Model: Delphi - Basis Regression (epiforecast package defaults) API

    Name: Basis Regression (epiforecast package defaults)
    Abbreviation: BasisRegression
    Owner: kgle
    Project: CDC Real-time Forecast
    Team name: Delphi
    Description: Team name: Delphi.
    Team members: Logan C. Brooks, Aaron Rumack, David C. Farrow, Sangwon Hyun, Shannon Gallagher, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Roni Rosenfeld, Rob Tibshirani.
    Data source(s): ILINet, ILI-Nearby.
    Methods: Constructs a set of "pseudo-trajectories" by splicing together (a) the observed part of the test season with (b) each training season's trajectory for later portions of the season. Estimates a mean curve for the pseudo-trajectories by regressing onto a set of basis elements. Forecasts the singleton distribution containing this curve, plus a large, heuristic amount of smoothing for each of the targets. All training seasons precede the test season, and observations from the test season use mimicPastEpidataDF to approximate what the ILINet report for the forecast week looked like. The code for generating these forecasts is available at https://github.com/cmu-delphi/epiforecast-R.
    Home: https://github.com/FluSightNetwork/cdc-flusight-ensemble/tree/master/model-forecasts/real-time-component-models/Delphi_BasisRegression
    Auxiliary data: (No auxiliary data)

    Forecasts (60)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Date
    2017-10-23 EW43-2017-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:29:37
    2017-10-30 EW44-2017-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:30:04
    2017-11-06 EW45-2017-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:30:36
    2017-11-13 EW46-2017-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:31:12
    2017-11-20 EW47-2017-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:31:39
    2017-11-27 EW48-2017-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:32:06
    2017-12-04 EW49-2017-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:32:37
    2017-12-11 EW50-2017-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:33:09
    2017-12-18 EW51-2017-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:33:49
    2017-12-25 EW52-2017-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:34:29
    2018-01-01 EW01-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:34:58
    2018-01-08 EW02-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:35:30
    2018-01-15 EW03-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:35:57
    2018-01-22 EW04-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:36:21
    2018-01-29 EW05-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:36:48
    2018-02-05 EW06-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:37:12
    2018-02-12 EW07-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:37:41
    2018-02-19 EW08-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:38:13
    2018-02-26 EW09-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:38:41
    2018-03-05 EW10-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:39:07
    2018-03-12 EW11-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:39:34
    2018-03-19 EW12-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:40:03
    2018-03-26 EW13-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:40:35
    2018-04-02 EW14-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:41:15
    2018-04-09 EW15-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:41:52
    2018-04-16 EW16-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:42:28
    2018-04-23 EW17-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:42:56
    2018-04-30 EW18-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression_PackageDefaults.csv 2019-10-21 08:43:42
    2018-10-08 (No data)
    2018-10-15 EW42-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:41:17
    2018-10-22 EW43-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:41:48
    2018-10-29 EW44-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:42:20
    2018-11-05 EW45-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:42:51
    2018-11-12 EW46-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:43:21
    2018-11-19 EW47-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:43:52
    2018-11-26 EW48-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:44:23
    2018-12-03 EW49-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:44:53
    2018-12-10 EW50-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:45:24
    2018-12-17 EW51-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:45:55
    2018-12-24 EW52-2018-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:46:27
    2018-12-31 EW01-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:47:00
    2019-01-07 EW02-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:47:30
    2019-01-14 EW03-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:48:01
    2019-01-21 EW04-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:48:32
    2019-01-28 EW05-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:49:03
    2019-02-04 EW06-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:49:33
    2019-02-11 EW07-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:50:04
    2019-02-18 EW08-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:50:36
    2019-02-25 EW09-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:51:08
    2019-03-04 EW10-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:51:39
    2019-03-11 EW11-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:52:12
    2019-03-18 EW12-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:52:44
    2019-03-25 EW13-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:53:18
    2019-04-01 EW14-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:53:50
    2019-04-08 EW15-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:54:22
    2019-04-15 EW16-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:54:53
    2019-04-22 EW17-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:55:26
    2019-04-29 EW18-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-30 08:55:57
    2019-09-30 (No data)
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    2019-10-14 EW42-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-10-31 11:57:47
    2019-10-21 EW43-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-11-06 11:32:09
    2019-10-28 EW44-2019-Delphi_BasisRegression.csv 2019-11-15 08:36:33
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