: Delta Density (epiforecast package defaults)
    Abbreviation: DeltaDensity1
    Owner: kgle
    Project: CDC Real-time Forecast
    Team name: Delphi
    Description: Team name: Delphi.
    Team members: Logan C. Brooks, Aaron Rumack, David C. Farrow, Sangwon Hyun, Shannon Gallagher, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Roni Rosenfeld, Rob Tibshirani.
    Data source(s): ILINet, ILI-Nearby.
    Methods: Uses kernel conditional density estimation (using training seasons) to model the week-on-week change in wILI, conditioned on features of recent observations. Features are heuristically selected; parameters values are manually chosen using data from seasons before the test period. A small amount of smoothing is applied when calculating target distributions. All training seasons precede the test season, and observations from the test season use mimicPastEpidataDF to approximate what the ILINet report for the forecast week looked like. The code for generating these forecasts is available at https://github.com/cmu-delphi/epiforecast-R.
    Home: https://github.com/FluSightNetwork/cdc-flusight-ensemble/tree/master/model-forecasts/real-time-component-models/Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity
    Auxiliary data: (No auxiliary data)

    Forecasts (60)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Date
    2017-10-23 EW43-2017-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:44:06
    2017-10-30 EW44-2017-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:44:48
    2017-11-06 EW45-2017-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:45:17
    2017-11-13 EW46-2017-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:45:38
    2017-11-20 EW47-2017-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:45:59
    2017-11-27 EW48-2017-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:46:26
    2017-12-04 EW49-2017-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:46:52
    2017-12-11 EW50-2017-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:47:17
    2017-12-18 EW51-2017-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:47:51
    2017-12-25 EW52-2017-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:48:26
    2018-01-01 EW01-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:48:55
    2018-01-08 EW02-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:49:19
    2018-01-15 EW03-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:49:44
    2018-01-22 EW04-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:50:10
    2018-01-29 EW05-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:50:39
    2018-02-05 EW06-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:51:04
    2018-02-12 EW07-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:51:45
    2018-02-19 EW08-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:52:15
    2018-02-26 EW09-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:52:48
    2018-03-05 EW10-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:53:17
    2018-03-12 EW11-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:53:47
    2018-03-19 EW12-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:54:16
    2018-03-26 EW13-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:54:41
    2018-04-02 EW14-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:55:07
    2018-04-09 EW15-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:55:35
    2018-04-16 EW16-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:56:03
    2018-04-23 EW17-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:56:42
    2018-04-30 EW18-2018-Delphi_DeltaDensity_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:57:09
    2018-10-08 (No data)
    2018-10-15 EW42-2018-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:25:08
    2018-10-22 EW43-2018-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:25:37
    2018-10-29 EW44-2018-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:26:07
    2018-11-05 EW45-2018-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:26:35
    2018-11-12 EW46-2018-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:27:04
    2018-11-19 EW47-2018-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:27:37
    2018-11-26 EW48-2018-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:28:05
    2018-12-03 EW49-2018-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:28:37
    2018-12-10 EW50-2018-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:29:08
    2018-12-17 EW51-2018-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:29:39
    2018-12-24 EW52-2018-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:30:25
    2018-12-31 EW01-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:31:05
    2019-01-07 EW02-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:31:37
    2019-01-14 EW03-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:32:10
    2019-01-21 EW04-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:32:44
    2019-01-28 EW05-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:33:17
    2019-02-04 EW06-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:33:49
    2019-02-11 EW07-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:34:23
    2019-02-18 EW08-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:34:57
    2019-02-25 EW09-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:35:31
    2019-03-04 EW10-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:36:02
    2019-03-11 EW11-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:36:36
    2019-03-18 EW12-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:37:09
    2019-03-25 EW13-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:37:48
    2019-04-01 EW14-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:38:21
    2019-04-08 EW15-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:38:54
    2019-04-15 EW16-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:39:27
    2019-04-22 EW17-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:40:03
    2019-04-29 EW18-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-10-30 07:40:39
    2019-09-30 (No data)
    2019-10-07 (No data)
    2019-10-14 EW42-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-11-01 12:01:50
    2019-10-21 EW43-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-11-06 11:35:04
    2019-10-28 EW44-2019-Delphi_ExtendedDeltaDensity.csv 2019-11-15 08:40:31
    2019-11-04 (No data)
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