Model: CU - Bayesian Model Averaging API

    Name: Bayesian Model Averaging
    Abbreviation: (No abbreviation)
    Owner: nick
    Project: CDC Flu challenge
    Team name: CU
    Description: Team name: CU.
    Team members: J Shaman, T Yamana, S Kandula, S Pei, W Yang, H Morita.
    Data source(s): ILI Net.
    Methods: Bayesian Weighted Outbreaks. Models outbreak in progress as a weighted average of previously observed outbreaks. Current ILI observations are compared to previous years over a training window of 3-8 weeks. See Yamana et al. 2016 (10.1098/rsif.2016.0410) for further details. Out-of-sample data using Ray & Reich?s flu_data_with_backfill.rds
    Home: https://github.com/FluSightNetwork/cdc-flusight-ensemble/tree/master/model-forecasts/component-models/CUBMA
    Auxiliary data: (No auxiliary data)

    Forecasts (225)

    Time zero Data Filename Upload Date
    2010-10-24 20101024-CUBMA-20101108.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:37
    2010-10-31 20101031-CUBMA-20101115.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:38
    2010-11-07 20101107-CUBMA-20101122.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:39
    2010-11-14 20101114-CUBMA-20101129.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:39
    2010-11-21 20101121-CUBMA-20101206.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:40
    2010-11-28 20101128-CUBMA-20101213.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:41
    2010-12-05 20101205-CUBMA-20101220.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:42
    2010-12-12 20101212-CUBMA-20101227.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:43
    2010-12-19 20101219-CUBMA-20110103.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:44
    2010-12-26 20101226-CUBMA-20110110.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:45
    2011-01-02 20110102-CUBMA-20110117.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:46
    2011-01-09 20110109-CUBMA-20110124.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:47
    2011-01-16 20110116-CUBMA-20110131.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:49
    2011-01-23 20110123-CUBMA-20110207.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:50
    2011-01-30 20110130-CUBMA-20110214.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:51
    2011-02-06 20110206-CUBMA-20110221.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:53
    2011-02-13 20110213-CUBMA-20110228.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:54
    2011-02-20 20110220-CUBMA-20110307.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:55
    2011-02-27 20110227-CUBMA-20110314.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:56
    2011-03-06 20110306-CUBMA-20110321.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:57
    2011-03-13 20110313-CUBMA-20110328.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:58
    2011-03-20 20110320-CUBMA-20110404.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:59
    2011-03-27 20110327-CUBMA-20110411.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:30:59
    2011-04-03 20110403-CUBMA-20110418.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:00
    2011-04-10 20110410-CUBMA-20110425.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:01
    2011-04-17 20110417-CUBMA-20110502.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:02
    2011-04-24 20110424-CUBMA-20110509.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:03
    2011-05-01 20110501-CUBMA-20110516.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:04
    2011-10-23 20111023-CUBMA-20111107.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:05
    2011-10-30 20111030-CUBMA-20111114.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:06
    2011-11-06 20111106-CUBMA-20111121.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:07
    2011-11-13 20111113-CUBMA-20111128.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:08
    2011-11-20 20111120-CUBMA-20111205.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:09
    2011-11-27 20111127-CUBMA-20111212.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:10
    2011-12-04 20111204-CUBMA-20111219.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:11
    2011-12-11 20111211-CUBMA-20111226.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:12
    2011-12-18 20111218-CUBMA-20120102.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:13
    2011-12-25 20111225-CUBMA-20120109.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:14
    2012-01-01 20120101-CUBMA-20120116.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:15
    2012-01-08 20120108-CUBMA-20120123.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:16
    2012-01-15 20120115-CUBMA-20120130.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:17
    2012-01-22 20120122-CUBMA-20120206.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:17
    2012-01-29 20120129-CUBMA-20120213.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:18
    2012-02-05 20120205-CUBMA-20120220.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:19
    2012-02-12 20120212-CUBMA-20120227.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:20
    2012-02-19 20120219-CUBMA-20120305.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:21
    2012-02-26 20120226-CUBMA-20120312.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:22
    2012-03-04 20120304-CUBMA-20120319.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:23
    2012-03-11 20120311-CUBMA-20120326.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:23
    2012-03-18 20120318-CUBMA-20120402.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:24
    2012-03-25 20120325-CUBMA-20120409.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:25
    2012-04-01 20120401-CUBMA-20120416.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:26
    2012-04-08 20120408-CUBMA-20120423.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:26
    2012-04-15 20120415-CUBMA-20120430.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:27
    2012-04-22 20120422-CUBMA-20120507.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:28
    2012-04-29 20120429-CUBMA-20120514.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:29
    2012-10-21 20121021-CUBMA-20121105.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:29
    2012-10-28 20121028-CUBMA-20121112.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:30
    2012-11-04 20121104-CUBMA-20121119.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:31
    2012-11-11 20121111-CUBMA-20121126.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:32
    2012-11-18 20121118-CUBMA-20121203.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:33
    2012-11-25 20121125-CUBMA-20121210.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:34
    2012-12-02 20121202-CUBMA-20121217.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:34
    2012-12-09 20121209-CUBMA-20121224.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:35
    2012-12-16 20121216-CUBMA-20121231.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:36
    2012-12-23 20121223-CUBMA-20130107.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:37
    2012-12-30 20121230-CUBMA-20130114.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:38
    2013-01-06 20130106-CUBMA-20130121.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:39
    2013-01-13 20130113-CUBMA-20130128.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:40
    2013-01-20 20130120-CUBMA-20130204.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:41
    2013-01-27 20130127-CUBMA-20130211.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:42
    2013-02-03 20130203-CUBMA-20130218.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:43
    2013-02-10 20130210-CUBMA-20130225.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:45
    2013-02-17 20130217-CUBMA-20130304.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:46
    2013-02-24 20130224-CUBMA-20130311.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:47
    2013-03-03 20130303-CUBMA-20130318.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:47
    2013-03-10 20130310-CUBMA-20130325.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:48
    2013-03-17 20130317-CUBMA-20130401.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:49
    2013-03-24 20130324-CUBMA-20130408.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:50
    2013-03-31 20130331-CUBMA-20130415.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:50
    2013-04-07 20130407-CUBMA-20130422.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:51
    2013-04-14 20130414-CUBMA-20130429.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:52
    2013-04-21 20130421-CUBMA-20130506.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:53
    2013-04-28 20130428-CUBMA-20130513.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:53
    2013-10-20 20131020-CUBMA-20131104.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:54
    2013-10-27 20131027-CUBMA-20131111.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:55
    2013-11-03 20131103-CUBMA-20131118.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:56
    2013-11-10 20131110-CUBMA-20131125.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:56
    2013-11-17 20131117-CUBMA-20131202.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:57
    2013-11-24 20131124-CUBMA-20131209.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:58
    2013-12-01 20131201-CUBMA-20131216.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:31:59
    2013-12-08 20131208-CUBMA-20131223.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:00
    2013-12-15 20131215-CUBMA-20131230.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:01
    2013-12-22 20131222-CUBMA-20140106.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:02
    2013-12-29 20131229-CUBMA-20140113.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:03
    2014-01-05 20140105-CUBMA-20140120.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:04
    2014-01-12 20140112-CUBMA-20140127.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:05
    2014-01-19 20140119-CUBMA-20140203.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:06
    2014-01-26 20140126-CUBMA-20140210.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:07
    2014-02-02 20140202-CUBMA-20140217.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:08
    2014-02-09 20140209-CUBMA-20140224.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:09
    2014-02-16 20140216-CUBMA-20140303.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:10
    2014-02-23 20140223-CUBMA-20140310.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:11
    2014-03-02 20140302-CUBMA-20140317.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:12
    2014-03-09 20140309-CUBMA-20140324.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:14
    2014-03-16 20140316-CUBMA-20140331.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:15
    2014-03-23 20140323-CUBMA-20140407.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:16
    2014-03-30 20140330-CUBMA-20140414.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:16
    2014-04-06 20140406-CUBMA-20140421.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:17
    2014-04-13 20140413-CUBMA-20140428.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:18
    2014-04-20 20140420-CUBMA-20140505.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:19
    2014-04-27 20140427-CUBMA-20140512.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:20
    2014-10-19 20141019-CUBMA-20141103.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:20
    2014-10-26 20141026-CUBMA-20141110.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:21
    2014-11-02 20141102-CUBMA-20141117.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:22
    2014-11-09 20141109-CUBMA-20141124.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:23
    2014-11-16 20141116-CUBMA-20141201.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:24
    2014-11-23 20141123-CUBMA-20141208.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:25
    2014-11-30 20141130-CUBMA-20141215.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:26
    2014-12-07 20141207-CUBMA-20141222.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:27
    2014-12-14 20141214-CUBMA-20141229.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:28
    2014-12-21 20141221-CUBMA-20150105.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:29
    2014-12-28 20141228-CUBMA-20150112.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:30
    2015-01-04 20150104-CUBMA-20150119.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:31
    2015-01-11 20150111-CUBMA-20150126.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:32
    2015-01-18 20150118-CUBMA-20150202.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:33
    2015-01-25 20150125-CUBMA-20150209.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:34
    2015-02-01 20150201-CUBMA-20150216.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:35
    2015-02-08 20150208-CUBMA-20150223.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:36
    2015-02-15 20150215-CUBMA-20150302.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:37
    2015-02-22 20150222-CUBMA-20150309.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:38
    2015-03-01 20150301-CUBMA-20150316.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:39
    2015-03-08 20150308-CUBMA-20150323.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:40
    2015-03-15 20150315-CUBMA-20150330.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:41
    2015-03-22 20150322-CUBMA-20150406.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:42
    2015-03-29 20150329-CUBMA-20150413.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:42
    2015-04-05 20150405-CUBMA-20150420.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:43
    2015-04-12 20150412-CUBMA-20150427.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:44
    2015-04-19 20150419-CUBMA-20150504.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:45
    2015-04-26 20150426-CUBMA-20150511.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:46
    2015-05-03 20150503-CUBMA-20150518.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:46
    2015-10-25 20151025-CUBMA-20151109.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:47
    2015-11-01 20151101-CUBMA-20151116.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:48
    2015-11-08 20151108-CUBMA-20151123.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:49
    2015-11-15 20151115-CUBMA-20151130.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:50
    2015-11-22 20151122-CUBMA-20151207.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:51
    2015-11-29 20151129-CUBMA-20151214.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:51
    2015-12-06 20151206-CUBMA-20151221.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:52
    2015-12-13 20151213-CUBMA-20151228.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:54
    2015-12-20 20151220-CUBMA-20160104.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:55
    2015-12-27 20151227-CUBMA-20160111.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:56
    2016-01-03 20160103-CUBMA-20160118.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:57
    2016-01-10 20160110-CUBMA-20160125.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:58
    2016-01-17 20160117-CUBMA-20160201.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:32:59
    2016-01-24 20160124-CUBMA-20160208.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:00
    2016-01-31 20160131-CUBMA-20160215.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:01
    2016-02-07 20160207-CUBMA-20160222.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:02
    2016-02-14 20160214-CUBMA-20160229.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:03
    2016-02-21 20160221-CUBMA-20160307.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:04
    2016-02-28 20160228-CUBMA-20160314.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:05
    2016-03-06 20160306-CUBMA-20160321.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:06
    2016-03-13 20160313-CUBMA-20160328.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:08
    2016-03-20 20160320-CUBMA-20160404.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:09
    2016-03-27 20160327-CUBMA-20160411.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:09
    2016-04-03 20160403-CUBMA-20160418.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:10
    2016-04-10 20160410-CUBMA-20160425.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:11
    2016-04-17 20160417-CUBMA-20160502.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:12
    2016-04-24 20160424-CUBMA-20160509.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:13
    2016-05-01 20160501-CUBMA-20160516.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:14
    2016-10-23 20161023-CUBMA-20161107.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:15
    2016-10-30 20161030-CUBMA-20161114.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:15
    2016-11-06 20161106-CUBMA-20161121.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:16
    2016-11-13 20161113-CUBMA-20161128.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:17
    2016-11-20 20161120-CUBMA-20161205.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:18
    2016-11-27 20161127-CUBMA-20161212.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:20
    2016-12-04 20161204-CUBMA-20161219.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:21
    2016-12-11 20161211-CUBMA-20161226.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:22
    2016-12-18 20161218-CUBMA-20170102.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:23
    2016-12-25 20161225-CUBMA-20170109.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:24
    2017-01-01 20170101-CUBMA-20170116.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:25
    2017-01-08 20170108-CUBMA-20170123.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:26
    2017-01-15 20170115-CUBMA-20170130.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:27
    2017-01-22 20170122-CUBMA-20170206.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:28
    2017-01-29 20170129-CUBMA-20170213.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:30
    2017-02-05 20170205-CUBMA-20170220.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:31
    2017-02-12 20170212-CUBMA-20170227.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:32
    2017-02-19 20170219-CUBMA-20170306.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:33
    2017-02-26 20170226-CUBMA-20170313.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:34
    2017-03-05 20170305-CUBMA-20170320.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:35
    2017-03-12 20170312-CUBMA-20170327.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:36
    2017-03-19 20170319-CUBMA-20170403.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:37
    2017-03-26 20170326-CUBMA-20170410.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:38
    2017-04-02 20170402-CUBMA-20170417.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:39
    2017-04-09 20170409-CUBMA-20170424.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:40
    2017-04-16 20170416-CUBMA-20170501.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:41
    2017-04-23 20170423-CUBMA-20170508.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:42
    2017-04-30 20170430-CUBMA-20170515.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:43
    2017-10-22 20171022-CUBMA-20171106.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:44
    2017-10-29 20171029-CUBMA-20171113.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:45
    2017-11-05 20171105-CUBMA-20171120.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:47
    2017-11-12 20171112-CUBMA-20171127.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:48
    2017-11-19 20171119-CUBMA-20171204.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:50
    2017-11-26 20171126-CUBMA-20171211.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:51
    2017-12-03 20171203-CUBMA-20171218.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:53
    2017-12-10 20171210-CUBMA-20171225.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:54
    2017-12-17 20171217-CUBMA-20180101.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:56
    2017-12-24 20171224-CUBMA-20180108.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:57
    2017-12-31 20171231-CUBMA-20180115.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:33:59
    2018-01-07 20180107-CUBMA-20180122.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:00
    2018-01-14 20180114-CUBMA-20180129.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:02
    2018-01-21 20180121-CUBMA-20180205.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:03
    2018-01-28 20180128-CUBMA-20180212.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:05
    2018-02-04 20180204-CUBMA-20180219.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:06
    2018-02-11 20180211-CUBMA-20180226.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:08
    2018-02-18 20180218-CUBMA-20180305.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:09
    2018-02-25 20180225-CUBMA-20180312.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:11
    2018-03-04 20180304-CUBMA-20180319.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:12
    2018-03-11 20180311-CUBMA-20180326.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:14
    2018-03-18 20180318-CUBMA-20180402.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:15
    2018-03-25 20180325-CUBMA-20180409.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:17
    2018-04-01 20180401-CUBMA-20180416.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:18
    2018-04-08 20180408-CUBMA-20180423.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:20
    2018-04-15 20180415-CUBMA-20180430.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:20
    2018-04-22 20180422-CUBMA-20180507.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:22
    2018-04-29 20180429-CUBMA-20180514.cdc.csv 2019-03-05 11:34:23